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Who Will Replace Jean-Claude Trichet As European Central Bank President Next Year?








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Fri, 07/22/2011 - 02:39 | Link to Comment kingston123
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Mon, 01/24/2011 - 04:09 | Link to Comment co2010
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Tue, 02/16/2010 - 10:53 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sun, 04/18/2010 - 04:42 | Link to Comment Mammuth
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There are no virgins among the World's TOP bankers: this is not the missionaries' job. To me the question is who has the qualities today that fit the largest interests at the banking and political level in Europe. My guess is Mario Draghi to be in pole-position. Reasons:

1- Germany/bundesbank has Euro/Europe control independently of who's the BCE chairman. Meaning: any decision the BCE willing to take they have to ask permission to the Bundesbank guys. Therefore: Germany has all interests in ruling the game from behind the scene.

2- Italy never had a BCE president

3- Mr Draghi has a very high reputation and he is chairman for the Financial Stability Board (http://www.financialstabilityboard.org/about/overview.htm).

4- Yes he was a respectfully guy at GS. Now: forget the populism around GS now. It is like the soccer team winning the world cup for 20 years in a row. It is natural the rest of the World wants them to lose. But I see no reason for a guy who did well in GS 10 years ago now has to be aligned with "supposed" criminal actions.

5- I am Italian, and honestly I feel frightened and ashame for the situation we have in our Country: this is the result of a lack of honest and committed people to run and manage the Country in the interest of its taxpayers (we have a tax-evasion rate which is I guess the highest in Europe and peraphs in the TOP quartile in the World). But I wish we have more than one Mr Draghi to do the job. He is not a talker but a real maker.

6- Mr Draghi has always been in favour of Hedge Funds and officially recognized (read FSF reports: http://www.financialstabilityboard.org/list/fsb_publications/page_1.htm) the HF industry has no responsibility in the 2008 Financial Crisis. Meaning: he is a guy who does not care about political bullshit. This means to me he may does a good job and  hard fighting for stopping the political populism who is governing Europe at the moment.

Shortly: I am for Mr Draghi and...Cote d'Ivoire winning the World Cup in South Africa :-) !!!

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 23:58 | Link to Comment carbonmutant
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 While Axel Weber may look good from over here his German centric view of the world scares more than a few politicians and CEOs. He's already on record as saying, "raising rates pre-emptively could be justified even if the midterm inflation were under control, to head off future asset price bubbles."

This would of course raise debt service costs all around not just Greece.

Since Draghi plays more to the center and has held a number of international posts, unlike Weber, He may be viewed by the Europeans as easier to work with. No doubt the squid will be lobbying for him.

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 16:48 | Link to Comment pak
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If it were Weber, it would make me feel unified Europe is worth something.

Therefore, it has to be Draghi. Btw, the guy once worked for GS, if that means anything.)

My euro-scepticism is much greater than my EUR-scepticism, so I won't choose answer #5. Moreover, it's not very polite to answer a question with a question.)

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 17:31 | Link to Comment Lou629
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"If it were Weber, it would make me feel unified Europe is worth something."

A German unifying europe, hum...haven't they tried that before?  Would a German be able to unify Europe without using panzers?    

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 15:29 | Link to Comment Comrade de Chaos
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I ain't voting unless it's for Marla, period.

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 16:22 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 14:00 | Link to Comment Miles Kendig
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None of the above.  With the realization of a conservative government in the UK that will in essence support the primary actions of the Bank of England & the Brown government and with Germans increasingly vocal about exiting the common currency I suspect that Christine Lagarde will get the call.  Especially as the Euro is seen increasingly as an extension of the Greater Mediterranean Compact.  I suppose the closest response would be D in that there will be a Euro next year, but that the composition of its membership will have changed by that time via the introduction of perhaps more than one "Euro" creating "classes" of membership while others may well abandon the idea.  Be it through disgust, self preservation or a combination.

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 23:34 | Link to Comment carbonmutant
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 I think this "classes" of membership scheme is gonna get tried as a last ditch effort to keep from breaking up the EU.

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 13:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 13:19 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 13:05 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 13:00 | Link to Comment BorisTheBlade
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You never know what Germans can accomplish, so yeah Axel even though I hardly have any idea who is that.

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 11:53 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 11:48 | Link to Comment ptoemmes
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Assuming there is a Euro next year, why not Lloyd and GS

http://baselinescenario.com/2010/02/14/goldman-goes-rogue-%E2%80%93-spec...

"

...

We now learn – from Der Spiegel last week and today’s NYT – that Goldman Sachs has not only helped or encouraged some European governments to hide a large part of their debts, but it also endeavored to do so for Greece as recently as last November.  These actions are fundamentally destabilizing to the global financial system, as they undermine: the eurozone area; all attempts to bring greater transparency to government accounting; and the most basic principles that underlie well-functioning markets.  When the data are all lies, the outcomes are all bad – see the subprime mortgage crisis for further detail.

A single rogue trader can bring down a bank – remember the case of Barings.  But a single rogue bank can bring down the world’s financial system.

...

"

 

Pete

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 12:09 | Link to Comment BlackBeard
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The Euro was a stupid idea nways.  Let's just get it over with.  I wanna pay for my pizza in Rome with Lira again.

Tue, 02/16/2010 - 07:06 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 11:26 | Link to Comment Lionhead
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The conservative Germans need to take control & do it quickly. They know what's in store if they don't...

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 17:30 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 02/15/2010 - 11:16 | Link to Comment Art Vandelay
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Paul "Obama Finally Found Something for Me to Do" Volcker.

Mon, 02/15/2010 - 17:23 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
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Whoever gets the job will have Tall Paul's digits on speed dial.

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