• Tim Knight from...
    09/19/2014 - 20:15
    I was originally going to title this post "Jackie DeAngelis Must Die", but I thought she might take it the wrong way.

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SLV Trading At A Record Discount To NAV

Probably the strangest development in the world of ETFs today is that the silver ETF, SLV, was trading at a discount to its most recently disclosed NAV of 38.1932 at well over 10% earlier, when the spot price of silver dropped to just over $32: an all time record. So momentum-based and emotional is the trading in precious metal ETFs now that there appear to be gaping arbitrage opportunities within these high volume products. Granted, the NAV is updated once a day, and we expect that should today's silver paper price not revert to the NAV, that the NAV will decline. Alternatively, if the price drops, the discount to NAV could creep to yet another all time low. And while these are merely artificial ETF mechanics, which can and should not be traded merely for the sake of their manifestation in the market, the reality is that total COMEX silver just dropped to another fresh all time low, following another 250k ounce reclassification from Registered to Eligible, and the withdrawal of 444k ounces, offset by the receipt of 109.760 ounces by JPMorgan (of all COMEX banks).



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Guest Post: The Fatal Timidity Of The Corporate Media

Lost in all the hand-wringing over the corporate (mainstream) media's decline is a key cause of the decline: the MSM no longer publishes or airs anything that challenges the Status Quo. The timidity of the corporate media knows no bounds. The iconic Washington Post now makes its corporate bread off its ownership of a diploma mill of the sort that it should deplore. The print media has always lived off advertising. What's changed is the overt slavishness of the media toward its advert masters. The deal was this: the media was relevant, so people wanted to read it. Advertisers who wanted to reach this audience had to suck it up and advertise regardless of whether they approved of the content. Now that advertisers have a vast spectrum of choice, they have the upper hand. The media outlets have to sell their audience to advertisers: please give us money, because our audience is huge, or targeted, and oh yes, in all cases special. The media, corporate and non-traditional alike, could count on subscriptions to pay the basic bills. No more. "Free" content is of course not free: somebody has to pay the electricity bills for the servers and the staff to post the content, even if it's skimmed from other sites. The corporate media is fatally timid because it's running scared. The focus is on profits that must be made and shipped to restive shareholders and managers, and on keeping a job to pay the mortgage.



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Chinese Frauds Account For 80% Of Nasdaq Permanent Trading Halts

In light of another fraud allegation against China Biotics which will likely soon join the Nasdaq trading halt page, we decided to take a quick look at the Nasdaq trading halts page. To our complete lack of surprise, Chinese fraud dominates with an iron fist: of 19 halted stocks (GFC has three classes of securities halted), 15 of the name are Chinese. Of these 15 Chinese names, none were on this list when we first warned of the imminent surge in reverse merger fraud back in November. Luckily, judging by the horrendous performance in recent Chinese IPOs, even with the criminal abdication of enforcement duty by the regulators, it appears that the gambling frenzy is over. Below we present the complete list of Nasdaq trading halts with Chinese names highlighted in red. No further commentary is necessary. And to all those who bought puts on these stocks, correctly predicting the names are nothing but mini ponzi schemes, please send your complaints to the SEC and the Nasdaq, which is more focused on raising HY debt to LBO any and every exchange still for sale, than actually monitoring what crap it floats.



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Fukushima Reactor 1 Fuel Rods Fully Exposed, Reactor 4 In Danger Of Collapsing

Remember Fukushima? The exploded nuclear power plant that everyone was talking about two months ago and now the media has imposed a complete blackout on, because out of print/page views, means out of radioactive spewage, right? Wrong. According to the latest update from a now government funded TEPCO, "fuel
rods are fully exposed in the No. 1 reactor at its stricken
Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant, setting back the utility’s
plan to resolve the crisis. The water level is 1 meter (3.3 feet) below the base of the fuel assembly, Junichi Matsumoto, a general manager at the utility known as Tepco, told reporters at a briefing in Tokyo. Melted fuel has dropped to the bottom of the pressure vessel and is still being cooled, Matsumoto said. The company doesn’t know how long the rods have been exposed, he said." And apparently even more skeptics are emerging: "“I’ve been saying from the beginning the water tomb plan won’t work,” said Tadashi Narabayashi, a professor of nuclear engineering at Hokkaido University. “Tepco must work on a water circulation cooling system as soon as possible. They’ve been going round and round in circles and now realize this is what they need to do.” And the kicker: "It’s unlikely the situation has worsened with the discovery the rods are exposed because they’ve probably been out of the water since shortly after the crisis started, Narabayashi said." Which means that the situtation has indeed been dire from the very beginning, that TEPCO and the government have been lying, that radiation has been spewing, and that prevalent radiation is likely far higher than most have conceived. Pretty much as was predicted on Zero Hedge long ago.



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Guest Post: Liberty Cinema: Media That Inspire Us

The fog of lies seeping from the corrosive tar pits of Washington D.C. is getting thicker by the day, our social environment has become a vortex of confusing mismatched messages and conflicting data, and getting a straight answer from any mainstream outlet has become a fools errand. For those of us who are awake and aware, it seems as though our senses are under attack every minute of everyday. We are overwhelmed with illusions, delusions, mirages, and unsupported opinions masquerading as cold hard fact. Sometimes, we need media that inspires us and teaches us, rather than attacking us with amoralist rhetoric and rewriting our history in real time. Sometimes, we need to know we are not alone in our daily fight against disinformation. We need to know that there are, and always have been, others out there who see the truths that we see. Sometimes, we just need a break from the propaganda machine. In the hopes of providing for you as many moments of rest as possible, I have listed below some of the films and other media which have, at the very least, messages that support the vestiges of liberty and free thought. Some people may disagree with certain choices, and certainly, not all of the films below are examples of “artistic auteurism”, but at least they don’t spew up the bile of globalism and collectivism all over your living room when you watch them, which is always a nice change of pace. Onward with the show…



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Carbon Copy Commodity Crackdown Complete: And Now The Bounce And Another Margin Hike Frenzy?

And now the replica commodity crack down from last week is complete, with a near identical price action repeat of what happened last Thursday and Friday.



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More "Market Conditions": GM Stock Sale May Be Delayed

First the AIG refiling, which may be pulled if the offering price has to be at a loss for the Treasury (below $29) and now:

  • GM STOCK SALE MAY BE DELAYED UNTIL MID-AUG. OR SEPT.: NY TIMES

It seems market conditions now are any pullback in the Russell 2000 more than 1%



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Watch Every US Regulator And Ben Bernanke Testify On Do-nk And Financial (In)Stability

Every regulator in the universe will be present at Senate Banking Committee hearing discussing Dodd-Frank (Do-nk) Monitoring Systemic Risk and Promoting Financial Stability. Which means there will be nobody to greenlight a margin hike for at least 2-3 hours, as supposedly even Blackberries are not allowed. Which means crude may even lift a few offers before today's take down brings it to $80 by EOD courtesy of Obama's E*trade account.



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Dick Bove Cuts Goldman To Sell, Lowers Price Target From $163 To $120

From a note: The rating on Goldman Sachs stock is being lowered to Sell from Neutral. The price target is being cut to $120 per share from $163 per share. It now appears that the pressure on the Justice Department to bring a criminal lawsuit against Goldman is building to a high pitch. The new Matt Taibbi article in Rolling Stone Magazine is another all-out attack on the company. However, this time the attack is backed by a 650 page Senate report signed by both a Democrat and a Republican.



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Crude Plunges, But Someone Tell The Gas Stations And Refiners: Average Price Of Regular Rises By 2.2 Cents Overnight

Once again someone forgot to tell gas station operators that the CME is doing all it can to generate a feedback loop which kills commodity prices and general price stability (price plunges, vol surges, leading to margin hikes, leading to more plunges, leading to even more vol and even more margin hikes, etc). After gas prices rose by about a cent yesterday, the rise according to AAA continues, with average gas prices on the verge of a post 2008 high, even as crude prices have taken a nearly $20 hit in the past two weeks. Yesterday the average regular price was $3.984, up from $3.962 yesterday, and unchanged from a week ago.



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Trifecta Of Bad Data: Initial Claims Bad (New York Layoffs Surge), PPI Ugly, Retail Sales Miss

While last month's upward revised 478K number was not repeated, just released initial claims still continued at the NFP busting 434K, worse than consensus of 430K. At this level of initial ciams, the economy is losing about 50K jobs per month. According to the release, the primary factor was New York State, which saw a surge in Initial Claims of +24,431, due to "Layoffs in the transportation and service industries." Continuing claims were just as bad, at 3,756K on expectations of 3,700K, with the previous number revised, how else but, higher to 3,751K. And just as notably, the 99 week cliff impairs eve more people, as a total of 17K people dropped off EUC and Extended Benefits. Elsewhere, PPI came higher than expected, with April PPI data at 0.8% on expectations of 0.6%, up from 0.7% before, confirming that delayed downstream inflation effects will plague the economy for a long time. Concluding the trifecta of bad data was advance retail sales, which came at 0.5%, below expectations of 0.6%, with the previous revised much higher from 0.4% to 0.9%. And retail sales ex the volatile autos and gas was up a token 0.2%, compared to expectations of 0.5%, down from a revised 0.7%.



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War On "Speculators" Goes Global: Shanghai Gold Exchange Hikes Silver Margins For Third Time In A Month

Globalization sure can be fun: just as the Fed has now ordained Japan to carry out the global reliquification scheme in the form of a new, and powerful batch of QE, so the regional war on (Fed liquidity engorged) speculators has just gone global. Following 5 consecutive silver margin hikes by the CME (which oddly did nothing on yesterday's price collapse even as the silver vol surged to near record levels) at which point it would appear silly for the exchange to continue its speculator eradication campaign, the memo has now been sent to foreign bourses. Sure enough, the Shanghai Gold Exchange has just announced it is hiking both the silver margin to 19% as well as the price limit on gold to 13%.



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Frontrunning: May 12

  • Don’t Let Go of the (Wall Street) Anger (William Cohan)
  • Blame Washington, D.C., Not Wall Street (RCM)
  • Fed Officials Divided on Policy Outlook (Reuters)
  • Goldman Sachs Viewed Unfavorably by 54%. (Bloomberg)... although either that number is really 154% or Junker "edited' it
  • Bill Proposes Mortgage Shake-Up (WSJ)
  • Obama Defense Cuts Under Fire (FT)
  • Japan Confirms Fukushima Nuclear Reactor 4 Leaning And In Danger Of Complete Collapse (Intel Hub)
  • Portugal's Aid Plan Advances (WSJ)
  • UK Country Risk: Is Lloyd's of London Too Big to Sue? (IRR)
  • Osama Bin Laden Journal Said to Outline Plots (Bloomberg)
  • Italian, and Goldmanite, Set to Lead Europe's Top Bank (WSJ)


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Today's Economic Data Docket - Initial Claims, PPI, Retail Sales And More Debt Ceiling Busting

Following last week's surge to 474,000, everyone will be seeking confirmation of whether the dramatic deterioration in labor conditions is permanent or merely "seasonally adjusted." We also get PPI and retail sales data, and the last of three auctions ($16 billion in 30 Year notes) which effectively puts the US over the ceiling. Lastly, Bernanke talks to the Senate Banking Committee on regulatory issues.



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Finland To Support Portugal Bail Out In Exchange For Collateralization, Asset Sales

And so the stealthy campaign by Europe to asset strip its debtor prison nation continues. After on Saturday it was made clear that Europe will force Greece to issue an effective DIP loan ahead of its own bankruptcy, collateralizing post-petition creditors, and pushing existing sub noteholders lower in the cap structure, so the same scheme will now be used by Europe to grant Portugal rescue funding in exchange for Finland's "agreement" to help save the country. Per Bloomberg: "Finland will back a bailout for Portugal provided the third euro member to require aid in 12 months agrees to conditions including state asset sales. In addition, Finland wants a guarantee that bailout donors will get their loans repaid before private investors, he said." Which simply said, means that as PIIGS, already held hostage by a monetary union which threatens with world extinction should it be unwound, and by bankers who promise to never lend money should they be forced to take even once cent in senior debt impairments, will next be forced to literally sell themselves off at n blue light special auctions, where the liquidation sale biggest bidders will be none other than the very same financial institutions who have put these countries in their terminal predicament. Incidentally, all this is coming to municipalities and local governments in the US very, very soon.



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