Treasury Curve Collapses To Flattest Since Feb 2009

Steep curve, lots of Net Interest Margin, buy banks, inflation's coming, rates have to rise... no! The US Treasury curve (specifically the spread between the 5Y yield and 30Y yield) has tumbled to its lowest since February 2009 as the long-end dramatically outperforms the Fed-pressured front-end amid concerns that the next cycle will be anything but exuberant and the new normal rates will be notably lower than consensus believes. On a side note, 5 years ago, US bond markets implied a 10Y yield now of 4.6% - almost double what it is; it seems the future (now) is not as rosy as everyone expected then...



Charts: Bloomberg


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