• Marc To Market
    08/29/2015 - 10:18
    Dollar recovered from the exaggerated panic at the start of last week.  Outlook is still constructive.  Here is an overview of the technical condition of currencies, bonds, oil , and S&...

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"It's Just A Correction!"

It's healthy... good for you... like broccoli?



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Rutgers University Warns Students - "There Is No Such Thing As Free Speech"

"Things have changed since I started teaching. The vibe is different. I wish there were a less blunt way to put this, but my students sometimes scare me - particularly the liberal ones....The idea that institutions must acknowledge wrongdoing is central to academic work."

BINGO. This is so essential to a functioning, ethical society, and is something that never happens in modern America. Ever.



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JPM Head Quant Warns Second Market Crash May Be Imminent: Violent Selling Could Return On Thursday

"Price insensitive" flows are starting to materialize, and our goal is to estimate their likely size and timing. These technical flows are determined by algorithms and risk limits, and can hence push the market away from fundamentals.  The obvious risk is if these technical flows outsize fundamental buyers. In the current environment of low liquidity, they may cause a market crash such as the one we saw at the US market open on Mondaay"



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Who Will Be The Bagholders This Time Around?

Anyone betting China's GDP is really expanding at 7% and the U.S. economy will grow by 3.7% next quarter is angling to be a bagholder. Once global assets roll over for good, it's important to recall that somebody owns these assets all the way down. These owners are called bagholders, as in "left holding the bag." Those running the rigged casino have to select the bagholders in advance, lest some fat-cat cronies inadvertently get stuck with losses.



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Chinese Man Jumps From 17th Floor In First Stock Market Casualty

It appears the collapse of China's stock market has officially taken its first victim. While we have heard from desperate farmers who lost everything after realizing that making money in stocks is not easier than farmwork, RT reports that a 57-year-old man has allegedly committed suicide in Shenyang, the largest city in Liaoning Province, by jumping off the 17th floor of a building with a black briefcase "full of stock-related materials," local press reported.



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Media Blackout: Canada Plans To Dump Nuclear Waste Less Than Mile From US Border

Over the last few years, the United States has not had the best track record with Deep Geologic Repositories (DGR) for nuclear waste. In February of 2014, the U.S.’ DGR, known as the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), had two separate incidents that compromised the integrity of the project by releasing airborne radioactive contamination. While most U.S. citizens were relatively unaffected by the events, our Canadian neighbors have proposed a plan to construct a DGR 0.6 miles from America’s largest source of fresh water, the Great Lakes — and the U.S. State Department is remaining relatively uninvolved.



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No Weakness Here : 7 Year Auction Stops Through, Highest Bid To Cover Since November

If the last two auctions, the 2 and 5 Year, were both wildly disappointing and confirmed what we had said that foreign central banks are no longer a strong demand presence in the short-end, today's 7 Year was a welcome surprise to anyone who is holding on to Treasury longs. Moments ago the 7 Year When Issued was trading at 1.939%, so when the 1.930% high yield print hit the tape, longs everywhere collectively exhaled in approval observing the 0.9 bps stop through.  The internals were likewise strong, with the Bid to Cover of 2.526 highest since November's 2.635, as Indirects kept their take down flat, absorbing 50.84% of the auction as Directs took down 14.15%, the highest since January, leaving 35.00% to the Dealers.



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VIX Backwardation Continues - It's Not Over Yet

While oil prices are surging (global economic meltdown averted), stocks are back in the green on the week (crisis averted), and bonds are collapsing (not because of China selling according to the mainstream because "everything is awesome" again), we point traders' attention to the continued inversion in the VIX term structure. While well off the peak crisis levels, we have a long way to go to "normalized" levels of risk...



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HFTs Are Overheating: CenturyLink Reports "Catastrophic" HVAC Failure At NJ2 Data Center, Starting "Safe Shut Down"

If today's ridiculous move is the kind that no retail investors would chase, it is precisely what HFTs around the globe love: nothing but momentum, momentum, momentum. In fact, HFTs are trading so much, they are literally overheating!



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USDJPY Explodes 500 Pips From Monday Lows

Wondering why the world's risk assets are all exploding higher... wonder no more. JPY - funding currency of choice for many leveraged traders - has been monkey-hammered 500 pips lower against the USD in the last few days with the last 24 hours, since Kuroda unleashed his comedy gold last night, seeing another 150 pips surge...



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Former Greek FinMin Varoufakis Launches Pan-European Anti-Austerity Political Party

Varoufakis’ fans get ready! The ex finance minister is preparing to launch a European movement that will develop into a political party. Yanis Varoufakis will push for a Pan-?uropean network to fight austerity. Instead of running for the upcoming elections, he will put his energy into political action on European level.



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For Albert Edwards This Is The One Definitive Measure That "We Are Now In A Bear Market"

Over the years, Socgen's Albert Edwards has repeatedly expressed his skepticism of both the economy and the market (the longest US equity "bull market" since 1945) both propped up by generous central banks injecting liquidity by the tens of trillions (at this point nobody really knows the number now that the 'black box' that is China has entered the global "plunge protection" game) and yet never did he have as "conclusive" a call as he does today. As the following note reveals, when looking at one particular indicator, Edwards is now convinced: 'we are now in a bear market."



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Silver Is Soaring



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A Nation Divided - Northeast Happiest In 8 Years As MidWest Comfort Collapses

Presented with little comment, aside to ask why is Bloomberg "Consumer Comfort" for The NorthEast region at its highest in 8 years, when The Midwest region's "Comfort" is plunging to its lowest since Nove 2014?



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S&P 500 Surges 5.9% - Biggest 2-Day Spike Since Fed Announced QE1

The 5.9% rise in the last 2 days is the largest for the S&P 500 since March 11th 2009 - when The Fed announced QE1...



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