• 09/21/2014 - 14:52
    Dear Janet; If I may be so forward, as a concerned citizen of the Constitutional Republic of the United States, it is with great consternation that I feel compelled to write you this distressing...

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America’s Big Bet On Natural Gas And Big Short On Coal

America is betting the kitchen sink on natural gas. No matter which estimate you look at -- the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the International Energy Agency, or Wall Street banks -- two things are clear: the United States is slated to consume enormous amounts of natural gas and the dominant fuel of electricity generation for the last 50 years, coal, is diminishing. For everyone’s sake, let’s hope the gamble pays off. Because if natural gas fails to live up to the high expectations, there will be less coal to back it up.



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Russell & Trannies Give Up FOMC Gains, Bond Yields Tumbling

This is not what Yellen promised! The Russell 2000 (inching ever closer to its death cross) has plunged today and is now -0.8% from pre-FOMC and negative year-to-date.  Dow Transports have also given up all their post-FOMC gains and Homebuilders have plunged. US Treasury yields have tumbled with 30Y now -3bps on the week (and below pre-FOMC levels). The USD is rising as GBP weakness re-emerges.



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Yahoo Is Not Having A Good Day

One look at YHOO stock and one wonders just what is the creative way that the market, if not Gene Munster of course with his upgrade last night from $4 to $48, believes Marissa Mayer will create several billion in value. Negative value that is. Why several billion? Because when one strips out the 22.6% stake YHOO owns in Alibaba at its current market cap, the net value one gets is just shy of negative $10 billion.



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Alibaba Breaks For Trading At $92.70, Rises Over $99.50, Hits Same Market Cap As Walmart, Drops

The moment everyone had been waiting for just arrived and moments ago BABA broke for trading at $92.70 after its $68 IPO, and promptly traded over $99.50, which means its market cap is now above that of Chevron, and is about to catch up to Walmart's $246 billion. BABA just broke below it's opening print.



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3 Things Worth Thinking About

While we are not predicting that the proverbial "wheels are about the come off the cart," today, this is another in a long list of indications that value in the stock market is no longer present. Of course, this would also suggest this might be, just maybe, a time to start considering "selling high." Of course, such a suggestion is wildly ludicrous and absolutely illogical since it is widely believed that the markets will never go down...ever.



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Precious Metals Liquidated To Make Room For Alibaba, Silver At Four-Year Lows

Precious metals are under pressure once again this morning led by Silver which just hit its lowest since August 2010. It appears investors are liquidating precious metals to make room in their 'safe haven' portfolio for precious Ma's Alibaba IPO... because what could go wrong there... (Russell 2000 is also seeing notable liquidation)



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Scotland's Salmond Resigns After Losing Independence Vote



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Fed's Fisher Admits "Fed Has Levitated Markets", Warns Of "Signs Of Excess"

FOMC voting-member Richard Fisher is among the sanest voices in the Eccles Building asylum and he is once again sounding alarms that all is not well in US financial markets:

*FISHER SAYS FED HAS 'LEVITATED' MARKETS, SEES SIGNS OF EXCESS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS

Furthermore, Fisher notes The Fed can't force companies to hire, and would like to see rate hikes as early as Spring 2015.



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Caterpillar Posts Record 21 Consecutive Months Of Declining Global Retail Sales, Worse Than Financial Crisis

With fake recoveries like these, who needs all too real global recessions?



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Quote Of The Day: Jack Ma Edition

As the Alibaba IPO prepares to open on the NYSE (where they described this as "the biggest and most important IPO of all time," Jack Ma - who explained his hero was Forrest Gump during an interview with CNBC, just joined the Central bankers' 'have faith' club with his dismissal of concerns that all is not well: "Trust Us, Trust The Market" So there it is - from the lips of the richest man in China - trust the billionaires, they know what's best for you...



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One Of These Things Is Not Like The Other

As US equity markets explode higher at the open this morning (Dow over 17,300 and S&P testing 2,020) extending the week's gains to 2%, we thought it intriguing that Treasury yields are now lower on the week... long live the Queen (Janet not Elizabeth), long live Jack Ma, and long live quad-witching.



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Meanwhile, In Front Of Apple Stores In New York And Around The World...

While none of these people, many of whom are unemployed and paid by others to stay in line for days, will spend the $3,600 someone in China just paid for a "gold" iPhone, they will gladly pay hundreds of dollars out of pocket, or in many cases simply lease with zero money down, the latest and greatest aspirational gadget to show they are cooler than they actually are.



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Goldman Warns Tesla Will Need To Raise At Least Another $6 Billion

Following a plant tour to TSLA, Goldman is confident that the company will meet its 2014 production objectives. However, what keeps them more guarded is the aggressive timetable of the gigafactory as well as a potential escalation of capital needs given the planned capacity ramp, model and derivative expansion, service expansion as well as other undisclosed projects. Simply put, Goldman warns, at the low end of our three disruptive scenarios for TSLA, they see the need for an additional $6bn in capital - and 18% dilution to the current market cap around $33bn. With 3Q likely to be a noisy quarter and shares seemingly baking in flawless execution at present, Goldman remains sidelined for now with a $210 target.



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UK Scrambles Fighter Jets To Intercept Two Russian Strategic "Bear" Bombers

While Scotland was busy concluding the count of its votes for or against independence, Royal Air Force fighter jets based out of the northern Scottish base in Lossiemouth in Moray, were scrambled to identify and intercept two airplanes which subsequently were revealed to be Russian Tu-95 Russian "Bear H" strategic bombers, that were spotted in international airspace although the exact location of the encounter has not been disclosed. As the RAF later clarified in a statement, the aircraft did not enter UK airspace. 



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