Payrolls Rise 178K As Unemployment Rate Tumbles To 4.6% But Average Hourly Earnings Worst Since 2014

While the headline November payrolls print came in almost on top of expectations at 178K, vs consensus of 180K there were two big surprises in today's report, one being the unemployment rate which plunged from 4.9% to 4.6%, well below the 4.9% expected, but the biggest negative surprise was that the Average hourly earnings in November dropped by 0.1%, far below last month's 0.4% rise, and below the 0.2% expected

"A Watershed Month" - November Sees Greatest "Asset Rotation" Since 2013

The final November fund flow numbers are in, and as BofA's Michael Hartnett puts it, November was a "watershed month" for fund flows with the largest 5-week bond outflows in 3.5 years (Chart 1), largest 3-week precious metals outflows in 3.5 years (Chart 3) and largest 4-week equity inflows in 2 years.

Gross Echoes Gundlach, Says Trump Rally Is Misguided: "Move To Cash"

On the heels of Jeff Gundlach's "there's going to be a buyer's remorse period" warnings yesterday, the other 'bond king' has raised similar fears that the Trump rally is overdone (as are the prospects for growth behind it). Putting aside the book-talking as their bond portfolios suffer, Gross echoes Gundlach's "Trump's not the wizard of oz" comments, noting that the next president faces serious structural headwinds and warns investors "should move to cash," as any fiscal stimulus gains will be temporary at best.

Frontrunning: December 2

  • Futures fall ahead of jobs report (Reuters)
  • Obama to Block Second Chinese Deal on Security Concerns (BBG)
  • Trump Exults in Victory and Mocks Critics at Ohio Rally (BBG)
  • China's Central Bank Is Facing a Major New Headache (BBG)
  • Trump considering Goldman Sachs COO Cohn for energy secretary (Reuters)

"A Generation That Has Never Been Told 'No'" Daniel Hannan Destroys Anti-Trump Protestors' Safe Spaces

In just two short minutes MEP Daniel Hannan destroys the competitive virtue-signalling farce that is the Anti-Trump protestor, "this is the first generation that has been brought up not to tolerate opinions that they dislike... and they have been taught that the correct response to someone saying something you find 'hurtful' is to try and silence that person..." This is not about Trump, this is about a generation "that has never been told 'no' and can't handle disagreement."

The Battle For Aleppo Is Over, Now The Real War Has Begun

Aleppo is the key to the Syrian ‘civil war.’ Now that pro-Assad forces have won the day it touches off a number of responses around the region.  This further breaks down the position of U.S/NATO-backed forces trying to oust Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from power, regardless of what Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has to say about it.  All of this means that the likelihood of some ugly false flag incident rises by the hour.

How December 4th Could Trigger The "Most Violent Economic Shock In History"

Italians are angrier now than they’ve been since they hung Il Duce up by his heels in 1945. Italy has had no productive growth since 1999. Real GDP per person is smaller than it was at the turn of the century. That’s almost two decades of economic stagnation. By any measure, the Italian economy is in a deep depression. And things will probably get much worse. It’s no surprise Italians are in a revolutionary mood...

Germany Submits To Sharia Law

A German court has ruled that seven Islamists who formed a vigilante patrol to enforce Sharia law on the streets of Wuppertal did not break German law and were simply exercising their right to free speech. The "politically correct" decision, which may be appealed, effectively authorizes the Sharia Police to continue enforcing Islamic law in Wuppertal.

The 20 Most Sinister Psyop Leaflets Of All Time

Some of the weirdest and most disturbing advertisements ever created are done so for military campaigns. They come in the form of propaganda leaflets, which are dropped by air or otherwise disseminated into a country or territory that is being invaded. The intention is to use psychology and symbolism to influence members of the general population, inciting fear and, ultimately, compliance.

JPMorgan Tells Investors: Ignore Mainstream Media

"Geopolitical developments should be gauged from... non-traditional data sources (such as big data sentiment indicators, independent media outlets, etc.) given the failure of many traditional data sources to anticipate geopolitical developments this year."

Payrolls Preview: Unemployment Rate Expected To Drop (But Blame The Weather & Calendar If Not)

A series of stronger than expected data in recent days pushed Goldman Sachs to up their payrolls growth expectation to 200k (above the 180k expectations), but they note that while the unemployment rate is likely to drop (to 4.8%), average hourly earnings may disappoint. Of course, they add, any non-narrative-confirming misses on the data can likely be explained away by "weather effects and residual seasonality."

70% Of Immigrants Admitted Under Obama's "Minor Refugee" Program Are Actually Adults

In 2014, the Obama administration signed an executive order intended to help Central American minors reach their families in the U.S. without relying on "human smugglers."  Two years later we find that 70% of those admitted under the program are adults while the number of unaccompanied children apprehended at the border has doubled.  Victory!?