WTI Breaks Out To New Nov Highs After OPEC Data Shows Huge Supply Shortfall

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by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Sep 12, 2023 - 12:23 PM

Oil prices had been coiling for a few days ahead of this data and are breaking out now after OPEC reports that global oil markets face a supply shortfall of more than 3 million barrels a day next quarter - potentially the biggest deficit in more than a decade.

If realized, it could be the biggest inventory drawdown since at least 2007, according to a Bloomberg analysis of figures published by OPEC’s Vienna-based secretariat.

OPEC’s 13 members have pumped an average of 27.4 million barrels a day so far this quarter, or roughly 1.8 million less than it believes consumers needed, according to the report.

WTI pushed above $88 on the news, its highest since Nov 2022...

As Bloomberg reports, The kingdom’s hawkish strategy, aided by export reductions from fellow OPEC+ member Russia, threatens to bring renewed inflationary pressures to a fragile global economy.

Diesel prices have surged in Europe, while American airlines are warning passengers to brace for increased costs.

It could even become a political issue for President Biden as he prepares for next year’s reelection campaign, with national gasoline prices nearing the sensitive threshold of $4 a gallon.