Why Next Week's CPI Number Will Be A Big Miss

teaser image
teaser image

"when we looked closely at shelter costs, particularly at the owner equivalent rent (OER) component, we found reason for optimism that shelter inflation could fall soon and bring down core inflation."


"The Polling Data Has Been Wrong All Along": Watch Biden Deny Economic Reality In Train-Wreck CNN Interview

teaser image
teaser image

“We’ve already turned it around,”


Peter Schiff: Rate Hikes On The Horizon?

teaser image
teaser image

"The markets believe that the Fed is going to succeed. This is pure nonsense! ..."


Yields Slide To Session Low After Stellar 30Y Auction

teaser image
teaser image

Overall, this was a very strong close to refunding week, and the market clearly approved with yields sliding to session lows in kneejerk reaction to the solid demand for the ultra-long dated paper.


Trump Announces 'Major Motion' Filed In New York Appeals Court Over Gag-Happy Judge

teaser image
teaser image

The former president made the announcements on Thursday morning before his so-called “hush-money” trial started.


Biden's Handling Of Israel War Has "Tremendously Increased The Risk Of A Fresh Eruption"

teaser image
teaser image

The inflationary impact of various potential forms (i.e., look at the Houthis)-- has increased in tandem.


What Frustrates Americans The Most About The Tax System

teaser image
teaser image

Six in every 10 Americans feel that both corporations and the wealthy don’t pay their 'fair share' in federal taxes.


We Need To Talk About Recession Risk Again

teaser image
teaser image

It’s time once more to increase vigilance for a US recession...


Watch: Billionaire Real Estate Investor Expects 'One Or Two' Bank Failures A Week, UK Economist Says "Entering A New Dark Age"

teaser image
teaser image

"You're going to see a regional bank fail every day, or not... every week, maybe two a week..."


The Missing Piece Of The Puzzle: Behind The Inexplicable "Strength" Of US Consumers Is $700 Billion In "Phantom Debt"

teaser image
teaser image

“BNPL essentially lets people dig a deeper and deeper hole of credit, which will be harder and harder to climb out of”


House Passes 'Electoral Integrity' Bill To Restore Citizenship Question To Census

teaser image
teaser image

James Comer said Congress is taking steps to "proactively protect a fair electoral process"...


Biden Accused Of Helping Hamas As Israelis Fume Over Threat To Halt Weapons

teaser image
teaser image

Delegations leave Cairo with no ceasefire deal...


To Prevent A Banking Crisis, The Fed Must Cut; But...

teaser image
teaser image

In all its hubris, the Fed is stuck between preventing a banking crisis and preventing inflation from getting even more out of control...


Denver Illegals Make Demands, Include 'Culturally Appropriate' Food, Lawyers, Unlimited Showers And Warnings Before Evictions

teaser image
teaser image

They also want "the same housing support that has been offered to others..."


Gold's Pause

teaser image
teaser image
Is this just a much needed consolidation before the next move higher?

Stocks And Bonds Rise Together As Inflation Fears Take Backseat

teaser image
teaser image

Stocks and bonds are rising together at the moment, but the flipside of that positive correlation is that they can fall together too...


Revenge Travel Peaked? Airbnb Pukes On Travel Spending Slowdown Forecast 

teaser image
teaser image

So, is the revenge travel mania over? 


Biden's Partial Arms Embargo On Israel Is Aimed At Pressuring It Into A Regional Peace Deal

teaser image
teaser image

...the US expects that Bibi will indeed be pressured by this newfound policy into compromising on Gaza, which could discredit his leadership among the ultra-nationalist members of his coalition on whom his government depends...


Gold, Stocks, & Bonds Jump As 'Bad' Jobs News Reignites Rate-Cut Hopes

teaser image
teaser image

This level of 'data dependence' in an illiquid market will not end well..


"Deep Freeze": Jack Smith Has Few Options In Trump Case, Say Former Prosecutors

teaser image
teaser image

"Realistically there is nothing Jack Smith can do to move the Mar-a-Lago case forward to trial before the election..."