US Military Establishment Study Admits The American Empire Is "Collapsing"

Authored by Darius Shatahmasebi via,

A new study conducted by members of the U.S. military establishment has concluded that the U.S.-led international global order established after World War II is “fraying” and may even be “collapsing” as the U.S. continues to lose its position of “primacy” in world affairs.

“In brief, the sta­tus quo that was hatched and nurtured by U.S. strategists after World War II and has for decades been the principal ‘beat’ for DoD is not merely fraying but may, in fact, be collapsing,” the report states.

The report, published in June by the U.S. Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute, evaluated the Department of Defense’s (DOD) approach to risk assessment at all levels of Pentagon policy planning. The study was supported and sponsored by the U.S. Army’s Strategic Plans and Policy Directorate; the Joint Staff, J5 (Strategy and Policy Branch); the Office of the Deputy Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Develop­ment; and the Army Study Program Management Office.

Imperial hubris

As explained by Nathan Freier, the project director and principal author of the report, the U.S. and its defense establishment “are stumbling through a period of hypercompetition.” From Freier’s point of view, the current era is marred with furious battles for positional advantage at a number of levels, whether national, transnational, or extra-national. Freier explains that America’s failure to cope is the result of “hubris,” which is reminiscent of Imperial Hubris, a book by Michael Scheuer, the former head of the CIA’s bin Laden unit. Imperial Hubris also warned the U.S. about the very controversial and hubristic reasons it was losing the war on terror (hubris means “exaggerated pride or self-confidence,” according to Merriam-Webster).

Technically, the report does not officially represent the Pentagon, though it does represent the “collective wisdom” of those consulted – including a number of Pentagon officials and prominent think tanks such as the American Enterprise Institute, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the RAND Corporation, and the Institute for the Study of War.

Nevertheless, the report involved consultation with key agencies across the DoD and the Armed Forces and encouraged the U.S. government to invest more heavily in surveillance, better propaganda through “strategic manipulation” of public opinion, and a “wider and more flexible” U.S. military. The report states:

“While as a rule, U.S. leaders of both political parties have consistently committed to the maintenance of U.S. military superiority over all potential state rivals, the post-primacy reality demands a wider and more flexible military force that can generate ad­vantage and options across the broadest possible range of military demands. To U.S. political leadership, maintenance of military advantage preserves maximum freedom of action… Finally, it allows U.S. decision-makers the opportunity to dictate or hold significant sway over outcomes in international disputes in the shadow of significant U.S. military capability and the implied promise of unac­ceptable consequences in the event that capability is unleashed.”

The year-long study concluded that the DoD should discard its outdated risk conventions and change how it describes, identifies, assesses, and communicates strategic-level and risk-based choices. As investigative journalist Nafeez Ahmed observed, these are the very strategies that have led to the U.S.’ declining power in the first place. Further enacting these failed strategies will only exacerbate the problem and demonstrates America’s refusal to go down without a fight.

The blame lies with resistant states

According to Freier and his team, the dangers currently challenging the U.S. don’t just come from countries like Russia and China (and even North Korea and Iran), but also from the increasing risk of “Arab Spring”-style events that could potentially erupt all over the world. One might wonder, then, why the U.S. decided to support a number of these events, even to the great benefit of known jihadist movements that already existed within them.

Ahmed also astutely points out that the report doesn’t actually substantiate its claims that countries like Russia are a genuine threat to America’s national security, aside from the fact that these countries seek to pursue their own core interests – as most countries should be free to do (within reason).

According to the report, Iran and North Korea are “… neither the products of, nor are they satisfied with, the contemporary order… At a minimum, they intend to destroy the reach of the U.S.-led order into what they perceive to be their legitimate sphere of influence. They are also resolved to replace that order locally with a new rule set dictated by them.”

It is notable that the report does not list Iran and North Korea as nuclear threats — as traditional neoconservative propaganda often asserts — but simply as perceived threats to the American-led world order.

The report also found that the international framework has been restructured in ways that are “inhospitable” and often “hostile” to U.S. leadership. For example,proliferation, diversification, and atomization of effective counter-U.S. resistance,” as well as “resurgent but transformed great power competition” are seen to be at the heart of this new international restructuring. According to the report, the U.S. is not prepared for these circumstances, and the report seeks to provide the U.S. with guidance to deal with these emerging scenarios.

In all seriousness, hostility to the U.S. military did not develop in a vacuum – it is quite clearly the sheer arrogance of America’s leadership and its incessant meddling in foreign affairs that have created a number of adversaries who are no longer willing to bow to American interests.

Losing the propaganda war

Renegade Inc's Nafeez Ahmed also notes that the “hyper-connectivity and weaponization of information, disinformation, and dis­affection”, the study team observes, is leading to the uncontrolled spread of information. The upshot is that the Pentagon faces the “inevitable elimination of secrecy and operational security”.

“Wide uncontrolled access to technology that most now take for granted is rapidly undermining prior advantages of discrete, secret, or covert intentions, actions, or operations… In the end, senior defense leaders should assume that all defense-related activity from minor tactical movements to major military operations would occur completely in the open from this point forward.”

This information revolution, in turn, is leading to the “generalized disintegra­tion of traditional authority structures… fueled, and/or accelerated by hyperconnectivity and the obvious decay and potential failure of the post-Cold War status quo.”

Bad facts

Among the most dangerous drivers of the risk of civil unrest and mass destabilization, the document asserts, are different categories of fact. Apart from the obvious “fact-free”, defined as information that undermines “objective truth”, the other categories include actual truths that, however, are damaging to America’s global reputation.

“Fact-inconvenient” information consists of the exposure of “details that, by implication, un­dermine legitimate authority and erode the relationships between governments and the governed”?—?facts, for instance, that reveal how government policy is corrupt, incompetent or undemocratic.


“Fact-perilous” information refers basically to national security leaks from whistleblowers such as Edward Snowden or Bradley Manning, “exposing highly clas­sified, sensitive, or proprietary information that can be used to accelerate a real loss of tactical, operational, or strategic advantage.”


“Fact-toxic” information pertains to actual truths which, the document complains, are “exposed in the absence of context”, and therefore poison “important political discourse.” Such information is seen as being most potent in triggering outbreaks of civil unrest, because it:


“… fatally weakens foundational security at an international, regional, national, or personal level. Indeed, fact-toxic exposures are those likeliest to trigger viral or contagious insecurity across or within borders and between or among peoples.”

In short, the US Army War College study team believe that the spread of ‘facts’ challenging the legitimacy of American empire is a major driver of its decline: not the actual behavior of the empire which such facts point to.

The “wake up call”

Though the report throws the word “adapt” around often, the U.S. is clearly not willing to adapt at all if the only way it can deal with its issues is to strengthen the very sources of said issues in the first place. If the only tool the U.S. has is a hammer, every problem has to look like a nail. The more problems the U.S. faces, the more nails it sees in need of quashing.

While some may laud a report in which advisors to the U.S. have acknowledged America’s status as a dying power, the truth, as demonstrated in this recent analysis, is that the U.S. will not give up its place in global affairs without a fight.

As the report states, the reality of this looming collapse should not be seen as defeatism, but rather, should be a “wake up call.”

Take the Syrian conflict, for example. The more places Assad’s military liberates, the more refugees are returning home and the more concerts are being held. Syria, Russia, and Iran have achieved these mounting successes even in the face of direct American intervention – and yet the U.S. still refuses to leave the country. Irrespective of crimes committed by the pro-Assad axis, if the ultimate objective has been to reduce the suffering in Syria and end the war, the U.S. should admit defeat and move on — especially once ISIS’ caliphate collapses entirely. But the U.S. won’t – and is reportedly considering greater involvement in the war-torn country.

The U.S. knows it is on the brink of collapse but refuses to go down peacefully. From the point of view of the powers-that-be, as long as every nail of resistance can be broken, the American hammer will continue to lead the world in international affairs. But even as this report indicates, it is precisely because of America’s hubris that it has found itself in this position in the first place. In this context, the report is somewhat contradictory and only further encourages the United States to provoke further hostility from aggrieved players on the world stage.

Carrying on these practices and exacerbating them is totally nonsensical, but doing so continues to be the go-to mantra of the U.S. war machine.


RedBaron616 Jul 20, 2017 2:43 PM Permalink

The problem is that the generals inside the Pentagon do not take their vow to the US Constitution seriously. If President Trump, or any other President, wants troops somewhere like Syria, the generals should make the point that Syria or whatever other country is sovereign territory and to go there uninvited is an act of war. Per the Constitution, only Congress can declare war.  That would nip a lot of these "drift into war" events. Right or wrong, you have to admire the French military head for speaking his mind, regardless of the consequences. The problem with the Pentagon is that there are nothing there but YES men.As for the comment on the so-called War on Terrorism, you cannot defeat such a movement by military actions. Those are what brought out the terrorists! We don't seem to understand that our meddling in other countries' affairs is the dream action for terrorist recruiters. In other words, we create our own problems.I didn't see Iraq, Libya, or Afghanistan mentioned. Apparently the authors feel there are no lessons to be learned there?Lastly, if our military were suddenly sucked into a major war, we would be in serious trouble. Why? Because the troops are tired, the equipment has many more hours on it than originally planned and wears out much quicker (CH-53). We are deployed all over. The Pentagon doesn't even defend America. Do you realize we have zero defenses against cruise missiles? We don't even have anything to track anything that small, that low, more or less a defense against numbers of them.

aldol11 (not verified) Jul 20, 2017 9:33 AM Permalink

asf is f15 first entered service 1972mbt abrams first entered service 1979m16/ma : toy gunonly supersonic bomber B1 lancer first enterd service 1974etc

RedBaron616 aldol11 (not verified) Jul 20, 2017 3:09 PM Permalink

Sorry, the B1 Lancer did NOT first enter service in 1974. Jimmy Carter CANCELLED the plane, but Ronald Reagan had it built, but I am sure with a number of improvements over the original design such as radar and other electronic gear at the least. Only the B-1A prototype was made back before the program was CANCELLED in 1977. The revamped and improved B-1B entered service in 1986, so you are only off by 12 years. LOLM1 Abrams - 1980F-15 -1976

In reply to by aldol11 (not verified)

anti-republocrat Jul 19, 2017 11:53 PM Permalink

The most fact-toxic information is that the US electoral system is so corrupt that elections can no longer be considered legitimate.  The manipulation of both results and exit polls is now widely recognized.  The US no longer has a legitimate government, let alone one that responds to the needs of the people.  If this report is taken seriously and the US military does not wish to respond to civil unrest, it must convince the President and Congress that widespread and extensive reform of elections is required.  Reform must be real and demonstrable; more lies and obfuscation will not satisfy the populace.

Rebelrebel7 (not verified) Jul 19, 2017 11:34 PM Permalink

Sorry for the multiple post. Evidently, I'm under a hack attack. Where is Putin? Stop hacking into my phone Vlad. Sposeba.

Terminaldude Jul 19, 2017 6:30 PM Permalink

It's the New World Order (that uses the US military) that refuses to back down. They care not for the US citizen (or any Western Citizens) other than to use them in their efforts to rule the world. They will continue to force Europe into excepting people with no intention to assimilate, all to take sovereignty away from us all and make us all a group of serfs with no Alegance to any one country. There is no other explanation to why Politicians in all Western countries refuse to listen to the Majority of the citizenry, other than they are being controlled through bribery or fear of Pedophilia being exposed. The MIllitary Industrial Complex needs WAR at all times to continue making money. Why is the US the largest Arms dealer in the World if it is a peace loving Nation? No, it's a nation of drugged (20-30 drug ads every night on TV) propagandized, chemtrailed wimps. Not all (Us on here especially) but the majority in all Western Countries refuse to hold Governments and law enforcement to account. How is HRC and Slippery Bill not behind bars? We can all see what they do and have done but no one gives a shit apparently. If you do try it appears you die by suicide, or that's what the paid off, fearful coroners keep saying. It will never end Until enough people get the nuts to go to Washington and demand change enmass. Until then, its "The Bachelorette" and "Big Brother" , Monday night football etc.. we let them away with it. Luckily, the Eastern powers are getting sick and tired of the pedophiles and Satanists and are pushing back. Let's hope they crush the FUKERS and fast.

radbug Jul 19, 2017 6:24 PM Permalink

Two facts. There are two "shining seas"! There will be no Russian armies marching down the main street of Chicago! Putin just wants America gone from the other side of the pond! Further, the fiat $US and its reserve status will bring down western civilization for the best part of century. But the "shining seas" & its nukes will see America left alone to rebuild. Regarding the streets of Chicago, the bullets that Americans will have to worry about, going forward, will not be Russian!

peippe Jul 19, 2017 4:46 PM Permalink

The propaganda war is lost....the soldiers that have come back from the desert with missing limb(s) & partial brains are the living limping power wheelchair using embodiment of a broken military.The US needs to set aside that trillion $ an accountant cited some years ago to keep these damaged people happy for the next fifty years or so. Conventional war is 20th century history.

herodocious Jul 19, 2017 4:39 PM Permalink

Sounds like the military sees some problems ahead and surprise, surprise, we should spend more money on the military.  China's problem is that it cannot grow fast enough to accomodate their increasingly knowledgeable population.  Russia's economy is smaller than New York City's.  China is landlocked.  Russia is surrounded by US allies.  We can hit North Korea or Iran at will, but there is no reason to hit Iran and Trump is more likely to try to find a North Korea solution than the Kenyan Obama.  We have no natural enemies on our borders.  Our biggest enemy is our allies who are allowing unlimited amount of muslim immigration.  Otherwise, I'm not worried about Canada or Mexico launching an airstrike against us.  How stupid are you gold mongerers on this web site?  Bitcoin is up 3,000 to 1 vs gold the last 7 years.  Morons.  

DaveA Jul 19, 2017 4:41 PM Permalink

There was a reason why, in the old days, the US military was so tolerant of prostitution: "If they won't fuck, they won't fight." Only real men are fit for combat, and real men need regular sex with real women. Now prostitution is banned, men are forced to march around in red high-heeled shoes and attend sensitivity training, and sex-change operations are paid for. When the barbarians finally do overrun our bases, there won't be any real men stationed there, just fags, dykes, trannies, and various monkey races.

Which I suppose is for the best, as we'll need those real men back home to defend our communities against hordes of starving Obama voters.

Vilfredo Pareto Jul 19, 2017 4:23 PM Permalink

Interesting commentary from a link above.  Not only do the military advisors and think tanks behind this see the world as a zero sum game they feel it is our right to dictate terms and that our government and military don't realize they have created the instability they now consider a threat and a justification for greater military spending, surveillance, and propaganda lol.  I can't believe the authors baldly advocated the last two lol. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. Problems can't be solved by the same kind of thinking that caused the problem in the first place. Both attributed to Einstein.  

mary mary Jul 19, 2017 4:24 PM Permalink

So tired of paying for those self-loving, self-willed, self-justified psychos to go around bombing other people back to the Stone Age.The USA has Canada on one side and Mexico on the other.  The USA is the last country in the world that needs a global military.  I think it's just a gigantic con: "Be vewy vewy afwaid of those Vietnamese, Syrians, Libyans, Panamanians, Nicaraguans, Iraqis, Iranians, and Very Far North Koreans".

RichardParker Jul 19, 2017 4:21 PM Permalink

the dangers currently challenging the U.S. don’t just come from countries like Russia and China (and even North Korea and Iran), but also from the increasing risk of “Arab Spring”-style events that could potentially erupt all over the world.Stopped reading right there.  Arab Spring was an American/Saudi/Israeli operation.  Muslim Brotherhood has ties to the CIA that go back to at least the 1960's.…

bankbob Jul 19, 2017 4:11 PM Permalink

The USA is getting out of the Global Management Business.We will no longer bribe other countries with American jobs and Dollars, to play nice.Look for Europe to revert to Pre-WWII  disarray.

Akzed Jul 19, 2017 3:29 PM Permalink

Nevertheless, the report involved consultation with key agencies across the DoD and the Armed Forces and encouraged the U.S. government to invest more heavily in surveillance, better propaganda through “strategic manipulation” of public opinion,Surveillance of whom? Manipulation of which public's opinion? Sorry, I just had to ask for the record. 

gilhgvc Jul 19, 2017 3:22 PM Permalink

humans of ANY kind are animals....never forget that. nothing noble about us. War will NEVER end, evil will NEVER be eradicated. politicians will ALWAYS become corrupted. The only question is who dies sooner, you or the other guy.

MEFOBILLS Jul 19, 2017 3:19 PM Permalink

To U.S. political leadership, maintenance of military advantage preserves maximum freedom of action… Finally, it allows U.S. decision-makers the opportunity to dictate or hold significant sway over outcomes in international disputes in the shadow of significant U.S. military capability and the implied promise of unac­ceptable consequences in the event that capability is unleashed.” There is more to power than just military.  Russia does pretty well on just a fraction of the mllitary spending the U.S. does.

Vilfredo Pareto Jul 19, 2017 3:19 PM Permalink

Imperial Hubris.   The idea that we have limitless power and can piss away our resources policing the world and on the side make the middle east and Afghanistan modern Democratic republics. Oh and Africa, Asia, etc. Of course the guy that enmeshes himself in everyone's problems is going to have a lot of enemies.  I don't know  why anyone should have expected otherwise.

Glyndwr will return Jul 19, 2017 3:17 PM Permalink

The supposed "land of the free" allows nobody else to be.Everyone noticed.VISA, an American monopoly operating in the UK, is now pushing for the elimination of cash in the UK.The US can F-off with all their platform monopolies - who all pay bugger all tax.Boycott American goods until these low lifes learn to leave people alone.

GunnyG Jul 19, 2017 3:12 PM Permalink

GOOD! As a retired Marine, 3rd Generation, I can safely say, "fuck the world." Son just got out, 4th Generation, and he says, "fuck the world." I hope they all rot in their own pus and when a major disaster strikes and they dial 800 UNCLSAM for help, they get the message: "Sorry but this number is no longer in service. If you require emergency services and/or foreign aid, please hang up and go fuck yourself."

HRH Feant2 (not verified) GunnyG Jul 19, 2017 5:41 PM Permalink

I have been giving the same advice to young people. The tipping point was allowing fucking freaks, transvestites, to serve. One day they are wearing pants and the next day they get to wear a skirt and lipstick? OH HELL NO.

I have the same point of view. I served during the Cold War and I never thought I would come home and wake up to find my own country infested with fucking communists and a Stasi spy grid. Not in a million years did I expect this outcome.

In reply to by GunnyG

Vilfredo Pareto GunnyG Jul 19, 2017 4:06 PM Permalink

I think we are all in agreement.  Unless it is an absolutely vital DOMESTIC related national security interest we should not risk you and your son.    even the naysayers here from overseas agree lol. The rest of the world can piss off and quit thinking uncle sugar is going to bring the money and the troops to play policeman and social worker to the world. We might actually have some real global cooperation if it were clear we ain't paying for shit anymore nor sending our troops.  They have to grow up, cooperate, and work it out themselves without Uncle Sam acting like the indulgent helicopter parent.

In reply to by GunnyG

Glyndwr will return GunnyG Jul 19, 2017 3:27 PM Permalink

Sorry "mate" but there is barely a confrontation in the world in the last 100 years that did not have your country's intrusive, dominating and manipulative fingers all over it.Lose the "force for good " meme - your country lost it long ago. Read history. Read Smedley Butler. Distinguish between the American people (most of them at least) and their government - one is good and the other - well - work it out.

In reply to by GunnyG