Top Ukrainian officials have for weeks been warning that President Putin is preparing to order a broader mobilization of his forces for a coming new major offensive. Within the past days Ukraine’s deputy military intelligence chief Vadym Skibitsky claimed that this will feature mobilization of as many as 500,000 conscripts by January's end. Could there be any truth to this?
While so far this month there's been no particular Kremlin statement or evidence to emerge showing this very specific prediction to be the case, there are some key signs that a big new military push is soon coming, which could indeed involve another at least partial mobilization, over and above the 300,000 military reservists called up on Sept.21. More likely, a full war declaration and total mobilization is on the horizon, if anything along the lines of new mobilization is declared at all.
Reports of pending Russian victory over Soledar and an advance on Bakhmut, where shelling and fighting continues to be fierce, could also translate to Moscow's willingness to pour fresh troops in the Donbas in order to maintain momentum, following the past months of Ukrainian counteroffensive gains.