New ABC / WaPo Poll Uses "Oversamples" To Goal Seek Strong Obama Approval Rating

Just one day after the bitter mainstreamers at ABC/WaPo and CNN used their "oversamples" of Democrats to rig polls showing an unprecedented unfavorable rating of the incoming President-elect (see "New ABC / WaPo Poll Shows Drop In Trump Favorability Courtesy Of Aggressive 'Oversamples'"), those same outlets have used those same methodologies to engineer stellar approval ratings for Obama...shocking. 

Just like yesterday's polls, both ABC / Wapo and CNN used an aggressive, 8-point "oversample" of Democrats to lavish praise on their chose party and candidate. 

Apparently, ABC / WaPo believes that only 23% of registered voters are Republican...

Wapo

...while CNN stretched to 24% Republicans but still maintained their 8-point Democrat oversample by just adding more dems to the pool. 

A total of 1,000 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party

 

And, of course, when you load up a poll with an "oversampling" of Democrats, you predictably get high approval ratings for Democratic candidates...surprise, surprise.  Here are the ABC / WaPo results...

Obama Poll

 

...and CNN.

Obama Poll

 

Meanwhile, ABC / WaPo provided the following convenient chart which perfectly illustrates why "oversamples" are so important.  By our math, using the actual split of registered voters based on actual data (i.e. 33% Dem, 29% Rep and 38% Independent/Other) and a normalized approval rating among Independents would result in an Obama approval rating of ~52%.  But, with a 90% approval rating among his own party and a suspicious surge in approval among "Independents" (which is more likely attributable to samples more Independents in Democrat-leaning precincts), it's very easy to see how even just small "oversamples" can result in massive swings in the overall results.  

Obama Approval

 

Meanwhile, despite having one of the highest approval ratings of any exiting President in modern history, ABC / WaPo found that, even with their oversamples, 63% of Americans still see the country as being on the wrong track...figure that one out.

Obama Poll

 

In any event, this tweet still sums up the continued mainstream media polling farce the best: