Weather generally does not make viruses go away. What should we be hoping for this time?
Why We Shouldn’t Hope COVID-19 Is Seasonal Like The Flu
There's an excellent video discussion on 538 entitled Why We Shouldn’t Hope COVID-19 Is Seasonal Like The Flu that I recommend everyone play.
Here's a few lines that stood out for me.
"It's not an individual risk problem as it is a collective risk problem. And that's something that has been hammered home to me watching what's coming out of Italy right now where doctors are running out of beds. They are having to make decisions about who gets a ventilator and who doesn't. And those are things doctors are absolutely saying we should be prepared for here. That will happen here if we do not get social distancing really, really, really right in the next few weeks. The problem is not whether you will recover. The problem is whether you spread it to somebody who doesn't."
Lockdown in Spain
🚨BREAKING: #Spain announces nationwide lockdown as #coronavirus cases surge with an additional 1,500 cases in one day and 5,753 cases total, the 2nd highest in Europe.— Dr. Dena Grayson (@DrDenaGrayson) March 14, 2020
This is where the US is heading unless we act NOW to contain this virus.@thespybriefhttps://t.co/PgcPOADhpw
What About France?
Coronavirus latest:— The Long Game (@7LongGame) March 15, 2020
- France closes all non-essential shops after cases double in 72 hours
- Spain declares state of emergency
- Canadians urged to avoid non-essential travel
- US to extend travel ban to U.K. and Ireland
- Trump tests negative virus
US vs Europe
Europe and US are mostly all on the same path. Note log Y-axis (linear=exponential; steeper line is more exponential). Japan also has limited testing. Only SK, Singapore and HK have it under control or improving. #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/hFRqJpjiUj— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) March 14, 2020
Massachusetts Coronavirus Cluster
It appears that a Massachusetts #coronavirus cluster with at least 82 #Covid19 cases was started by people who were not yet showing symptoms, and more than half a dozen studies have shown that people without symptoms are causing substantial amounts of infection.— Alexander Higgins - Coronavirus Updates (@kr3at) March 14, 2020
Massachusetts coronavirus cluster of at least 82 cases started by people not yet showing symptoms.
The conclusion is that there are likely ~1,100 cases in Washington state right now.None of these approaches are perfect, but they all point to the same message: We don’t know the number of true cases, but it’s much higher than the official one @tomaspueyo https://t.co/GY8rkFeF4e— Aly-Khan Satchu (@alykhansatchu) March 14, 2020
Denmark Closes Border
Denmark just closed its borders completely. Only Danish citizens can get through. Activating military units to "help fight the spread of the coronavirus". https://t.co/Hr6B0EjbiV— Ben Hunt (@EpsilonTheory) March 13, 2020
Meanwhile ... in LA
11 new COVID-19 cases confirmed in Los Angeles County; total now at 53— Alexander Higgins - Coronavirus Updates (@kr3at) March 15, 2020
According to the public health department eight of those #COVID19 cases are likely due to community transmission. Two people with #CoronaVirus cases are hospitalized.https://t.co/S4PvlMx7At
Meanwhile ... in the US
Insert something about needing to go to a bar. https://t.co/8P1MoYmqmo— Nicole Kaeding (@NKaeding) March 15, 2020
Expect Hospital Beds in the US to Fill
COVID-19 Prep Update- March 14:— Andy Slavitt (@ASlavitt) March 14, 2020
Last night I was on with state & local officials around the US well into the night. By March 23 many of our largest cities & hospitals are on course to be overrun with cases.
I am going to prepare a memo for them. I will share highlights here.1/
Meanwhile ... In the Dallas Ft Worth Airport
Screening is pure useless bullsheet.
Meanwhile ... At Chicago O'hare Airport
As US citizens and others fly in ahead of bans the scenes at the airports to which they are being funneled are terrifying. Criminal but not surprising that there was no provision for speeding up processing and minimizing infection risk. https://t.co/9Qp2Uj833C— Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) March 15, 2020
Meanwhile ... in Ft Lauderdale
Ft. Lauderdale airport just a smidge busy today. pic.twitter.com/MWWvnxd04O— John Scalzi (@scalzi) March 14, 2020
Meanwhile ... at the "Mar-a-Lago Petri dish”
But hey, please keep your social distancing. Especially at crowded airports where it is impossible.