The Most Fundamental Macro Risk Is Back
Rising inflation volatility is set to trigger earnings disappointments, wider credit spreads and more variability in stock and bond prices...
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markets
Premium"Closing Time" On The AI Bubble Is Sooner Than Most Think; Ed Dowd Warns Iran War Brings Global Recession Closer
"It’s a feedback loop that I think is beginning... the party is closer to the end than the beginning... Let’s call it the AI summer of discontent..."
IS YOUR LETTUCE SAFE TO EAT? IS ANY OF YOUR PRODUCE SAFE?
Sponsored Content By The Wellness Company
For decades, Americans have been reminded to “eat their greens” as part of a healthy diet, for many Americans “eating your greens” now comes with the bizarre concern, “is this safe?”
Sponsored Content By The Wellness Company
ECB Keeps Rates Unchanged (As Expected), Warns 'Full Energy Inflationary Shock Yet To Come'
The ECB reiterated it won’t pre-commit but act one meeting at a time based on information as it arrives.
Futures Slide After Google Earnings, Oil & Bond Yields Jump On Houthi Escalation
...dominant macro driver overnight is a Houthi escalation in the Red Sea (two Saudi tankers struck), pushing WTI above $90, and driving yields higher. GOOGL earnings underwhelmed with Mag7 lower but Semis higher...
Nestle Shares Plunge Most Since Dot-Com Bust As Weak Volume Shatters High Hopes Of Turnaround
"NESN's turnaround is a work in progress, and expectations were too elevated..."
NQ underperforms amid STM, GOOGL weakness; AUD outperforms after strong jobs data, EUR looks to ECB - Newsquawk US Market Open
US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran was intending to double missile stockpile and that it looks like Iran is not ready to make a deal. He added that the price on Iran will get higher every night until they come to their senses but that Iran is begging to reach a deal.
NSEquity futures mostly lower despite KOSPI rebound and heavy earnings docket - Newsquawk EU Market Open
US and Iran exchanged strikes for the 12th consecutive night; US President Trump said Iran is getting hit so hard and that they want to make a deal.
NSUS stocks were lacklustre amid higher oil prices and as participants braced for key earnings - Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Market Open
Alphabet and Tesla shares declined post-earnings.
NSGoogle Tumbles After Boosting 2026 Capex Guidance Again
The market is clearly no longer willing to reward stupid capex spending on massively overpriced commodities like memory chips.
We Watched 'The Odyssey' So You Don't Have To!
..."meh"
Despite Big Bounce In Revenues, TSLA Shares Drop After Disappointing Earnings
Revenue came in at $28.2 billion, which was 28% higher than last year (well above expectations of $26.4 billion)...
MegaCaps Dump Into Earnings, Bullion & Bond Yields Jump As Oil Puts July Rate-Hike Back On Table
...0-DTE traders selling bigly as yesterday's short-squeeze is crushed...
PremiumStocks meander with tech sold ahead of key earnings - Newsuqawk US Market Wrap
Trump says will hit Iranian bridges/power if Iran shoots at a ship in Hormuz; Iran threatens attacks on energy infrastructure if its bridges/power are hit; BoJ is said to be open to a hike faster than every six months; EIA crude stocks show surprise build, however, SPR draws continue; Mixed UK inflation; GEV earnings miss; AMD and Anthropic sign chip deal; OpenAI reportedly raises projected cloud spend; Qatar Energy reportedly preparing to extend LNG force majeure into October; Weak US 20yr bond auction; Trump admin weighing military action in Mali.
NSHigh Factor Volatility Is Here To Stay: Goldman's Pasquariello Suggests 'Simplify Your Portfolio'
...both the character of the market AND the structure of the market have shifted.
PremiumGOOGL Preview: Sky High Capex Expectations "Point To Downside Risk"; Tesla Also On Deck
The market will be watching two things above all else: capex guidance and monetization language... the debate has shifted from "how big is capex" to "who proves monetization and returns."
PremiumVideo Game Market Tanks As Studio, Console Stocks Sink ; Can GTA VI Revive Industry?
The Roundhill Video Games ETF is down about 14.8% YTD.
A Fed Rate-Hike Would Be A Serious Mistake
Raising rates in response to an external energy shock is akin to raising taxes to reduce rainfall...
AI's Off-Balance-Sheet Time-Bomb Goes Mainstream: Leverage Might Be Much Worse Than It Looks
It’s a common-factor risk stock correlation is singularly unpriced for...
PremiumThe Great Six Month Financial Blindfold
The proposed 6 month reporting period for public companies is a unconscionable idea...
Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?
...what does the Amazon playbook require of SpaceX?