From Risk-Return To "No Risk, No Return" Courtesy Of Central Planning

Central Banks have repressed the sovereign bond markets of the world's currency printers to extreme. This relative pricing makes stocks look extremely cheap on an equity risk premium basis (thank you Ben); however, everyone knows this and, as we have discussed many times, margin balances and net long positions are as high as they have ever been. A zealous belief in the power of the central bank has compressed the market's risk perception to near-zero - but at the same time, returns have been crushed as even junk bond yields are at record lows. In other words - there is no risk any more, and no conventional return. Or rather, the only "return" is in the wholesale herding of cattle into the "safety" of the equity beta butcher house.

 

Equity risk premium (relative to repressed bonds) make stocks look 'attractive'...

But everyone knows that...

 

 

leaving No Risk...

 

and no conventional return either...

 

This won't end well...

 

Source: Diapason Commodities