Why the GOP Has Nothing to Offer Californians Now

By introduction

Brian Brady is an ideological libertarian and a registered Republican for 33 years.  He has been active in conservative politics in three different states.  He's  volunteered and donated to his county Republican party (which is well run and effective), organized the largest tax day tea party protest in the country (Oceanside, CA in 2011), was elected to serve on my County Republican Committee, and is a delegate to the California Republican Party.  He is a a veteran of the real estate market and specializes in  working with military personnel in the Ca community. 

Brian is a committed and mature political actor.  This is based on 20+ years of knowing the man

-Vince Lanci

On The Lessons of Being a Conservative in a Liberal State: 

While Barry Goldwater is my political North Star, the CA GOP needs to recognize we live in a moderate county in a very liberal state.  We must understand the value of moving the ball down the field through small victories.

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Why Would Anyone Vote For A California Republican ?

Written by Brian Brady for Marketslant


Understanding Reality

California is the epicenter of the #resistance movement to President Trump.  The California Democratic Party celebrated its #resistance recently with a "F*** Trump" cheer, led by the Chairman of the California Dems while a State Senator (the immediate past Speaker of the Assembly), the US House Minority Leader, and the senior US Senator participated.  Democrats hold not just a majority but a super majority in the Assembly and State Senate.  This is important because Governor Moonbeam Brown can't raise taxes without a super majority vote.  When Gov. Brown wanted to raise gas taxes (three months ago) to fix our crumbling roads, the Democratic super majority delivered the tax increase to him.

The gas tax hike is very unpopular. California already had the highest gas taxes in the country and, while it was supposed to be earmarked to repair roads, California Democrats have been diverting that money to pet train projects for two decades-- thus, the highway "trust fund" is broke.  This gas tax hike was a continuation of the ongoing swindle.  Dems wouldn't "lock box" the money for roads but rather divert 25% of it to Gov. Brown's "crazy train" project.  They passed it anyway,

My friend, former San Diego Councilman and current talk radio host Carl DeMaio, saw this as an opportunity to break the California Democrats' super majority by organizing a recall of State Senator Josh Newman.   The California Republican Party followed DeMaio's lead and started raising and contributing funds to the Newman recall. While The California Democrats were fighting labor unions about how far left to take this state before it files bankruptcy, the California Republicans saw an opportunity to build its brand around the "no new taxes" strategy.  

This is a very good idea.  California is a large and diverse state.  While some Republicans hew to the conservative line of "More God, More Guns, Less Government", some Republicans rally around the fiscal responsibility cry.  A pro-Life, Pro Second Amendment rural Republican Assemblyman and a pro-choice, gun grabbing, Bay Area Republican Senator agree on one basic theme-- California Republicans will never raise your taxes.  This gas tax hike offered the "tidal turn" so many of us saw coming and we were poised to pounce.

Cap and Trade Extension

When Arnold Schwarzenegger was Governor, he signed the controversial "Cap and Trade" legislation into law (AB 32).  The negative effects of AB 32 were almost immediate:  higher energy prices, higher food prices, and higher gasoline prices.  The average Californian might teasingly post a "F*** Trump" video on his Facebook and might pay lip service to the notion that human beings are destroying the planet but AB32 drove up the costs of food, energy, and gasoline.   The average Californian HATES that. Polling showed Republican consultants that higher taxes, Brown's Crazy Train, and AB 32 were giving Republican candidates legitimate shots at victory in many moderate and a few center-left districts-- the super majority would be pierced and a Republican majority might be 1-2 election cycles away.  The overriding theme was to stay off of the social issues and stay united on taxes and fiscal issues.  

AB 32 sunsets in 2020 and Governor Brown was resolute that he would renew it for another ten years.  He put a lot of pressure on the Democratic legislative leadership to follow up the gas tax hike with a renewal of AB 32.  He went so far as to make a rare appearance on the Assembly floor to make a hysterical impassioned plea to vote for the extension. With a Democratic super majority, renewal seems like a shoe-in but Democratic Assembly members, in swing districts, knew a renewal vote would cost them re-election--they wanted to run and hide when the roll call came.

Republicans could smell the opportunity.  The unpopular gas tax hike would result in a likely recall breaking the super majority.  The infighting about single-payer health care was making the California Democrats look like some socialist European party.  All they had to do was to unite behind the opposition to the Cap and Trade extension and the Democrats would OWN the issues of higher taxes, reckless spending, and the price inflating Cap and Trade legislation.  Housing affordability was next on the legislative agenda and Republicans were offering supply side solutions to a supply starved state.  The Democrats were offering the same old tax and spend subsidies and voters started paying attention to our side.

Governor Brown is a crafty old pol from the good old days of buying off votes.  Cap and Trade is basically a regressive tax-- it drives up the cost of gasoline, food, and energy for poor people so that rich people can buy Teslas and put solar panels on their houses.  Legislators in poorer inland districts know this. Brown saw an opportunity to target coastal Republican legislators and offer goodies for them--more funding for their pet projects, promises of Commission appointments when they term out, and the unearned moral superiority of saving the planet from poor people so that rich elitists can feel good about themselves.

Eight Republicans defected, offering political cover for four Democrats.  The Republican Minority Assembly Leader, who three days earlier, announced that there was "no Republican support for Cap and Trade", whipped up enough votes to give the Governor and his party a victory.  A story hit the newswires about that Republican Leader's marital infidelity within an hour of the vote so I guess he shouldn't have trusted Governor Brown.

Why Does This Defection Matter?
 Firstly, Cap and Trade is horrible public policy.   It presupposes that the only solution, to a political problem, is the economic deprivation of "deplorables".  Secondly, Cap and trade is a tax, a wholesale tax which businesses pass on to its consumers in the form of higher prices.  The California Republican Party, with all of its division on social issues, branded itself as the "no new taxes" party.  Voting for the Cap and Trade Tax destroys that branding at a time when the branding was starting to pay off.  Supporting the Cap and Trade Extension tells the voters that Republicans can be bribed, bought off, or blackmailed.  Why in the HELL would voters trust THAT ?


So Why Would Anyone Vote For A California Republican?
Some California voters agree that abortion is murder (I do).  Some California voters agree that Americans have a natural right to defend their lives with the weapons the Second Amendment guarantees they can own and carry (I do).  Some California voters agree that marriage should only be between a man and a woman (Meh).  But all of those "somes" don't add up to a governing coalition in California.  A growing majority of California voters think that the Democratic Party is the party of public sector unions, reckless spending, and higher taxes and they are getting frustrated with them.  The Republican platform was reduced to one simple thing-- Republicans will never, ever, ever, raise your taxes.  Period.  End of paragraph.

What in the heck do we have to offer California now?

Brian Brady's Blog

Brian J. Brady
P: (858) 777-9751
F: (858) 605-4230

Comments

FGH Thu, 07/20/2017 - 10:23 Permalink

"Prop 13" is next on the DEMONcrats tax hit list.Property tax millage rates will soon go ballistic on existing California homeowners.

Anon2017 FGH Thu, 07/20/2017 - 14:06 Permalink

Prop. 13 has survived for 39 years and counting. It was actually broadened by voters in subsequent years by Prop. 60 and Prop. 90. Religious Republicans should move to Mississippi or Alabama where they would be much happier. As red states have tightened restrictions on abortions and family planning, they haven't said who is going to pay for all of the unwanted Dindus born to single moms on welfare.    

In reply to by FGH

rlouis Thu, 07/20/2017 - 11:58 Permalink

I recently asked a day-laborer at Home Depot what the going rate was - he told me $20 per hour, cash.  In order to pay that I have to earn $30 per hour before taxes.  They don't pay taxes.And that is all well and good for our elected politicians.

Kayman rlouis Thu, 07/20/2017 - 14:12 Permalink

"he told me $20 per hour, cash.  In order to pay that I have to earn $30 per hour before taxes"And with all the payroll burden added to the employer, your employer would have to find $40 to pay you $30.Does anyone wonder why jobs are so scarce?  If capital was taxed up front like labor is, then no one would invest.

In reply to by rlouis

RedBaron616 Thu, 07/20/2017 - 12:06 Permalink

As usual, this article just shows that the GOP in California mirrors the GOP in Congress. It is all about Party, nothing about Principle.I love reading all those articles about how the Democratic Party is dead, on the ropes, etc. The GOP is working hard to give the Democratic Party new life. A curse on both their houses. I refuse to vote for ANY candidate who belongs to either.Vote independent or third-party. We already know neither of the two main parties cares about the country.

thebigunit Thu, 07/20/2017 - 13:02 Permalink

I agree with Lanci's analysis: California is on a roller coaster to economic perdition, and the California Republican Party is along for the ride.The relevant questions are: is anything ever going to change, and if so what and when?California (and Illinois and other Democrat enslaved satrapies) are -- in the words of envirnonmentalists -- "unsustainable"  California is heading to the same place as Argentina, Greece, Venezuela, and other banana republics.Things will change when -- and only when -- the ruling elites run out of "other people's money".  That will be manifested, most likely, when states and big government entities start gutting or defunding government services of -- unlikely -- declaring bankruptcy.In California, the first "crisis" could be scaling back public retirement pensions.  This is the big black hole of tax payer money, and the logical place where big chunks of "new" public money could be found.  It's is unclear how this crisis coulld be brought to a head, but some clever strategizing with the Trump braintrust could come up with some California ballot initiative that would present California with a choice between "greedy government unions" and "the working man".With rising gas prices, insane housing prices, and quarter-million dollar government pensions, the working man might just be pissed off enough to win that one. 

thebigunit Synoia Fri, 07/21/2017 - 13:13 Permalink

There's plenty of space in California to build housing.

And if the Military turned over Pendelton. Vanderberg, and Hunter Ligget to the people we'd cut the price of housing by having more land.

The problem is that the Democrat party underclass (i.e., you) wants everything to be free.

In reply to by Synoia

Publicus_Reanimated Thu, 07/20/2017 - 13:14 Permalink

The author neglects to mention the state has businesses by the short curlies.  If this legislation, however bad, had failed California already has the authority to do really, REALLY Draconian things in order to fake meeting its emissions targets.  Sock me in the eye or chop off my arm -- I know what I'd choose.

NickPeeMe Thu, 07/20/2017 - 13:47 Permalink

The GOP has nothing to offer but death. They Suck and Drumpf is the perfect douche to lead them into oblivion with the democrats and Hillary right behind. Trump and Hillary will be dancing before the shit storm is over.

kommissar Synoia Fri, 07/21/2017 - 03:22 Permalink

where are YOU from you stupid fuck?  you obviously don't know that the democrat party is the party of slave holders and the jim crow south.  the very first republican president (abraham lincoln, since you probably don't know THAT either) heralded the end of slavery and emancipated the blacks.  it must be really embarrassing to be that ignorant.

In reply to by Synoia

Village-idiot Thu, 07/20/2017 - 14:04 Permalink

  Republicans aren't going to do well for the next generation or so in California because most Republican voters are leaving the state. Now that unvaccinated children will not be allowed in public schools this gives a little more incentive for Christians and other conservatives to leave.  We keep reading that California supplies 'x' percent of the food consumed in N. America. What they forget to mention is that this is only in the summer; in the winter most food comes from Mexico. Now, if conservatives would start a substantial veggie patch in their back garden then California would really be screwed. It's time to dig up that perfect lawn and start growing at some of your own food.

Cloud9.5 Thu, 07/20/2017 - 14:17 Permalink

California is like the rest of the country divided between urban and rural.  I was in Napa Valley a few weeks ago and saw a confederate flag flying.  It was in farm country.  The left hates the right.  But when the zombie apocalypse cuts loose, everybody wants Daryl on their side.

chosen (not verified) truthseeker47 Thu, 07/20/2017 - 16:20 Permalink

The problem with the state of Jefferson is that there is nothing going on there, other than farming.  The economy, which used to be based on timber, is pretty much dead.  I guess they can hope marijuana would save them.  Without the Bay Area and LA, California would be pretty much Alabama or Mississippi, maybe Oklahoma.

In reply to by truthseeker47

BetterRalph runnymede Thu, 07/20/2017 - 17:44 Permalink

If you liked the your rights the way they were before they were stolen behind your back, then you shouldn't like the stuff coming from the Bay Area and So Cal. You probably don't even waste time writing Pelosi, Feinstein since you KNOW it's a waste of time, and talking with the enemy who wants Communism legalized, the borders open and everyone disarmed.

So in that respect if that all stopped, California would be Great, and you might want to come here.

In reply to by runnymede

RagaMuffin Thu, 07/20/2017 - 15:14 Permalink

"Brian Brady is an ideological libertarian and a registered Republican for 33 years. " An absolute bullshit statement. Libertarians have zero tolerance for Republicans You are either in the closet or out   ;-)

shovelhead Thu, 07/20/2017 - 15:54 Permalink

"Republicans will never, ever, ever, raise your taxes.  Period.  End of paragraph.What in the heck do we have to offer California now?" A pithy and succinct observation of the Repub Party at large. Why vote Dem lite with a Party of backsliders and do-nothings without a conservative backbone?The "Go with us and take the scenic route to Hell" attitude is why there are going to be major defections to a third Party from conservative and centrists from both Parties.

roddy6667 shovelhead Thu, 07/20/2017 - 20:48 Permalink

George Bush SR was running for president on the "Read my lips. No new taxes" platform. I voted for him thinking he could extend the Eighties that Reagan had ruled. My mistake. The first thing Bush did was to raise taxes. He also went along with everything the Democratic candidate had proposed. I might as well have voted for Dukakis.I did learn how the American political system works, or does not. I never voted again in any election.

In reply to by shovelhead

Lost in translation Thu, 07/20/2017 - 17:52 Permalink

#californiamustburn

Burn it down, all of it. Burn it to the foundation, then jackhammer the concrete into pieces, and salt the earth beneath.

California is a state sponsor of terror, and is an existential threat to the United States of America.

It must be put down like a rabid dog.

#burncaliforniadown