Plunge In Export Prices Is Now Worse Than The Great Financial Crisis

Spot The Recovery... According to the World Trade Monitor, world export prices declined by -15.8% year-over-year in April and are back at level last seen in 2009. World import prices have declined by -15.1% year-over-year as well.

 

image

image

 

In the developed world, export prices are down-16.6% year-over-year. This a larger drop than what occurred in 2009 and is the largest year-over-year decline since 1990 (when this series began). Import prices have declined by -17.5% year-over-year. The drop it 2009 was slightly larger.

image

image

 

Lastly, in the emerging markets, trade prices have fallen but not quite to the extent that they have in developed world. Emerging market export prices are down -15.1% and import prices are off -12.6% year-over-year.

image

image

 

 

 

Source: Gavekal Capital blog