The global search for yield continued this morning, when as reported yesterday, Italy was set to price its first ever super-long bond in the form of 50 year paper. According to Bloomberg, the issue size will be set at €5 billion, but what is more impressive is that with €18.5 billion in orders, it will be nearly 4x oversubscribed. According to the WSJ, the bonds are expected to price at a yield of around 2.85% but could price at a lower yield, depending on investor demand.
The terms of the offering are as follows, per Bloomberg:
- Order books over EU18.5b (incl. EU2.4b JLM interest): Leads.
- Guidance was BTPS 2.7% 3/2047 +54 area from IPT +mid/high 50s
- Issuer: Republic of Italy
- Ratings: Baa2/BBB-/BBB+
- Format: Buoni del Tesoro Poliennali (Reg S in dematerialised book entry form), 144a eligible, CACs
- Maturity: March 1, 2067
- Settlement: Oct. 11, 2016
- Coupon: Fixed, s.a., act/act, full first
- Denoms: 1k/1k
- Bookrunners: Banca IMI, BNP, GS (DM and B&D), HSBC, JPM, UniCredit
Once priced, Italy will become the latest nation to issue super-long bonds this year, following sovereigns including Belgium, France, Ireland and Spain in taking advantage of the historically low interest rates spurred by central bank stimulus. Italy's Treasury announced the issuance “after a thorough market analysis,” it said in a statement on Monday, Bloomberg reported earlier.
Belgium and Spain have both sold debut 50-year bonds in public markets this year, with each raising €3 billion. France, which has sold long-dated bonds in the past, also raised €3 billion in new 50-year debt. Meanwhile, Ireland and Belgium have both sold €100 million of 100-year bonds in privately placed deals this year.
“Demand for these ultralong bonds seems to be very strong at the moment,” said Jakob Christensen, chief analyst at Danske. Spain’s 2066 bonds, which were sold with a yield of 3.493% in May, now yield 2.55%, according to Tradeweb.