With Shaky Reasoning, Trump Weighs Limited Initial Strike On Iran To Force A Deal

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Over-confidence in managing the escalation ladder? 


The "Canary In The Coal Mine" Just Froze: Why Blue Owl Gated Its Retail Investors

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When the tide goes out, you find out who's swimming naked.


US & Chinese Fighter Jets In Rare Brief Face-Off Near Korea

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...an "unusual" number of US jets in the air...


Agentic AI Isn't Eating Software – It's Feeding Market Volatility

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The narrative that “AI will eat software” has run far ahead of reality. Agentic AI tools marks an important evolution, but it does not constitute an existential threat to the core of the enterprise software industry...


Q4 GDP Unexpectedly Grows At 1.4%, Half Expected Pace, As Government Shutdown Slams Growth

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The BEA reported that the US economy grew at just 1.4% in the fourth quarter, the slowest growth since the tariff shock of Q1 2025; this was the direct result of the government slowdown subtracting 0.9% from GDP in Q4. 



FBI Director Kash Patel Says Bureau Uncovered Antifa Funding Sources

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Agents are looking at whether funding was sent through U.S.-based nonprofit groups and whether any of those nonprofits had tax-exempt status.


Savings Rate Tumbles To 4 Year Lows As Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Comes In Hot

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...Services dominate cost increases as spending outpaces incomes once again...


ECB Quietly Prepares Global Liquidity Backstop As Euro Debt Wave Builds

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The ECB has announced a drastic expansion of its euro repo facility for the global central banking system. Is Frankfurt bracing for an impending liquidity crisis...


Futures Drop As Iran Tensions Rise, Data Deluge Looms

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“Geopolitical stories are really notoriously difficult to price. Right now it’s almost impossible to assign probabilities to any outcome, given how quickly those narratives change.”


The Capex Paradox: Who Funds AI If AI Stops Paying?

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The late-90s hardware vs services split is back. Last time it didn’t end with a gentle consolidation.

EssilorLuxottica Logs Worst Week In Nearly Four Years As Apple Eyes AI Smart Glasses

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Citigroup analyst "expects a number of competitive launches in the smart eyewear market over the next 12 to 24 months."


Europe's Civilizational War Will Be Bloody

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When all the ‘release valves’ for a civil society have been welded shut, society stops being 'civil'...


Goldman on Gold: The Risk of a Margin-Related Liquidation Sell-Off

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Crowded longs, dealer gamma flips and systematic selling threaten a sharp shakeout.

VW's 20% Cost-Cutting Plan Exposes Germany's Industrial Crisis

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For too long, Germany’s economy has watched political developments from the sidelines – perhaps far too long. The cost pressures triggered by the energy transition and Brussels’ extensive regulatory policies are now reflected in business results.


Roaring Russell, Richer Skew And Diverging Vol — Something Is Brewing Under The Hood

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Russell rotation roars ahead — while traders quietly bid up protection.

Supertanker Rates Soar As War Fears Put Strait Of Hormuz Chokepoint At Risk

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"Military action in the Middle East will likely take VLCC rates to levels not seen since 2019." 


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German Court Orders X To Hand Over Data To NGOs Searching For Election 'Disinformation Or Foreign Interference'

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EU-funded NGOs are pursuing election data to examine foreign interference in the Hungarian election...


Why Exactly Did They Destroy The Border?

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Biden’s border chaos wasn’t accidental... it was a political strategy to reshape America’s electorate and expand left-wing power...


Spot The Odd One Out: US Defense Spending By President

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In inflation-adjusted 2025 dollars, U.S. defense spending is more than $400 billion higher than in the late 1990s...


Goldman’s Dominic Wilson Says the Cycle Still Has Room to Run

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Even as volatility shifts beneath the surface, Goldman maintains that cyclical assets — especially where valuations remain attractive — deserve the benefit of the doubt.