Goldman's Best Hedges For Lingering Drawdown Risk As Tariff Tensions Escalate

Equity correction risk has increased since end of last year and hasn't faded despite the 10% correction in US equity. 

Indeed, based on Goldman Sachs' equity drawdown framework, combining macro and market factors, correction risk has not peaked yet. Since January, the framework has indicated elevated risk of an S&P 500 drawdown, given it is at levels close to 30% vs. unconditional around 16%.