Greek stocks may be closed and the bond market super-illiquid but traders are willing to dump GGBs at almost any price for now. 10Y Greek government bonds are spiking over 400bps and have topped 15% for the first time since December 2012.
Because nothing of import happened this weekend. And if it did, the central banks "got it covered."
After breaking to 6 year lows in May, expectations were for a bounce in Dallas Fed's Manufacturing Outlook from -20.8 to -16. After missing expectations for six straight months, June's bounce to a -7.0 print is the biggest best since January 2012. This surge was all due to the current conditions shift as future hope for new orders and production tumbled. While most subindices rose, we note that CapEx fall once again to 3-month lows. This is the 6th consecutive negative (contractionary) print in a row for Dallas Fed - something not seen outside of a recession.
According to Germany's FAZ, "the Greek Court also estimates that the referendum will cost around 110 million euros, according to a well-informed policy analyst. Money that in view of the strapped Greek Checkout simply will not be there, even if the country saves a EUR 1.6 billion full-scale default to the International Monetary Fund this Tuesday."
While May Pending Home Sales are the highest in 9 years, the pace of growth is slowing as April's rise was revised lower to +2.7% (from 3.4%) and May prints +0.9% (slightly less than the 1.0% jump expected). The 0.9% rise is the slowest MoM rise since Dec 2014.
While the Greek Stock Market remains closed, ADRs trade around the world and National Bank of Greece - theoretically the strongest and least ELA-exposed (although still a disaster) - is trading down 24% in US markets on extremely heavy volume...
See! Greece doesn't matter... nor does China... nor does Puerto Rico...
European investors are increasing purchases of gold as Bloomberg reports, Greece’s turmoil boosts the appeal for an alternative to the euro. Demand from Greek customers for Sovereign gold coins was double the five-month average in June, the U.K. Royal Mint said in an e-mailed statement.As one Frankfurt-based bullion dealer noted, "most of our common gold coins are sold out, when people learned that the Greek banks will be closed, they started to think that it may not be such a bad idea to have some money in gold."
Good news - some Greek bank branches will re-open sooner than expected: GREEK OFFICIAL: 700 BANK BRANCHES TO OPEN THURSDAY FOR PENSIONS
Bad news - only pension withdrawals are allowed in limited size: GREEK PENSION WITHDRAWALS WILL BE LIMITED TO EU240: OFFICIAL
With all eyes focused on Greek ATM lines, collapsing Chinese ponzi schemes, and European bank implosions, one could be forgiven for forgetting about another crisis occurring closer to home. As we detailed here, Puerto Rico is now "in a death spiral" and PR bonds are collapsing this morning...
We now know it's serious because EU President Jean-Cleaude Juncker just dropped The Big Lie. He proclaimed that "pension cuts were not in the creditors proposals" which as many pointed out is a total lie and then said: "You shouldn’t commit suicide because you're afraid of dying. You should say 'yes' regardless of what the question is." Got that Greek Grandmas - Vote YES no matter what you think - that's how EU democracyu works...
At the open, Europe looked in the abyss, and with no help coming from China, it did not like what it saw: And then the answer came from the Swiss National Bank, which stepped in to prevent the collapse just as Europe was opening. Because seemingly out of nowhere, a tremendous bid came in to life the EURCHF, buying Euros (against the CHF and the USD) and selling Europe's last left safety currency. We now know that it was the SNB, the same central bank which is the proud owner of well over $1 billion in Apple stock.