Economic principles explain why the Saudis began, in late 2014, to pump crude as fast as they could – or close to as fast as possible. In fact, there is a good reason why the Saudi princes are panicked and pumping.
Accelerating the post-Trump speech/RNC convention "bounce" we noted over the weekend, CNN today reports that Trump has taken a dramatic 48% - 45% head-to-head lead over Hillary in the latest CNN/ORC Poll, conducted July 22-24. This represents a substantial 6% surge in support for Trump since the last poll conducted on July 16, and opens up Trump's largest lead over Clinton since September 2015.
WTI Crude (Sept) oil futures have contonued their 6-day slide this mornig, pressing back to a $43 handle at 3-month lows. While the seasonality, both price and oil demand, and gasoline glut remain significant overhangs, it appears a bigger driver for now is the rapid unwind of record long speculative positioning in crude markets.
The key economic releases this week include consumer confidence on Tuesday, the durable goods report on Wednesday, and the advance release of 2nd quarter GDP on Friday. The July FOMC statement will be released on Wednesday at 2PM. There are several scheduled speeches from Fed officials this week. 197 S&P 500 companies are due to report (or 38% of the index market cap) with the notable names including Apple, Verizon, Facebook, Coca-Cola, Alphabet, Exxon Mobil and Chevron.
You want to make America strong again? The only way to do so is to start telling the truth and insisting on the truth. Accepting statistical lies, propaganda and fraud as "truth" because it's easy and doesn't challenge our assumptions is a one-way road to ruin.
Almost a decade after Microsoft made an unsolicited bid to acquire Yahoo for $50 billion, moments ago Verizon confirmed recent rumors that it would acquire Yahoo operating business for approximately $4.83 billion in cash, far below initial estimates floated several months ago that the segment could sell for as much as $10 billion. So how much does Marissa Meyer collect for "creating value" at the company during her 5 year tenure? Somewhere around $300 million.
There has been little notable market moves overnight, with the record rally in the S&P500 set to continue and European stocks climbing as German IFO business confidence proved more resilient than economists predicted in the month after Britain voted to leave the European Union, falling less than expected from 108.7 to 108.3, above the 107.5 consensus, with expectations printing at 102.2 above the 101.2 expected. Bonds fell with gold as the dollar gained before central bank meetings in the U.S. and Japan this week.
One month after the tragic Oralando shooting, which has since been swept away by a series of increasingly more escalating, disturbing and deadly mass shooting assaults in Europe, moments ago newswires reported that at least two people were killed and "at least 14-16" wounded during in a shooting at a Florida nightclub, police said early Monday. The incident happened during a "teen night" in the parking lot of Club Blu in Fort Myers at around 12:30 a.m. ET.
The Democratic party was in turmoil on Sunday afternoon, when just hours ahead of the Democratic National Convention which begins on Monday on Philadelphia, the chair of the Party - DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz - resigned amid a furor over the humiliating Wikileaks email release, hoping to head off a growing rebellion by Bernie Sanders. And in a stunning move, moments later Hillary announced that Wasserman Schultz would serve as an honorary chair on Clinton's campaign.
Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, Viktor Orban, Nigel Farage and myriad other populist, right-wing leaders sprouting over much of the Western World, are being tagged by the political ruling class as an ill-conceived, hate-fest phenomenon; and often portrayed as the mutant offspring of fascism. This mischaracterization could end up being the undoing of the now-ruling political class, not just in some European nations but also in the US.
Portuguese banks, already undercapitalised and loaded with bad debt, are bracing for heavy losses from Lisbon’s so far unsuccessful attempts to sell Novo Banco, the lender salvaged from the collapse of Banco Espírito Santo.
After the blood-filled train - an eyewitness said it "looked like a slaughterhouse" - came to a stop, the teenager jumped off and tried to escape. Surrounded by police, he lunged at them with an axe. Police shot the attacker dead because "there was no other option." Green Party MP Renate Künast criticized the police for using lethal force, tweeting: "Why could the attacker not have been incapacitated without killing him???? Questions!" Künast's comments provoked a furious backlash.
According to The Paper, major internet portals in China including Sina, Sohu, Netease and Ifeng.com have shut down some of their original reporting operations after receiving “harsh criticism” from country’s top industry regulator. As Bloomberg adds, the Cyberspace Administration of China has cited portals for violating China’s internet regulations by carrying plenty of news content obtained through original reporting.
With the yen strengthening ~12% against the US dollar and the Nikkei down ~10% YTD, it seems Haruhiko “Peter Pan” Kuroda is having a difficult time working his magic in favor of Abenomics. As the WSJ reports, Kuroda is under increasing pressure from the Prime Minister’s advisers to coordinate efforts to jumpstart the economy. Earlier this month, we first reported of the secretive meeting between Kuroda and Bernanke, where the former Fed Chairman urged Japan to unleash helicopter money.
The suspect behind an explosion that injured 12 people in Bavaria was a 27-year-old asylum seeker from Syria, Bavarian Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann says early Monday. The suspect, who arrived in Germany two years ago, died in the blast. He had been previously refused asylum.
After the close Friday, Nintendo admitted that the earnings impact from the newly-released 'Pokemon Go' game would be limited (and that it has no plans to adjust its forecasts). This has sent Nintendo shares down over 17% today, following last Wednesday's 12% collapse. Today's drop is now the largest since Ocvtober 1990...