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The Edge Starts With The Stocks

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by Portfolio Armor
Saturday, Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00

An investor surveys a landscape from a hilltop, with two paths ahead.

A Recent Example Of The Edge

Portfolio Armor’s March 26th Top Names returned an average of 70.92% over their six-month tracking period, versus 19.30% for SPY. The chart below shows the result for each member of that cohort.

March 26, 2026 Top Names: each stock and SPY over the six-month tracking period.

The Record Behind The Example

Across all 170 completed weekly cohorts selected from December 29th, 2022 through March 26th, 2026, our Top Names averaged 17.94% over six months, versus 9.85% for SPY. They beat SPY in 110 of those cohorts. The comparison below summarizes their average returns.

Average six-month unhedged stock returns across 170 overlapping cohorts: Top Names 17.94%, SPY 9.85%; December 29, 2022–March 26, 2026, as of October 1, 2026.

Each cohort is tracked for six months, so the periods overlap. These are average unhedged stock returns. Our Top Names performance table shows every completed cohort, including losing ones.

One Signal, Two Ways To Use It

Portfolio Armor ranks optionable securities by potential return net of optimal hedging cost, using historical returns and option-market sentiment. That stock-selection process is the common starting point.

For investors who prefer buying shares, Portfolio Armor Basic provides daily Top Names access. You can use the list to choose stocks to own. Basic also includes tools for finding optimal puts and collars on individual holdings.

On our Substack, we use Top Names to find candidates for options trades, then apply additional setup checks and choose the structure, entry price and management plan. Two now-closed trades show how we’ve put that selection edge to work.

From A Top Name To An Options Trade

Western Digital (WDC), whose hard drives store data in AI facilities, gained 67.14% in the March 26th stock cohort. It also passed our additional momentum and setup screens.

Our March 27th alert treated the war-driven selloff and fears about Google’s TurboQuant as a buying opportunity.

Trade Alert: A Buying Opportunity In Memory Stocks by Portfolio Armor

A Buying Opportunity In Memory Stocks

Read on Substack

We paired a bullish call spread with a shorter-dated put spread, giving the thesis several months to play out. The historical entry card shows our actual fill, opening risk and advance exit plan.

Historical Western Digital entry, now closed: actual $0.97 net debit, $97 outlay, $597 original maximum risk; original alert limit $1.45.

We closed the puts on April 14th and the calls on June 3rd at the prices published at entry. The result was a $683 gross profit—114% on original maximum risk in 68 calendar days, before fees—as the exit card shows.

Western Digital options exit: 114% return on original maximum risk, 704% on premium outlay

Why We Didn’t Add Another Micron Trade

Micron Technology (MU) was already in our options portfolio on March 26th, so we didn’t add another trade then. We’d opened the position on March 3rd. The company supplies memory for AI data centers and led the March 26th cohort with a 204.50% stock return.

Our March 3rd alert paired June calls with an April put spread. The historical entry card shows the four-leg structure, actual fill and management plan.

Historical Micron entry, now closed: actual $2.62 net debit, $262 outlay, $762 original maximum risk; original alert limit $3.45.

We closed the puts on April 8th and the calls on May 5th, again matching the exit prices published at entry. That produced a $1,318 gross profit—173% on original maximum risk in 63 calendar days, before fees. Here’s the exit card.

Micron options exit: 173% return on original maximum risk, 503% on premium outlay

We report all our exits, win or lose, in our weekly Exits posts and public spreadsheet. The card below summarizes our year-to-date results through September 30th across Top Names and our other trading signals.

Portfolio Armor year-to-date exits across all signals through September 30, 2026.

Putting The Edge To Work

We’ll keep looking for strong candidates and attractive ways to trade them.

Paid Substack subscribers receive our selected options structure, entry limit and advance management plan, plus fill updates and follow-up. Our trade alerts are delivered premarket, before regular-session fills.

If you’d like to receive our next options trade alert, subscribe below:

Subscribe to receive Portfolio Armor trade alerts

Our Start Here page includes a public sample alert and our execution guide.

Start Here by Portfolio Armor

How We Stack Multiple Edges

Read on Substack
Contributor posts published on Zero Hedge do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of Zero Hedge, and are not selected, edited or screened by Zero Hedge editors.
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