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Frontrunning: November 23

Tyler Durden's picture




 
  • Goodbye reserve currency: Yuan begins trading against the rouble (China Daily) this is big news
  • US has no good options over North Korean clash (FT)
  • South Korea Prepared to Implement Market-Stability Measures After Shelling (Bloomberg)
  • Focus Shifts to China as North Korea Tensions Escalate (Reuters)
  • China Inflation `Volcano' May Prove Too Hot for Controls After Cash Surge (Bloomberg)
  • Growth in Thailand, Malaysia Slows, Heralding Caution in Asian Rate Moves (Bloomberg)
  • Irish PM Defiant as Coalition Cracks (FT)
  • IMF urges cuts in Irish minimum wage and dole payments (Irish Times)
  • Europe Has Not Yet Rescued Ireland (FT)
  • Markets’ Bail-Out Relief Rally Is Short-Lived (FT)
  • Fed Adopts Political Tactics on Critics (NYT)
  • Volatility bumps up agricultural trading costs (FT)

Economic Highlights:

  • Euro-Zone PMI Composite 55.4 - higher than expected. Consensus 53.6. Previous 53.8.
  • Euro-Zone PMI Manufacturing 55.5 - higher than expected. Consensus 54.4. Previous 54.6.
  • Euro-Zone PMI Services 55.2 - higher than expected. Consensus 53.2. Previous 53.3.
  • Germany GDP nsa for Q3 3.9% y/y – in line with expectations.Consensus 3.9%. Previous 3.9%.       
  • Germany GDP s.a. for Q3 0.7% q/q – in line with expectations.Consensus 0.7% q/q. Previous 0.7% q/q.
  • Germany PMI Manufacturing58.9 - higher than expected.Consensus 56.8. Previous 56.6.
  • Germany PMI Services58.6 - higher than expected.Consensus 55.8. Previous 56.0.
  • France Own-Company Production Outlook for November 11 - lower than expected.Consensus 15. Previous 16.
  • France Production Outlook Indicator for November 8 - lower than expected.Consensus 10. Previous 9.          
  • France Business Confidence Indicator for November 100 - lower than expected.Consensus 102. Previous 102.
  • France PMI Manufacturing for November 57.5 - higher than expected.Consensus 55. Previous 55.2.  
  • France PMI Services for November 55.7 - higher than expected.Consensus 54.8. Previous 54.8.
  • Italy Consumer Confidence Ind. sa for November 108.5 - higher than expected.Consensus 107.4. Previous 107.7.
  • Norway GDP s.a. for Q3 -1.6% q/q - lower than expected.Consensus 0.5% q/q. Previous 0.1% q/q.      
  • Norway GDP Mainland Norway s.a for Q3 0.9% q/q – in line with expectations.Consensus 0.9% q/q. Previous 0.5% q/q.
 

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Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:13 | 749114 99er
Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:16 | 749122 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

In the "OMFG" Road Signs that we have all created alone the road to chaos and famine, I think one of the big ones has just been passed.

"Yuan begins trading against the rouble."

That's [t]rouble, $!

or if we are being super silly [d]rouble [t]rouble.

but, of course, we can't be silly at such a serious time! :) :) :)

This plane needs a better class of criminal.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:21 | 749132 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Dammit!! And just yesterday Barney Frankenfurter said it was 'Weedikwoowuss' to doubt or criticize the FED policy!

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:23 | 749133 Yikes
Yikes's picture

Help me understand the implications. Was any previous trade between China and Russia done in dollars thus this is a chink in the armor of the Dollar as a reserve currency?

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 11:26 | 749332 caconhma
caconhma's picture

<Goodbye reserve currency: Yuan begins trading against the rouble. > It is an avalanche from now.

  • EU doesn't need US$ as a reserve currency for their inter-trades
  • Very soon China, Russia, and the rest of Asia will not need US$ for inter-trades
  • China very aggressively markets Yuan in China-Latin America trades, specifically with Brazil
  • The only place the USA will have to dump US$ will be Japan (not for very long), Africa and Israel

Finally, how long will commodities be settled in US$?

Looks like FED are in the end-game with US$ collapsing in the next 12-24 months.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 11:27 | 749334 caconhma
caconhma's picture

none

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 11:20 | 749314 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

What does China really think to gain in the long run? In the short term, it gives them relief from inflation that Helicopter Ben is dumping into their economy. Over time, the Ruble is just going to collapse when Russia runs out of oil. Pfff, whatever.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 13:00 | 749679 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

But indeed. The US is the entry ticket to the world resources market.

The world resources market is much larger than the Russian plus Chinese resources.

Both these countries will request USD from the monopolitistic US to get an access to the world. They cant do otherwise.

Europe not relying on USD for inter trading? Europe is being ousting by the US from the regions of the world that helped Europe to grow. Europe is extremelly dependent on their exterior in terms of resources and the key to enter the world market of resources is the USD.

End of the story.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:17 | 749124 Jason T
Jason T's picture

World needs production of goods, not production of paper money that we'll soon be wiping our asses with.  

 

 

 

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:53 | 749197 Paper CRUSHer
Paper CRUSHer's picture

T'will not all go to waste, i like the Fed have a dual mandate to follow.

Firstly,t'will be an honour to wipe my backside wit a Greenback should it become necessary.Secondly t'would be a privilege to fire-up the stove for cookin' n heatin' using a wheelbarrow full o' 'Benny Boy' Franklin's.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:23 | 749130 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Goodbye USD reserve currency? But...but...someone at the FED or Gubmint says the ECONOMY grew slighty faster than first thought! Hooray! Guess this is Chinas Thanksgiving turkey present to america....gobble gobble motherfukers.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:28 | 749141 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'IMF urges cuts in min wage, etc'....I urge cuts around IMF bankers throats!

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:37 | 749156 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

NOTHING ABOUT THE TERRORIST Attack attempts IN EUROPE?

 

They seem to have made serious busts in France, Belgium and England.

 

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:40 | 749160 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Oh right, they need some reason for implementing fascist airport screening over here as well.

In real news, Gold @ $1,372. Uncertainty, bitches.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:43 | 749164 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

I think it's way more than uncertainty. That's usually a dollar play. It's finally a real fear of Euro currency collapse and a global systemic meltdown. (!!)

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:44 | 749166 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Yeah, but it's of particular interest, as it coincides with expiry day. JP Morgan can't be entirely happy about this play of events.

Tue, 11/23/2010 - 10:38 | 749157 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Gold running as people run to safety in an uncertain world when US markets will be closed over holidays

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