The Russians Do It Again: Democrats Get Crushed In Georgia Election Despite 7x Spending Advantage


After months of Democrats boasting that Georgia's special election in the 6th district would be a startling referendum on Trump's agenda, they just got served up another stunning defeat, as most networks have now called the race for Republican Karen Handel.  In fact, rather than losing ground since Trump moved into the White House, Republicans actually performed better.

Of course, making Handel's win even sweeter for Republicans is the fact that Democrats outspent them by a margin of 7-to-1, with Ossoff dropping a staggering ~$22 million versus only $3 million for Handel....which is kind of reminiscent of how things played our for Hillary...oops.



Meanwhile, as The Mercury News pointed out earlier this morning, this race has been by far the costliest in the history of Congressional races with Ossoff raising over $23 million.  Ironically, he received nearly 9x more donations from California than from Georgia, a testament to how this special election has morphed into a national contest for Democrats.

Between March 29 and May 31, Ossoff reported receiving 7,218 donations from California, dwarfing the 808 donations he received from Georgia. In the nine Bay Area counties alone, he received 3,063 donations in the same time period.


Those are only a fraction of Ossoff’s total donations, as he doesn’t have to report contributions from people who give less than $200 in total. In addition, many of the individual donations include the same people giving to his campaign multiple times.

Finally, just as we pointed out earlier this morning, there seems to have been some "oversamples" in the polling data as the Real Clear Politics average had Ossoff winning by 5 points just last week...for those keeping track that's a roughly 10-point polling 'error' from how things actually turned out. Here's what we said earlier today:

According to the Real Clear Politics average, Handel's support has surged in recent days making the race a dead heat heading into election day. That said, just like last November, we would be shocked if there weren't some "oversamples" in the polling data. 



Of course, it's only a matter of time until someone at CNN and/or MSNBC alleges that Russia stole the election or thunderstorms suppressed the minority know, because it simply can't be that American's just aren't buying into their failed, Big Government policies anymore.


Update 9 (10:00 EST):

CNN is forced to admit what has been obvious for a couple of hours now...



Update 8 (9:40 EST):

Handel has now pulled away to a 5.2% lead with roughly 66% of the vote counted.


And, you know it's bad when even the New York Times is throwing in the towel...


Meanwhile, the Georgia puppetmaster is calmly enjoying the rewards of his latest hacking conquest.



Update 7 (9:15 EST):

Hope on the Democrat side would seem to be fading somewhat as Handel has pulled away to a 3.2% lead with roughly 60% of the vote counted...which can only mean that the Russians have potentially prevailed again. 



Meanwhile, the odds of an Ossoff win are tanking...



And MSNBC is just flat out reporting erroneous data...they seem to think that Ossoff has a 2 point lead???



Update 6 (8:45 EST):

With roughly 46% of the vote now counted, which mostly consists of early votes, Handel holds a narrow 0.4% lead.  Of course, this seems to be a promising sign for Republicans as Ossoff was expected to win the early voting by a wider margin. 

Meanwhile, Handel is currently leading the election day votes by a wide margin of 58% - 42%.



As much as it likely pains them to admit, even the New York Times now seems to be predicting a Handel win.



Update 5 (8:15 EST):

According to the Washington Post, Ossoff has taken a small lead as Dekalb County votes have started to flow in.  That said, Ossoff was expected to perform better in early voting so only time will tell if his narrow lead will hold up once in-person votes start to get counted.



Update 4 (7:50 EST):

The first numbers are just now coming in and they show a slight lead for Republican Karen Handel.



Update 3 (7:45 EST):

After getting their forecasts massively wrong in the Presidential election last November, the New York Times is back with their "Live Forecast" for tonight's special election.  We would say take this with a couple grains of salt.


Update 2 (7:10 EST): 

To our complete 'shock', polls in Cobb and Fulton county have closed on time at 7pm EST but polls in the heavily Democratic county of Dekalb have been allowed to stay open until 7:30pm EST because of "electronic voting issues" earlier in the day.

Maybe we're having memory issues, but it seems like "electronic voting issues" only seem to result in polling extensions in heavily Democratic areas...probably just a coincidence.


Update 1 (6:45 EST):

With polls closing any minute, tonight's special election for Georgia's 6th district is being described as a "coin toss." 

That said, CNN and Democrats already seem to be hedging their bets by pointing out that the heavily Democrat-leaning Dekalb County has been hit by severe flood warnings throughout the day which they say has suppressed voter turnout.

Of course, we're almost certain that the Russians must have figured out a way to make it rain just in the heavily Democratic areas of the 6th District...this is just too 'convenient'.


The key to following tonight's results will be watching how the candidates fare in the three counties that make up the 6th District: DeKalb, Cobb and Fulton.

Ossoff is expected to do well in DeKalb, but he will likely need big turnout there to overcome Handel's advantage in Republican-leaning Cobb and Fulton counties.  Per the Atlanta Journal Constitution:

North Fulton is home to some of the most conservative turf in the district. Republican Karen Handel hails from there, and it encompasses the highest share of early votes. The county has a reputation for being slow to tally its votes (it took Fulton until after 2 a.m. to fully report during the first round of votes in April), but Fulton’s top elections official said he expects things to move smoothly today since there’s only one race on the ballot.


North DeKalb accounts for the most Democratic-leaning part of the district. It’s where Democrat Jon Ossoff grew up, and it’s also where he’ll be looking to rack up votes. Voting at two precincts there has been extended by 30 minutes after officials reported slow check-ins this morning.


As we mentioned below, it’s particularly crucial to look at Cobb County, which is a traditional Republican stronghold. If Ossoff does well there it’ll be a good sign for his odds to win the congressional seat.


* * *

Below is our preview of Georgia's special election from earlier this morning:

Democrats have gone "all-in" on the 30-year-old documentary film-maker and former congressional aide, Jon Ossoff, to win Georgia's 6th Congressional district.   Over the past several months, they have repeatedly portrayed the runoff as a referendum on the Trump administration and a preview of the 2018 mid-terms .  Now, as voters head to the polls today, the question is whether their gamble will payoff...certainly, given the amount of money they've spent, anything less than a victory will be yet another stinging defeat for Democrats.

The contest for Georgia's 6th district pits Democrat Jon Ossoff against Republican Karen Handel in a race that has drawn national attention and historic levels of spending.  As The Mercury News has pointed out, this race has been the costliest in the history of Congressional races with Ossoff raising over $23 million.  Ironically, he received nearly 9x more donations from California than from Georgia, a testament to how this special election has morphed into a national contest for Democrats.

Between March 29 and May 31, Ossoff reported receiving 7,218 donations from California, dwarfing the 808 donations he received from Georgia. In the nine Bay Area counties alone, he received 3,063 donations in the same time period.


Those are only a fraction of Ossoff’s total donations, as he doesn’t have to report contributions from people who give less than $200 in total. In addition, many of the individual donations include the same people giving to his campaign multiple times.

According to the Real Clear Politics average, Handel's support has surged in recent days making the race a dead heat heading into election day. That said, just like last November, we would be shocked if there weren't some "oversamples" in the polling data. 



For those not familiar with the district, Georgia's 6th is located just north of Atlanta and has been controlled by Republicans since 1979.  In fact, it is the same seat that was held by former Speaker Newt Gingrich from 1979 - 1999.  And while the district had been a stronghold for Republican presidential candidates, Trump just narrowly bested Clinton in 2016.



Of course, with Republicans holding a substantial majority in the House, today's election will have minimal practical ramifications in the near term.  Moreover, while the winning party will undoubtedly cast the results as a perfect predictor of how the 2018 mid-terms will play out, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight notes that anything short of a blowout will provide minimal insight into the next election cycle.

“If either Democrat Jon Ossoff or Republican Karen Handel wins narrowly, it will be portrayed as a more important predictive signal than it really is. If either Handel or Ossoff wins by more than about 5 percentage points — which is entirely possible given the historic (in)accuracy of special election polls — you can dispense with some of the subtlety in interpreting the results, especially if the South Carolina outcome tells a similar story. Otherwise, Tuesday’s results probably ought to be interpreted with a fair amount of caution — and they probably won’t be."

For those not familiar with Georgia's 6th District, here are some helpful maps to explains who is expected to perform best and where.


With that intro, here are The Hill's "things to watch" as voting gets underway:

1.  Will the huge turnout trend continue?

While special elections typically convince few voters to head to the polls, the outsized attention on the Georgia special election has led to booming turnout.


During April’s primary election, 194,000 voters cast their ballot, with 57,000 of those votes coming early.


More than 143,000 voters have already voted early for Tuesday’s matchup between Ossoff and Handel, a figure that means the runoff turnout will likely eclipse that of the April primary. Some observers say Tuesday’s figures could even surpass the number of people who voted in the district for the 2014 midterm election.


Strategists in the state expect Handel to do significantly better with the early vote compared to April’s primary, when she was competing against nearly a dozen Republicans.


Ossoff will also need to have strong early-vote numbers, especially since Republicans historically do better with Election Day turnout.


Will GOP strongholds and white women save Handel?


2.  Can Ossoff flip Republican moderates and turn out black voters?

 While Ossoff won easily in April’s first round of voting with 17 other candidates, more voters backed a Republican than a Democrat. So with turnout already looking high, experts believe Ossoff needs to increase his margin by about 6,000 or more votes to be in good shape.


Ossoff also has to turn out black voters, whose enthusiasm flagged in 2016 after being a reliable voting bloc during Obama’s two elections. The Democratic hopeful went to several events on Saturday with Rep. John Lewis (D-Ga.), a civil rights icon, to celebrate Juneteenth, which commemorates the abolition of slavery.


3.  Can Democrats keep outperforming Clinton?

 While Democrats have failed to flip any Republican seats in special elections this year, they have seen one promising trend — candidates keep outperforming Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s 2016 margins.


4.  What does the vote mean for Trump’s agenda?

 The record-setting spending, the furious jockeying between national parties and the occasional cameos from Hollywood celebrities are all happening for one reason: Trump.


With few electoral opportunities between Trump’s election and the 2018 midterms, the suburban Atlanta congressional seat has become the closest thing to a referendum on Trump’s agenda.


Democrats want to frame their excitement and fundraising as a result of anti-Trump frustration, so a win for them will be seen as a victory over Trump.


If Ossoff wins, look for Democrats to seize on that message as a warning shot for 2018. An Ossoff victory could dampen the spirits of GOP donors, convince more politicians to break from their president and trigger retirements by Republican lawmakers fearing a tough reelection fight.

So how will it all turn out?  Will Democrats hand Trump his first big loss and a taste of what is to come in 2018 or, just like in November, did the Dems just spend an obscene amount of money for absolutely nothing?


Never One Roach Bill of Rights Tue, 06/20/2017 - 19:28 Permalink

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I sure hope the Russians don’t hack this election and allow the Rep to win like they did in the presidential election!     Gafaw…gafaw…gafaw…. [PS: That was even hard to write wihtout rolling on the floor laughing.]

In reply to by Bill of Rights

Creepy_Azz_Crackaah (not verified) NoDebt Tue, 06/20/2017 - 20:13 Permalink

It would be TOO good if pajama-boy lost after all of the publicity and leftist cash. The "news" and progressives, but I repeat myself, have been shouting that this is a "referendum on Trump" ever since pajama-boy was ahead in the fake polls.

If pajama-boy loses will the fake news then shout "THE REFERENDUM SHOWS THAT TRUMP IS POPULAR." Don't hold your breath.

In reply to by NoDebt

NoDebt phatfawzi Tue, 06/20/2017 - 21:21 Permalink

"Update 7 (9:15 EST):Democrat's hope seems to be fading somewhat as Handel pulls away to a 3.2% lead."Like I said, below, $23MM down the shitter.  Ever notice how libs never seem to shit themselves over how much of their money they waste on losing candidates?  Somehow all that lost money never seems to concern them.  Wonder why that is.  

In reply to by phatfawzi

Creative_Destruct knukles Tue, 06/20/2017 - 23:56 Permalink

C'mon ....Vlad hadda to uv done it.... people couldn't possibly be rejecting the free-shit for-all , we're-all-victims-it's-not-our-fault, Trump-is-a -fascist-Russian-tool narrative !!!Somehow, not even 23 MILLION in a tiny district  could get that across!!!!Dems should just give the money to your's truely... I'll make FAR better use of it.

In reply to by knukles

Tarzan The Limerick King Wed, 06/21/2017 - 08:01 Permalink

They will quickly pivit from this story, skip the detailsLike, they left two polls open late in the 6th District of DeKalb County, I'm assuming heavily Dem leaning polls, and still lost big.I'm just guessing, I haven't looked, maybe they were republican leaning polls, could one of you Libtard bots fact check me please, lets dig into the details of your loss!And, who the hell runs for office when you don't even live there, you can't even vote for yourself?  Who is this guy strolling into town with bags full of money, more money then any other, THE MOST EVEEER?Lets dig real deep, BITCHES!

In reply to by The Limerick King

Joe Davola Tarzan Wed, 06/21/2017 - 08:31 Permalink

So 5% is close?  That's what my local Blue paper told me - right after they said it could have been a shock to Trump's power base.  I guess they forgot the punchline - "it could have been, but it wasn't".  It's almost like they had the story already written, then just changed the grammer slightly and went with it.

In reply to by Tarzan

J S Bach Creepy_Azz_Crackaah (not verified) Tue, 06/20/2017 - 22:52 Permalink

I hate to pour cold water on this warm showering of praise of the Republicans, but what the hell does it really matter?!  I mean, what has our revered savior President done to really change anything?  What will one more spineless Republican in the house or senate do to change anything?  It's Tweedle Dum or Tweedle Dee.  There really is not any "alternative" in our one-party system of oligarchical money-master rule.  We need to stop falling for their decoy tactics of Rep/Dem antagonism.  Until issues of real importance such as monetary policy, foreign policy and immigration are seriously addressed, nothing will change.  We need a party of total courage who will state facts, name names, and call out truth whatever it is - and without fear of any kind.  The naive plebs will flock to a man of courage and truth and the powers that be KNOW this.  So, don't get all excited by this nonsensical and meaningless "victory" in Georgia.  Focus on how to bring more people around to the truth of what is really going on.

In reply to by Creepy_Azz_Crackaah (not verified)

DownWithYogaPants J S Bach Tue, 06/20/2017 - 23:11 Permalink

Have you not figured out yet that the deep state is who has been controlling things since before JFK????  Are you that slow to pick up on this?We are in many measures expressing our displeasure with the deep state / private central bankers by electing then supporting Trump.Why did Bush Sr, Clinton, Bush Jr, Obamao look "presidential" ???  Because they were all CIA and followed the program of the deep state which exists to serve the private central bankers.  Had they tried to go against the program they would have gotten the treatment Trump is getting. ( and Nixon too as he did nothing previous presidents did not do.  It's just he was talking towards getting out of Vietnam and the M.I.C. no likey this! ) 

In reply to by J S Bach

crusty curmudgeon DownWithYogaPants Wed, 06/21/2017 - 09:25 Permalink

I can't speak for Bach, but I suspect he understands Trump is a political outsider.  But what you don't seem to understand is that he is nevertheless part of the deep state.  If you don't think he serves the interests of the private central bankers, then you can't see your nose in front of your face.Bach doesn't ask whether Trump was an outsider.  He asks:  "what has our revered savior President done to really change anything?"Perhaps you should answer this before calling him slow.Is Trump worlds better than Hitlery?  Of course.  Has he done some good?  Yes.  Rescuing the coal industry and the oil pipeline and attempting to protect the border are significant.  But wake me when the Fed is dissolved, he pulls the plug on surveillance of citizens, or he actually does something serious about health care.  Until then, I ask you: what has he really changed?

In reply to by DownWithYogaPants

MK13 J S Bach Tue, 06/20/2017 - 23:50 Permalink

Don't disagree with that take. But there is no way in hell discovery of truth will happen under DNC leadership, it's given a chance under GOP leadership.

Look, in next DNC presidential win - based on trajectory of what Obama did and what deep state is doing - US will be a totalitarian state. And DNC will make sure to never let go of reigns.

In reply to by J S Bach

The Jaguar J S Bach Tue, 06/20/2017 - 23:59 Permalink

Campaign Promise 1: To replace Antonin Scalia with a like-minded justice from a list of 20
The Nomination of Neil Gorsuch who is one of the most qualified people ever nominated to the SCOTUS. And before the opposition says "but, Merrick Garland" tell them to look up up the Biden Rule
Campaign Promise 2: To suspend immigration from terror-prone countries
Trump has attempted to enact a Travel Ban that is 100% CONSTITUTIONAL AND is made from the seven (six, now) "countries of concern" outlined by the Obama Administration. This has been blocked by an extremely liberal Hawaiian judge who was appointed by Obama. (The blocking of this travel ban might piss me off more than anything that has happened during his presidency, because judges should be blind to politics, but that is proving to be false.) Hopefully this will go to the Supreme Court and be overturned quickly.
Campaign Promise 3: To defund and crack down on sanctuary cities
Trump has implemented a YUGE crackdown on sanctuary cities, threatening to defund them
Campaign Promise 4: To revive the Keystone Pipeline and Dakota Access Pipeline
The revival of the Dakota and Keystone XL Pipelines creating American jobs
Campaign Promise 5: To pull the US out of the TPP, an Obama-era trade deal detrimental to the US
Trump pulled us out of the TPP which would have been absolutely disastrous for the US
Trump has signed an Executive Order promoting women in STEM jobs (careers real feminists strive for, not "dance therapy" feminists)
Trump has Launched a Council empowering female leaders and female entrepreneurs
Campaign Promise 7: To renegotiate, or pull out of Bill Clinton's terrible trade deal, NAFTA
Trump met with Justin Trudeau (what a joke) to discuss the tweaking of NAFTA to benefit the US more, after he threatens to leave it
Campaign Promise 8: To undo ridiculous Obama-era federal agency regulations
Trump ordered a two-for-one repeal for all new regulations enacted by federal agencies
Campaign Promise 9: To rollback Obama-era regulations on small businesses
Trump has rolled back ridiculous Obama-era regulations that have made it nearly impossible for small businesses to hire employees
Campaign Promise 10: To help America's inner-cities deeply in need of rebuilding
Trump has signed an Executive Order to give major funding to "Historically Black Colleges and Universities," helping out inner-cities immensely
Trump's EPA granted $10 million to aid the Flint, Michigan water crisis
Campaign Promise 11: To protect our policemen, the true everyday heroes
Trump signed an Executive Order protecting our police
Campaign Promise 12: To crackdown on illegal immigration and to BUILD A WALL
Trump has implemented a YUGE crackdown on illegal immigration and he has started the WALL initiative
Campaign Promise 13: To bolster our depleted military
Trump has increased our military budget because we don't want to use our military, but want to be prepared to use it
Campaign Promise 14: To enact a five year lobbying ban on government Officials after they leave office
Trump has placed a five year and lifetime lobbying ban on government officials for when they leave office
Campaign Promise 15: To crackdown on drug cartels and illegal drugs crossing the border
Trump signed an Executive Order cracking down on drug cartels
Campaign Promise 16: To revitalize the dying coal industry in the US
Trump has enacted Joint Resolution 38 putting hundreds, if not thousands of coal miners back to work
Campaign Promise 17: To create American JOBS and bring companies back to America
Trump negotiated a deal with Carrier promising to bring manufacturing and jobs back to the US.
Trump has met with CEOs from huge companies to work on bringing jobs back to America
There was an increase of 298,000 jobs in February alone (liberals will say that counts in Obama's fiscal year, but we know the truth)
Trump met with Intel CEO who promised $7 Billion investment and over 3,000 high paying (not "shovel ready" bullshit jobs) in America
Trump met with the CEO of Softbank who has promised 50,000 more American jobs and has already fulfilled 3,000 of those jobs
-Kroger has promised over 10,000 new jobs in the era of Trump
Campaign Promise 18: Pushing NATO allies to pay their fair share or face the reality of the US possibly leaving
Trump has put major pressure on the members of NATO to pay their fair and equal share because there are only a handful of countries in NATO who currently pay as much as agreed upon
Campaign Promise 19: To make America energy independent, relieving us from our dependence on foreign entities, such as OPEC
Trump has taken major steps towards America's energy independence
Campaign Promise 20: To enact a hiring freeze on government employees to help stop corruption
Trump enacted a hiring freeze to all federal employees, cutting down on the over-bloated bureaucracy
Campaign Promise 21: Trump could be the president that takes us to Mars!
Trump signed a Bill allowing NASA funding, including an exploration to Mars
Campaign Promise 22: To undo many of Obama's unconstitutional Executive Orders
Rescinding (one of) Obama's incredibly unconstitutional actions regarding transgender bathrooms in schools
Campaign Promise 23: The repeal and replacement of Obamacare. The recent GOP fallout of AHCA Plan was no fault of Trump's. The blame solely belongs to Speaker Ryan. He created a ^&*^ bill and couldn't even capitalize to get enough votes. Obamacare will crash in 2017 when individual mandates kick in and Democrats will be to blame. That is when Trump will truly work to Repeal and Replace it with a plan he promised us.
Trump got rid of the idiotic penalty in Obamacare that fines you if you choose not to participate in the program
Campaign Promise 24: To "Bomb the $%#@ out of ISIS"
He called for a drone strike in Afghanistan killing Qari Yasin, a Pakistani Al-Qaeda leader
Campaign Promise 25: To not take a salary as President
He donated his first quarterly salary to the National Park Service
(Even though it was Mike Pence) The defunding of clinics that perform abortions. Because no matter whether you are pro-choice/pro-life, the government should not be funding abortions. (Also, if people bring up the Hyde Amendment which is supposed to not let any federal funding go towards abortions, LET THEM KNOW that US taxpayers pay for about 24% of abortions despite of that "amendment")
Huge spikes in the NASDAQ average index and the DOW average index starting November 8th. (This will count for Obama unfortunately, but we know where the real credit belongs.)
He has placed sanctions on Iran after they tested ballistic missiles
He has met with/talked to over 30 foreign leaders.
Trump has moved on to tax reform, lowering taxes for Americans
He negotiated down the Price of the new Air Force One one billion dollars in a meeting that lasted just one hour
The major cuts to the costs of the F-35 saving billions

In reply to by J S Bach

EddieLomax J S Bach Wed, 06/21/2017 - 05:38 Permalink

Trump has said things already that others would lose their careers over even mentioning.  Many sacred cows were slaughtered in the 2016 election, now because of what Trump has said another candidate can simply repeat them knowing that in the past this was successful with the electorate.It is a small step forward, but it opens the door to things being fixed peacefully, rather than all out war on the streets.Your party of brave people confronting the real issues wouldn't poll 5%, not because of what they said, but because no one would think voting for them would work.  Look at how hard it is for Trump to even do things after being elected president, that 9th circuit judges, the media, democrats and many republicans are still fighting him tooth and nail.Trump isn't the end of all political problems, but he is the god emperor of all mankind.

In reply to by J S Bach

SWRichmond J S Bach Wed, 06/21/2017 - 08:04 Permalink

I hate to pour cold water on this warm showering of praise of the Republicans, but what the hell does it really matter?!It means they get to go crazier first, right away, and push more people into our camp in the scant time remaining before we go kinetic. One thing I've realized is this: with the crowds going to watch Trump get assassinated in a free-admission play (admittedly, it is NYC, but still), cheering when he gets killed, and booing people who point out that it is depicting direct political violence, those same crowds would provide support for "resistance" fighters.  Those neighborhoods are not safe for Trump people, just like Sharia neighborhoods are not safe for normies.  Who in those neighborhoods would be a witness against a member of the anti-Trump "resistance"?  Which one of them would see someone shoot a MAGA hat-wearer and tell the police what he saw?None of them, that's who.  This is what civil war looks like.  Many of those people would hide an anti-Trump kinetic fighter from the police.

In reply to by J S Bach

nmewn HelluvaEngineer Tue, 06/20/2017 - 21:47 Permalink

"And MSNBC is just flat out reporting erroneous data...they seem to think that Ossoff has a 2 point lead???"....its like CNN Nov 8 all over again...lmao!..."Lets go over to the big touch screen precinct map now where our pencil neck...ummm, analcyst nerd...ahhh...highly trained Columbia poli-sci graduate has found what might be a pocket of O-My-Ass-Hurtz-So-Bad voters under the interstate drinking sterno who could very well be determining factor in this very close contest...PeeWee?"PeeWee poli-grad: "Well thanks Wolf. Right here at the corner of 39th at the entrance ramp.."

In reply to by HelluvaEngineer