Hillary's Lead Disintegrates: She Is Now Doing Worse Than In 2008, As Trump Surges

Just when Hillary Clinton thought her political fiascoes would be the worst of her ongoing troubles as she glides through the Democrat primaries, and then takes on Trump sure to find a Warren Buffett-funded victory, suddenly everything appears to have gone wrong in what is most important to the scandal-ridden former Secretary of State and presidential contender: her second - and final - campaign for president.

Ron Paul Warns: "Watch The Petrodollar"

"The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better."

Shanghai Composite Opens Under 3,000 As Onshore Yuan Practically Unchanged For Fourth Day

Having made its warning to the Fed loud and clear ("if you hike or otherwise push the USD any higher, we will crush your markets by devaluing the Yuan against everyone but mostly the USD"), the PBOC continued the fragile ceasefure between the world's two most powerful central banks, when moments ago it kept the onshore Yuan virtually unchaged, by weakening today's fixing by 0.03% to 6.5637. However, as can be seen on the chart below, this has barely even registered.

"Willing Idiots" & Geopolitical Instability

Periods of transition between “rising powers” and “declining powers” have been described in terms of the so-called Thucydides Trap, when fear within a static or declining power (historically, Athens) of a rising power (historically, Sparta) makes war seemingly inevitable. The phenomenon today applies not only to the China-U.S. dynamic - as has been widely remarked - but to the Middle Eastern imbalance, the “north-south” imbalance, and so on. Accompanying this sliding vertical scale of strategic power balance is the sliding horizontal scale of population volatility and movement, characterized by the breakdown of the Westphalian nation-state concept.

"Markets Crash When They're Oversold"

When markets begin a "bear" cycle, they can remain in an oversold condition for extended periods. There is an important 'truism' to remember - "Markets crash when they’re oversold."

The 'Real' Price Of Oil Is Below $17

"You see a big destruction in the income of the oil and commodity producers," exclaims on analyst but, as Bloomberg notes, while oil prices flashing across traders' terminals are at the lowest in a decade, in real terms the collapse is considerably deeper. Adjusted for inflation, WTI is its lowest since 2002 and worse still Saudi Light Crude is trading at below $17 (in 1998 dollar terms) - the lowest since the 1980s...

The Empty Suit's Seat

President Obama's "Empty Seat" appears to have raised the ire of many...

Complacent Correction Cause For Concern?

Despite recent stock market carnage, the reaction by the VIX has been a relative yawner. All we really care about are the cold, hard numbers. And if history is any guide, investors, who have demonstrated a rather complacent reaction to the decline so far, may very well get a wake up call before this slump has run its course.

Emails Prove Hillary Knew Libyan Rebels Were Conducting Ethnic Cleansing, Supported Them Anyway

The tragic irony of all this is that Hillary Clinton led the charge for a war in Libya based on a claim of a potential massacre in Benghazi. The massacre in Benghazi never occurred (and was likely overblown), but real ethnic cleansing and massacres did occur when the US and NATO empowered the Libyan rebels to overthrow Gaddafi and use their weapons beyond the war zone. Today, Libya is a failed state infested with the Islamic State and other Islamic terrorist groups thanks to Clinton and friends. Quite a liberation.

Presenting Turkey's "Vicious" Depreciating Currency Cycle

With Erdogan calling (loudly) for lower rates and 5 of 7 MPC seats opening up between April and November, some fear Turkey may eschew policy normalization leading directly to what Morgan Stanley calls "a vicious cycle" of a depreciating currency, rising inflation, and lower real policy rates.