Crude Tumbles Below $50 After Biggest Cushing Build Since Jan 2009

Crude prices are lower this morning following API's huge reported build at Cushing (biggest since 2008) and fears over OPEC deal realities. With expectations for a crude draw (on lower imports), DOE confirmed a bigger than expected overall draw but also Cushing saw a 3.78mm barrel build - the biggest since Jan 2009. Both Distillates and Gasoline (most since Jan) also saw bigger than expected builds as US production dropped very modestly.

Our "Gaslight" Economy

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Italy PM Renzi To Resign Today After Approval Of Budget Bill

In what appears to be an unexpected development, following yesterday's news that Renzi would hold off resigning for the immediate future, moments ago the Italian prime minister tweeted that he would formally resign at 7pm local time, well ahead of expectations, following passage of the budget bill.

Gold & Silver Spike, Erase Italy Vote Losses

After puking over $30 from post-Italy vote highs, gold prices are jumping this morning and have erased the losses. Silver is soaring, breaking back above $17, well above pre-Italy levels...

OPEC Cheating Will Cap Oil At $52

OPEC succeeded in pulling off what many thought was impossible, overcoming mutual disdain and mistrust to reach a deal on reducing its oil output. Oil prices skyrocketed on the news, up more than 12% since the agreement was announced last week. But what if there is much less to the deal than meets the eye? What if OPEC does not actually follow through on the promised production cuts?

Another Trump Win: Apple Supplier Foxconn Says It Is In Discussions To Expand US Operations

There is over a month left until Trump's inauguration, and the President-elect's hard-hitting negotiating style may have scored yet another economic victory: according to a statement issued by Foxconn, the world's largest contract electronics manufacturer and a major Apple Inc supplier, the company said it was in preliminary discussions to expand its operations in the United States.

Frontrunning: December 7

  • Futures rise for third day in a row (Reuters); Banks Lead Stock Rally as Bonds Gain With Hopes Pinned on Draghi (BBG)
  • Monte dei Paschi bolsters European stocks, ECB looms (Reuters)
  • Finding Risk in All the Wrong Places as Trump Era Begins (BBG)
  • Goldman Tells Stock Pickers to Rejoice as Correlations Decline (BBG)
  • Trump’s ‘Wall’ at Mexico Border Vanishing as GOP Lawmakers Bolt (BBG)

"Panicked" Citi Trader "Who Fired Off Repeated Sell Orders" Behind Pound Flash Crash

A probe into October’s sterling "flash crash" has focused on the Japanese trading operations of Citigroup, which fired off repeated sell orders that exacerbated the pound’s fall. One of the US bank’s traders "panicked" and placed multiple sell orders when the currency slumped in unusually fragile market conditions.

JPMorgan, HSBC, Credit Agricole "Bank Cartel" Fined $521 Million For Euribor Rigging

The European Commission has fined Crédit Agricole, HSBC and JPMorgan Chase, a total of €485m for participating in a cartel concerning the pricing of interest rate derivatives denominated in euros. “The aim of the cartel was to distort” Euribor, said EU competition policy chief Vestager. The traders involved "tried to submit quotes to move the Euribor rate up or down."

Longest Winning Streak For Global Stocks Since September On Monte Paschi Bailout Hopes, ECB Optimism

Global stocks extended the longest winning streak since September, with Asia up 0.8% and Europe rising 0.7% while bonds and credit markets strengthened amid hopes that the European Central Bank will prolong quantitative easing, while optimism an Italian bailout of Monte Paschi will prevent European bank contagion, has pushed European financial stocks higher. US equity futures were little changed.

Trump About To Preside Over New Global Financial Crisis: "Not His Fault, Merely His Misfortune"

"A new global financial panic will be one legacy of the Trump administration. It won’t be Trump’s fault, merely his misfortune... Since 2008, the largest banks in the world are larger in terms of gross assets, share of total deposits, and notional value of derivatives. Everything that was too-big-to-fail in 2008 is bigger and exponentially more dangerous today."