Gold- 6-year bear market ending here?

start button for kimble charting solutions gold ratio post


Is a new bull market in metals about to “Get Started?” Lets look at one indicator that is attempting to send a bullish signal, for the first time in 6-years.

Below looks at the Gold Futures/US Dollar ratio, since 1999 on a weekly basis-


Gold US dollar ratio kimble charting solutions


The Gold/King Dollar ratio broke above resistance in 2001 and a strong breakout took place. For a decade, Gold was much stronger than the US$ at (1). Gold, Silver and miners did very well in this time frame. Once the ratio broke rising support in 2011, the ratio turned lower. This is where the bear market in Gold, Silver and miners started.

Currently the ratio is attempting to do something it hasn’t in the past 6-years, which is a breakout at (2). A break above resistance is the first for the ratio since the highs back in 2011. If the ratio can keep moving higher and clear the highs of last summer, it would send the first longer-term bullish message to the metals space in years.

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2banana Tue, 06/06/2017 - 13:52 Permalink

Let's see...

Runaway spending and insane debt levels with nearly every government around the world. Which one will destroy the economic system of their host country? EU? Japan? China? USA?

Literally, a dozen military flash points around the world.

Business and stock markets that make no profits running on debt and greater fools.

Housing bubbles, stocks bubbles, Bitcoin currency bubbles, etc. Almost everything is IN a bubble. Bubbles do pop eventually...where to hide, where to hide when the panicked crowds head to the exit...

And Trump wants to be the real jobs manufacturing president (not the coffee slinger jobs of obama).

That means:
Repeal obamacare
Reduce taxes - especially corporate taxes
Reduce the insane EPA (kinda check)
Leaver the Paris Accord (check)
Leave the TPP (check)
LOWER DOLLAR. Much lower

83_vf_1100_c Tue, 06/06/2017 - 13:55 Permalink

  As someone else mentioned in another thread... Trying to figure out AUs direction from charts in a rigged market is an exercise in futility. The paper gold guys will let you know when they want AU to shoot up. They are not quite finished stacking yet methinks.

zagzigga Tue, 06/06/2017 - 13:56 Permalink

Wish I had thrown a thousand or two into ethereum. It shot up from $12 when bitcoin was $2k to $250 now. Yes, I know these cryptos are not backed by anything, greater fool theory, yada yada but gold's price is purely based on emotions too. 

Silver Savior Tue, 06/06/2017 - 14:29 Permalink

As they say, if you want to invest in gold then invest in silver. Buying gold will just eat your money up quickly. Just think how hard it would be for gold to double and how easy silver could double and so on. 

Consuelo Tue, 06/06/2017 - 15:15 Permalink

  "If the ratio can keep moving higher and clear the highs of last summer," See the neat thing about chart-porn is, they sorta develop personalities all on their own - and they act on them too no less...!!   Amazing lives they've led since 2011, no...?

yvhmer Consuelo Tue, 06/06/2017 - 16:17 Permalink

it is possible to draw all kind of lines.Drwaing one from the "highs" before 1999 across the highs of later years the line crosses the graphline in 2002. It would have been more consistent and condusive to the argument to show the graph from 1996 onward, or even better, as of 1913. And then build a case.Maybe the writer wants to expand on this chart below:  

In reply to by Consuelo