Complete Humiliation: Greek Parliament Pressed To "Approve" German "Coup"

In the final act of what has become a modern Greek tragedy, lawmakers will now be forced to choose between "approving" what is effectively a German overthrow of the Greek government, or face the collapse of the banking system and an economic depression of unimaginable propotions. 

BofA Stumped: Fund Managers Have Highest Cash Levels Since Lehman Yet Nobody Is Selling

The latest BofA Fund Managers Survey has left the report authors stumped: on one hand fund managers have the highest cash levels since Lehman at 5.5% (most since December 2008 and prior to that November 2001), which combined with a capitulation in risk appetite due to ongoing stress in Greece and China would suggest a screaming buy signal... but there is one problem: the same fund managers refuse to actually capitulate and sell, and as a result not only are bank longs at record highs, but equities remains solidly overowned but the group, offset by "protection" levels which are the highest since February 2008. In short, the current positioning is a "complete contrast to 2008."

The Multi-Trillion Dollar Oil Market Swindle

In the past, we documented the overstatements by both the IEA and EIA in 2014 & 2015 in terms of supply, inventory and understatements of demand. Others also noticed these distortions and, whether intentional or not, they exist and they are very large in dollar terms. These distortions, which are affecting price through media hype and/or direct/indirect price manipulation, are quite possibly the largest in financial history.

Snow In The Summer Confirmed - Retail Sales Tumble Most Since February

Following May's bounce in retail sales (thanks to a rise in gas prices), June's headline data printed a 0.3% plunge - the most since Feb 2015 - against expectations of a 0.3% rise. Retail Sales ex-Autos also fell MoM (down 0.1% against expectations of a 0.5% rise). This is exactly in line with our warnings last week that spending was likely to drop following a slide in credit and debit card spending as retail sales declined in autos; furniture; building materials; clothing; general merchandise; restaurants; online and miscellaneous. The control grouop data showed a mere 2.1% rise YoY - confirming recessionary signals from wholesale sales data.

Dead Market Walking

Having tumbled 15pts on Grexit threats and then roared 40 pts on a Greek "deal", S&P 500 futures have traded in a 2pt range for the last 16 hours... dead market walking... or calm before the storm?

Schaeuble's Modest Proposal For Greek Bridge Loan: Pay Salaries In IOUs

While Greek PM Alexis Tsipras is busy figuring out how best to go about pushing the "deal" he reached on Monday morning in Brussels through parliament, EU finance ministers are scrambling to put together billions in bridge financing that will hold Athens over until the activation of the ESM program which is likely at least four months away. Although it's as yet unclear which "least bad" option is preferable for Greece's external debt, Wolfgang Schaeuble has an idea for how the country might pay public sector employees.

Frontrunning: July 14

  • Greek lawmakers split over bailout as vote looms (Reuters)
  • Greek Bailout Rests on Asset Sale Plan That Already Failed (BBG)
  • Greece Needs $25 Billion to Get Through August, Scicluna Says (BBG)
  • Tsipras Enters Parliament Den to Sell Aid Deal to Greeks (BBG)
  • Greece makes samurai bond repayment (FT)
  • Iran, World Powers Have Reached Nuclear Agreement (BBG)
  • Janet Yellen’s Fed Flounders in Political Arena (WSJ)

Stocks Get Second Thoughts About Greek Deal: Turn Red From China To Europe

One day after the Greek "pre-deal" was announced and the world breathed a sigh of relief, sending US stocks soaring and Greek halted stocks, well, tumbling (via ETFs and ADRs), things are oddly quiet and in fact quite red in Europe, with futures in the US modestly lower, following both China's first red close in several days (SHCOMP -1.2%), and a Europe which is hardly looking very euphoric at this moment: it is almost as if the algos finally got to read the fine print of the Greek deal after trading all day on just the headlines.

World Powers Reach Landmark Nuclear Deal With Iran, Oil Slides - Full Deal Text

It is only fitting that almost exactly 24 hours after the Greek "pre-deal", which may and will end up crashing and burning in very short notice, another long expected "deal", one which has been about a decade in the making, was reached, when Iran reached a landmark nuclear agreement with the U.S. and five other world powers, a long-sought foreign policy goal of the Obama administration. However, just like with the Greek deal celebrations, these too will likely be short lived as the outcome sets the White House on course for months of political strife with dissenters in Congress and in allied Middle Eastern nations.

Greece Just Lost Control Of Its Banks, And Why Deposit Haircuts Are Imminent

One of the preconditions imposed on Greece for a deal is that it signs into law European rules that would put euro zone authorities at the ECB and in Brussels, rather than Athens, in charge of identifying and closing or breaking up sick banks. This in turn could lead to a shake-up of the sector that could see some banks close, with losses pushed onto bondholders and possibly even large depositors. In such circumstances, there would be little that Athens could do to prevent this.

 

'1984' Comes To Europe - The End Of Freedom Of Speech In Spain

Spain has shown that it is fully on board with the Brussels authoritarian direction of ending democracy. Those in power have simply convinced themselves that the people do not understand what is good for them so they must impose their will upon the people but raw force. How does this differ in any what from the justification of imposing communism? This is the death of all freedom and it is upon our doorstep.

The Last Days Of 'Normal Life' In America

The debt-fueled prosperity that so many of us take for granted is about to come to a screeching halt, and we are about to enter the hardest times that any of us have ever known.  And we are not just talking about economics either.  Based on all of the intel and information that we have gathered, we are about to enter a “perfect storm” that is going to shake this country in just about every possible way that it can be shaken.  So we hope that you will truly savor this summer – days like this will not come around again any time soon.

US Army May Use Hollow Points In New Pistols In Violation Of International Protocol

Fragmenting ammunition does a lot more damage and thus has more "stopping power" than full metal jacket ammo, so one might reasonably suspect that the Army’s goal in giving every soldier a magazine full of hollow points is simply to increase the kill rate. Not so, says the Army - it’s all about preventing collateral damage.

Donald Trump: A False Flag Candidate?

Trump has been playing the media with his supposed presidential ambitions for years, but it was clear then that it was just The Donald doing what he does best – promoting himself. And so the question jumps out at us: Why now? Although we have no concrete proof of the theory, there’s plenty of circumstantial evidence. His ties to the Clintons, his past pronouncements which are in such blatant contradiction to his current fulminations, and the cries of joy from the Clintonian gallery and the media (or do I repeat myself) all point to a single conclusion: the Trump campaign is a Democratic wrecking operation aimed straight at the GOP’s base. Donald Trump is a false-flag candidate.

Censored By Sanction? Barclays Freezes Accounts Of Russia's News Agency

The UK has frozen the bank account of Russia's Rossiya Segodnya news agency without any explanation. "To close the account of one of the world’s leading news agencies is censorship, the direct obstruction of journalists’ work," Dmitry Kiselyov, head of the news agency, exclaimed, asking "what kind of press freedom and democracy can Britain claim to have if it prevents one of the world's largest news agencies from working in the country?" As RT reports, while no official justification for the move has been offered, RT reports a source in the banking sector told the agency the Exchequer has put Dmitry Kiselyov on an anti-Russian sanctions list. With David Cameron in full tyrannical 1984-mode, this latest move is perhaps not entirely surprising (though we await the boomerang from Putin).

China Big Cap Stocks Continue Slide Despite Another Liquidity Injection; Margin Debt Rises For 2nd Day

"This has caused me a lot of heartache. It will take some time to recover," exclaims one disgruntled (and self-admitted greedy) Chinese investor who lost it all in the recent equity market demise. "It is forever a planned market, a planned economy," which as one China policy professor noted, means "the massive state intervention, especially preventing major shareholders from selling shares and going after short sellers, has damaged financial sector reform in profound and permanent ways." Having fallen over 4.5% from its highs into the close yesterday, the CSI-300 index and FTSE China A50 are both opening weaker as nearly 30% of securities remain halted and margin debt rises for the 2nd day in a row.