Baltic Dry Free Fall Accelerates

Last week, we pointed out when the BDIY dipped below 2000 for the first time since August. In the next three days, the index slide has accelerated and after dropping 3% just overnight, is back to 1830, just 130 points away from the 2010 lows printed in July. And while the index topped in early September following a brief and uninspired climb, it has since been a one way downward pointing slope. Whether the BDIY is a leading indicator to anything is debatable: some believe it is a completely irrelevant indicator. Others disagree. A very strong case for the former camp was made last week by Nordea which demonstrated, in its chart of the week, the average speed of its vessel fleet. One thing is certain: for whatever reason, demand for trans-Pacific cargo shipments is once again plunging.


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