'Because It Was Un-Inverted' - Goldman Trader Warns Of Yield-Curve Steepening Implications

The 2s30s UST yield curve has steepened 55bps since the December FOMC meeting and has spent much of the last week building a base back above zero - it has now been consistently un-inverted for the longest period since July 2022...

Historically, there is a long gap from the beginning of inversion to the start of a recession, usually in the range of four to six quarters with a mean of five.