• Tim Knight from...
    02/06/2016 - 00:25
    What we must remember is this: we are in a bear market, and the risk of a countertrend rally is present, but confined. The opportunity on the downside movement dwarfs the risk of a push higher, as...
  • Phoenix Capital...
    02/06/2016 - 10:15
    2008 was caused by derivatives based on consumer-focused assets (houses). The next crisis will be driven by derivatives on government-focused assets (bonds).

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These Are The 7 Democratic And 3 Republican Senators Who Want To Start The Syrian War

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Senate Panel Authorizes Limited Military Strike In Syria

And like that, the first step to all out war has been taken:


Vote breakdown: 10 Yes; 7 No; 1 Present. The measure includes new language saying U.S. policy is to "change the momentum on the battlefield in Syria" in way that brings about negotiated settlement of conflict, leading to a democratic govt in Syria. In other words: a pro-Qatari/Saudi coalition government that will permit the passage of natgas pipelines under Syria, through Turkey and into Europe, breaking Gazpromia's marginal energy monopoly over the broke continent.

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Behold The AAPL $500 "Sell" Algotron

One has to wonder whether the proximity of this stock's price to $500 once again was a trigger for NASDARK's issues this morning... but it is clear that the narrow-range oscillation is anything but 'normal' on an exuberant stock market day...

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About That "Construction Worker Shortage"

Now that the house "recovery" myth is blowing up before everyone's eyes, the confidence spin crew, headed by the Fed itself, is stuggling to come up with any shred of evidence that despite everything seen so far, despite spiking mortgage rates, despite the scramble to cash out of all "homes for rent" ventures, despite the rush to cash out of major rental, and housing, investments by the smartest money of all, there is still room for hope. Today's hook came courtesy of the Beige Book, which otherwise was lethargically boring (same old "modest to moderate growth"), was promptly used to serve as an theme of "construction worker shortages" across areas of the country, and thus to indicate that there is simply too much demand, and not enough supply, resulting in not enough transactions. Well, if that is true, that means that the level of construction workers already employed should be near or approaching previous capacity levels, right? Let's take a look shall we...

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The Recovery Is Here: Spot The Outlier

Presented with little comment aside to note that following last month's Porsche news, the Lambo release, and now this... the 'recovery' is truly here...

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China's Unspoken "Catastrophe" - 11.6% Of The Population, Or 114 Million, Have Diabetes: More Than The US

While China was absorbing all the best that the "West" had to export to it over the past three decades (credit cards, MTV, inflation, apps, youtube), it was also importing the worst. Such as a sedentary, lazy lifestyle which at a massive social scale, usually has one inevitable conclusion - diabetes. And even as the world is focused on all the other pending crashes China has to offer: housing, credit, demographic, it has been largely ignorant of what is rapidly becoming a "catastrophic" epidemic. According to Bloomberg, which cites just released findings in the Journal of the American Medical Association, "the most comprehensive nationwide survey for diabetes ever conducted in China shows 11.6 percent of adults, or 114 million, has the disease. This means that another 22 million diabetics, or the population of Australia, have been added to a 2007 estimate and means almost one in three diabetes sufferers globally is in China. By comparison in America "only" 11.3% of the population have been diagnosed with diabetes.

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A Market Week Of War-Drums

Wondering where we are with "war-on", "war-off" discussions? Confused at whether war is good or bad? Here is a week in the life of the S&P 500 and the Syria-related headlines that appeared to be driving it...

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Guest Post: Have Advances In Consumer Electronics Reached Diminishing Returns?

Aerospace technology experienced a Golden Age of rapid technological development that leveled off once fundamental technologies had matured. Investment in further advances reached a point of diminishing return: the cost of squeezing out modest gains exceeded the profit potential of the advances. We can expect the same trajectory of change in consumer electronics: it will be ubiquity that creates change, rather than technological leaps in capabilities.

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Russia Chemical Attack Probe Shows "Weapons Similar To Ones Made By Rebels"

While John Kerry remains adamant that it is "undeniable" that the Assad regime was behind the chemical weapon attacks in Syria, the results of Russia's probe suggest the truth is anything but undeniable...


And perhaps most critically, as Reuters reports, the foreign minstry statement asserts that Russian expert findings show the weapon used in the Syrian chemical attack was similar to the ones made by a rebel group.

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Is This The Chart That Has Spooked German Stock Bulls?

After strong performance for the last 3 months as investors around the world turn their eye towards Europe as the hot-money inflow area for clean dirty shirt macro tourists, the core of Europe's hope, Germany, has seen its equity market stumble a little recently. Since Monday alone, the DAX is down 2%, underperforming such stalwart economies as Spain and Greece. The reason, aside from international money flows and "war-" and "Taper"-premia, appears to be worries that Merkel may be losing popularity. After 17 million watched the German debates on Sunday night, opinion polls show Merkel's opposition, Peer Steinbruck, surged in popularity...

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Kerry, Dempsey And Hagel Move "Syria Pitch" To 'The House' - Live Webcast

Yesterday, it was the Senate committee on foreign relations, today it is the House committee on foreign affairs' turn. Hagel, Kerry, and a seemingly begrudging General Dempsey trudge across the street to re-pitch the 'surgical, 90-day minimum, no-well-maybe-some-boots-on-the-ground' "use of force in Syria," and "weighing the Obama Administration's Response."

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McCain 'Moar War' Trumps Berlusconi's Ouster-Talk As European Stocks Recover Early Losses

European sovereign bond spreads are notably wider on the day as anxiety over Berlusconi buggering-up Italian politics' status quo once again sent investors scurrying from risk-assets early on in the European day. Italian stocks were down 2% (and the rest of themarket down around 1%) before McCain's confirmation of a 'no-vote on narrow scope' seemed to trigger bigger-deficit-spending exuberance in stocks in the US and Europe. The USD was sold (Taper-off) and Treasuries bid which sent EUR higher and AUD surging (AUD's best 3-day run in 21 months!!). European stocks turned back higher in a ridiclously correlated manner to US equities leavingh only Italy red by the end of the day.

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John Kerry To Miss G-20 Summit In Russia, RIA Reports Citing Diplomatic Sources

We have yet to see a western newswire confirmation of this breaking news from the Russian news site RIA, but if true, it likely means that contrary to some speculation that Putin is leaning toward an diplomatic agreement over Syrian strikes, the reality is just the opposite. From RIA, Google translated:


Take it with a grain of salt until there is secondary verification.

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Black Homeownership Collapses As "Livable, Affordable Housing" Slips Out Of Reach

President Obama's speech last during the 50th anniversary of MLK may seem sadly ironic now. As he noted, "Dr. King explained that the goals of African-Americans were identical to working people of all races: decent wages, fair working conditions, livable housing..." but the facts are that, as Bloomberg reports, while, for most Americans, the real estate crash is finally behind them and personal wealth is back where it was in the boom. For blacks in the U.S., 18 years of economic progress has vanished, with a rebound in housing slipping further out of reach and the unemployment rate almost twice that of whites. The homeownership rate for blacks fell from 50% during the housing bubble to 43% in the second quarter, the lowest since 1995. The rate for whites stopped falling two years ago, settling at about 73%, only 3 percentage points below the 2004 peak. As Rev. Alvin Love, who knew Obama in the 80s notes, "it's going to take a generation to get back to the point where homeownership can build wealth in this community."

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