'Signal Matters More Than The Flow': What Goldman Thinks About Trump's Big Bond-Buying Bonanza

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...this is effectively housing-targeted QE executed via the executive...


US Adds Only 50K Jobs In December, Missing Estimates, But Unemployment Rate Drops To 4.4%

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This was a goldilocks report: neither too hot (with NFP missing) nor too cold (as unemp rate dropped), which leaves the Fed on autopilot and likely to cut at least 2 more times this year, absent any major changes.


GM Cuts EV Exposure After Policy Shift, Takes $6B Charge

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Imagine all of the malinvestment that took place in autos, on EVs, thank to the government distorting markets and forcing EV adoption when genuine demand may not have been robust.


Risk-Off Trades Top Anti-Consensus Playbook For 2026

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Net-net, this market feels like it’s chopping everyone up...


UMich Confidence Rebounds In January Off Record Lows As Tariff Fears Abate

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...consumers’ worries about tariffs appear to be gradually receding..."


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Happening Today: Trump Meeting With US Oil Execs From Exxon, Shell, Others, To Discuss Venezuela

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Leaders from Chevron, Exxon, ConocoPhillips, Continental, Halliburton, HKN, Valero, Marathon, Shell, Trafigura, Vitol Americas, Repsol, Eni, Aspect Holdings, Tallgrass, Raisa Energy and Hilcorp are expected to attend...


The Offense in Defense Is Getting Crowded

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Defense has logged 6 straight days of inflows — the 2nd longest streak since October (GS).

Supreme Court Skips Tariff Ruling

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Justices take to the bench at 10AM EST...


"World's Criminals On Notice": Trump's Gunboat Diplomacy Seizes Another Tanker In Caribbean

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"The ghost fleets will not outrun justice." 


Meta Signs Massive Nuclear Energy Deal

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The initial plan is to offtake over 2000 MW of power from nuclear power plants owned by Vistra energy in Ohio, assist with fast tracking two reactors from TerraPower, and send a pre-payment to Oklo for securing nuclear fuel and advancing the first stage of a project in Ohio.


Ukraine Hit With Oreshnik Hypersonic As Retaliation For Attempted 'Terror Attack' On Putin Residence

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Kremlin charges the US & European allies with forming "axis of war"...


Futures Muted Ahead Of Two Key Events

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“The market is hoping for the jobs data to land on the fairway. Too much job creation would hint the economy is getting hot while a number close to zero would point, in contrast, to a slump. Neither option is good.”


Lenders & Homebuilders Jump After Trump Unveils QE-Style $200B Mortgage Bond Buying Plan To Unfreeze Housing Market

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"Trump's post about buying MBS and the potential impact on rates was the first piece of potentially good news for the builders..." 


Atlanta Fed Nearly Doubles Q4 Growth Estimate To 5.4% After Strong Data

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Stronger economic data and delayed releases point to more robust U.S. growth momentum toward the end of the year...


Debasement & 'Running Hot': Top Goldman Macro Trader Says 2026 Is "All About The US, Stupid!"

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A year where (as is often the case) the headline returns masked the volatility, pain, noise and churn from point to point...


Six Global Energy Trends Shaping The Middle East In 2026

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Middle Eastern NOCs reinforced their role as a critical buffer in the global energy system through a consistent strategy of capacity expansion and cost reduction...


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December Jobs Preview: The Rebound Continues

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"This consumer-led expansion has been peculiar due to a lack of hiring as spending / growth accelerated higher. Now, do we see hiring return adding more support to a stronger than average aggregate consumer?"


Schhh — Shanghai Soaring

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Remarkably, the latest China bull is still barely on the radar.

Did Gen-Z Just Get A Taste For Fancy Used-Watches

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"The market for chunkier sports models from brands like Rolex has been on a roller coaster..." 


Wife Jailed After Caging, Starving & Boiling Husband With 60 Chihuahuas As Belgian Court Rejects Menopause Excuse

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A Belgian judge was unimpressed by claims that early menopause explained months of extreme domestic abuse that left a 48-year-old man a "burned skeleton"...