If anyone had wondered if Stanley Druckenmiller's recent bearishness had dissipated, or transformed into at least modest bullishness as a result of the market meltup, we have bad news.
Irrespective of what you think of Trump, his continued survival in the Presidential circus is undoubtably good. Not because he’s some sort of savior who will “Make America Great Again,” but because he’s bringing up issues he’s not supposed to bring up. Because he’s getting people who have given up on the political process engaged again. Because he’s convincing tens of millions of Americans that it really is possible to give the status quo the boot. At the end of the day, it’s not the actions of any particular individual that instills true fear in the U.S. establishment and deep state government. What really scares them is a population capable of critical thought beyond false left-right paradigm talking points...
Who could have seen this coming? Having told the British public in so many words, "Vote No To Brexit, Vote Yes To Undemocratic Superstate!" it appears President Obama's unwanted presence in the UK-EU Referendum debate has backfired beautifully. As FreeBeacon reports, Arron Banks, the British entrepreneur leading a grassroots effort to leave the European Union urges Americans to "keep sending Obama over," as 'Brexit' odds have risen above plunging 'Bremain' odds since the President paid a visit to the Queeen.
Is there anyone on the planet who's actually stupid enough to believe these New Normal charts are healthy and sustainable? We doubt it. Rather, the apologists, toadies, apparatchiks and flacks are being well-paid to cheerlead, and the "leadership" (using the term lightly) of the discredited institutions are terrified of what will happen when people finally catch on. The New Normal is not sustainable.
Speaking through its mouthpiece Global Times, China has published its first reaction to "unpredictable" Trump's position as presumptive Republican nominee and their expectations of a Trump vs Clinton fight for The White House... "This scenario is becoming increasingly serious..."
As another political crisis appears ready to grip Turkey, moments ago we got confirmation that the latest scandal, this time one involving the president and the prime minister, is about to become acute and will likely lead to a party Convention as well as the resignation of the Prime Minister. The immediate response: the biggest crash in the Turkish Lira since October 2008.
Just a month after the UK's luxury housing bubble burst, it appears the nice friendly bankers at Barclays are looking for some scapegoats to flip their condos to. That the housing recovery has been driven primarily by a steady flow of foreign investment, and not necessarily the underlying economic fundamentals improving is becoming clear to everyone and so in what appears a desperate act of deja vu, Barclays has brought back the 100 per cent mortgage - the first major bank to do so since the last financial crisis - to keep the ponzi dream alive just a little longer.
Behold the leader of the free world: "Obama drinks water in Flint, Michigan. Says the water is 'drinkable'."
Let’s be honest, free money sounds great. And you might agree if you start daydreaming about what you’d buy with additional $1,000 or $5,000 in your bank account. The truth is, nothing is free...
Following the denial in February that this action is in any way about reducing cash, Mario Draghi has made his decision: ECB ENDS PRODUCTION AND ISSUANCE OF €500 BANKNOTE. And just like that the second highest denominated European bank note in circulation is dead, driving everyone into the CHF1000 Bill, and implicitly weakening the euro.
"none of the structural headwinds that seem to have plagued the global economy in recent years (a mix of excessive indebtedness, deteriorating demographics, rising political uncertainty as well as the end of the China growth miracle and the commodity supercycle) have been resolved."
The dollar's gyrations remain a key source of inspiration for traders with the fundamental focus continuing to switch between falling US and rising OPEC production, according to Saxo Bank's Ole Hanson. Having seen calendar 2017 almost hit $50 last week the realisation that further upside may be hard to achieve may has helped trigger increased demand for protection.