Mysterious Trader With "Nearly Unlimited Bankroll" Said To Manipulate, Dominate Price Of Bitcoin

It was over three years ago, back in May 2014, when we wrote "How Bots Manipulated The Price Of Bitcoin Through "Massive Fraudulent Trading Activity" At MtGox" in which we first demonstrated one of the more striking observed "bot-driven" bitcoin manipulation schemes, in this case related to the infamous collapse of the now defunct Mt.Gox bitcoin exchnage.

As we wrote at the time, a number of traders began noticing suspicious behavior on Mt. Gox. Basically, a random number between 10 and 20 bitcoin would be bought every 5-10 minutes, non-stop, for at least a month on end until the end of January, by what appeared to be two algos, named later as "Willy" and "Markis." Each time, (1) an account was created, (2) the account spent some very exact amount of USD to market-buy coins ($2.5mm was most common), (3) a new account was created very shortly after. Repeat. In total, a staggering ~$112 million was spent to buy close to 270,000 BTC – the bulk of which was bought in November.

"So if you were wondering how Bitcoin suddenly appreciated in value by a factor of 10 within the span of one month, well, this is why. Not Chinese investors, not the Silkroad bust – these events may have contributed, but they certainly were not the main reason. But who did it? and why?"

Of course, in the end this alleged manipulation did not help Mt.Gox which eventually collapsed in what has been the biggest case of cryptocoin fraud in history.

We bring up this particular blast from the past, because in the latest case of bitcoin market abuse - with Bitcoin trading at all time highs above $3,000 - Cointelegraph reports of rumors swirling about a trader "with nearly unlimited funds who is manipulating the Bitcoin markets." This trader, nicknamed "Spoofy," received his "nom de guerre" because of his efforts to “spoof” the market, primarily on Bitfinex.

Of course, spoofing is what Navinder Sarao pled guilty of last year, when regulators inexplicably changed their story, and instead of blaming a Waddell and Reed sell order for the May 2010 flash crash, decided to scapegoat the young trader who allegedly crashed the market due to his relentless spoofing of E-mini futures (and also making $40 million in the process of spoofing stock futures for over five years).

It now appears that a spoofer has once again emerged, only this time in Bitcoin.

For those unfamiliar, spoofing is simple: it is the illegal practice of placing a large buy order just below other buy orders, or a large sell order just above other sell orders, then cancelling if it appears that the order is about to be hit or lifted. The idea is to make traders think that somebody with deep pockets is getting ready to buy or sell, in hopes of moving the market. If traders see a sell order of 2000 Bitcoin they may rush to panic sell before the whale crashes the price. And vice versa on the bid-side.

As an example of Spoofy's trading pattern, here is a breakdown of a typical "trade" by the mysterious entity as noted by BitCrypto'ed who first spotted the irregular activity: Spoofy is a regular trader (or a group of traders) who engages in the following practices:

  • Places large bids ($2 million and up) for Bitcoin, usually just under a smaller bid order, only to remove them once someone starts to sell. These orders usually have a lifetime of minutes, or sometimes as short as 5–10 seconds to manipulate the price up (more common)
  • Places large asks ($2 million and up), for Bitcoin when he wants the price to go down, or stop going up (less common)
  • Occasionally ‘Spoofy’ will allow orders deep in the orderbooks to remain for a few hours, usually $50–$100 below the current price. For example, during the recovery above $2,000, he had roughly 4,000 BTC of false orders in the $1,900 range that were unlikely to execute, and ultimately were never executed.

As noted above, spoofing is actually illegal - as ultimately the trader has no intention of ever executing the publicized trade - but as Bitcoin markets are largely unregulated, it’s a very common practice.

What is unusual in this case is the nearly unlimited bankroll that Spoofy has at his disposal: He regularly places orders approaching $60 million.

Even more unusual is that, as cointelegraph reports, most of Spoofy’s activity occurs on a single exchange: Bitfinex. This exchange came under fire earlier this spring when Wells Fargo cut off their banking ties. As a result, it’s virtually impossible to deposit fiat on Bitfinex without going through intermediaries.

Yet unlike most Bitfinex traders, Spoofy appears to have special privileges, and has massive sums of both fiat and Bitcoin at his disposal on that exchange, likely one of the only traders who does.

* * *

In addition to spoofing, "Spoofy" also engages in wash trading, or effectively trading with himself. As BitCrypto’ed points out in a recent blog post:

“Spoofy makes the price go up when he wants it to go up, and Spoofy makes the price go down when he wants it to go down, and he’s got the coin… both USD, and Bitcoin, of course, to pull it off, and with impunity on Bitfinex.”

The BitCrypto’ed blog also describes Spoofy’s wash trades, when he trades with himself by either selling into his own buy orders or vice versa. Wash trading at high volumes can induce a frenzy of buying or selling, as other traders respond to the high trading volume. Spoofy can execute wash trades at very low cost, about $1,000 per million dollars of volume.

A single entity (entity could be a trader, or a group of traders), single handedly wash traded 24,000 Bitcoins in shorts. In order to do this, you would need to have at least 24,000 BTC on Bitfinex and the USD to buy them with.

When Bitfinex announced its plan to distribute Bitcoin Cash, it initially planned to distribute Bitcoin Cash to holders of short positions. Immediately following that announcement, a single trader short sold tens of thousands of Bitcoin all at once. It’s likely this trader was Spoofy himself, hoping to acquire as much Bitcoin Cash as possible.

The large number of shorts on Bitfinex also led many to believe that an epic short squeeze was coming, and many Bitcoin traders purchase coins in expectation of this. Suddenly, he “claimed” all of his own shorts, closing them using his own Bitcoin. The number of shorts dropped drastically, yet without affecting the price at all.

Bifinex itself admitted the manipulation on August 2, one day after the fork:

“After the methodology announcement on July 27th, several accounts began large-scale manipulation tactics in an attempt to obtain BCH tokens at the expense of exchange longs and lenders on the platform, causing the distribution coefficient to artificially plummet.

 

We have determined that this kind of manipulation?—?including wash trading and self-funding shorts?—?is in violation of Bitfinex’s terms of service. Those who intended to take unfair advantage of the circumstances surrounding the BCH distribution at the expense of other users have been sanctioned accordingly.”

Interestingly, BitCrypto'ed claims that Spoofy isn’t limited to just Bitcoin, and that shortly after this ‘trader’ was ‘sanctioned’ by Bitfinex, another interesting thing happened: ETCBTC shorts immediately disappeared on August 1.

 

Here we can see how the ETCBTC shorts simply vanished, from 60,000 ETC short, to a low of 93 ETC. But let’s not just look at ETCBTC, what about ETCUSD?

 

 

 

A giant middle finger. Notice the dramatic increase and decrease in longs with no effect on price.

 

I'm not sure what to make of these, but it calls into question the legitimacy of this data. The point I’m trying to make by showing the ETCBTC/ETCUSD margin pairs also engaging in very funny business at the same exact time, how are we supposed to know that the BTCUSD longs on Bitfinex are not also subject to this manipulation?

 

ETCBTC Shorts = Clear evidence of manipulation
ETCUSD Longs =Clear evidence of manipulation
BTCUSD Shorts = Clear evidence of manipulation (and admitted by Bitfinex)
BTCUSD Longs = BTCUSD Longs in terms of USD, has never been higher in Bitfinex’s history. See the green line.

 

It's not just Bitfinex: Spoofy’s activity also drives crypto prices on other exchanges, as arbitrage takes place. Because BItcoin is so thinly traded, a single large “whale” can potentially move the entire market.

Just like in US stock markets where HFTs find instant price arbitrage opportunities, with the help of extensive spoofing, the same takes place in bitcoin exchange.

People underestimate how much exchanges follow each other. Manipulation on one exchange will affect prices on other exchanges. You have traders that watch all of the exchanges and if one exchange starts to pull ahead, they too buy on cheaper exchanges.

 

You don’t just have people, but you also have bots that will do the same thing, so price reactions can be immediate.

Just like equities. And while Spoofy is certainly exercising outsized control over the Bitcoin price, it is uncertain how much of an affect this is having across all the markets. The price is currently rising, having finally surmounted the $3,000 barrier. The only problem? Nobody knows how much of this increase is organic and sustainable, and how much is due to the market manipulation of Spoofy and others.

Finally, nobody knows who he is:  The identity of Spoofy remains a mystery. He may be i) a single trader, ii) a large OTC trading firm or group of colluding traders, iii) or even the Bitfinex management themselves. He sometimes seeks to drop Bitcoin price, and sometimes acts to increase it. One thing is certain: one single trader seems to have a "central bank"-like impact on the entire crypto market.

Comments

Manthong johngaltfla Sun, 08/06/2017 - 21:15 Permalink

 
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..time to sell BitScam, if you own any now.

In reply to by johngaltfla

hedgeless_horseman bigdumbnugly Sun, 08/06/2017 - 21:29 Permalink

 

Mysterious Trader With "Nearly Unlimited Bankroll" Said To Manipulate, Dominate Price Of Bitcoin

As I clearly articulated in Marfa, after Ken and Jon's talk, his name is Janet Yellen.As long as one can buy and sell Bitcoin in USD, the FRBNY/CBs have total control.If I was Simon Potter, I could make or break BTC, or any other traded instrument, by noon tomorrow...with time to spare.

In reply to by bigdumbnugly

Mementoil tmosley Mon, 08/07/2017 - 01:24 Permalink

What are you talking about, Tmosley?The above article has just demonstrated to you how the price can be manipulated without buying or selling - just by spoofing fake buying or selling orders which are later cancelled.One of your major arguments in favor of Cryptos has just been demolished, and instead of dealing with it you are spewing profanities.

In reply to by tmosley

SWRichmond Mementoil Mon, 08/07/2017 - 07:52 Permalink

Currency trading which can be manipulated?  Who knew?Occasional pump-and-dump articles about the price behaviour of the vehicle?  Never seen that before.Someone is making a shitload of money and it ain't us.  SSDDAnd here is my issue with bitcoin: like any tradeable asset, how do you evaluate its price and make decisions on when to buy / hold / sell, with the entire economy manipulated in the hands of greedy lunatics?  Add to that, with bitcoin et al, any number of them can be created by literally anyone.  It's not real, and it's infinitely dilutable, so how over time does it hold value?  Only one way: name recognition.  How long can that last?  How do I know when to sell?

In reply to by Mementoil

tmosley Mementoil Mon, 08/07/2017 - 08:21 Permalink

It hand waved that you could do that.Oldbugs LOVE calling this "spoofing" because it is the same word used to describe the manipulation of price by placing orders and frontrunning market orders to yank those orders which DOES manipulate the price illegally. The difference here is that there is no colocation--no better access that allows that last part, the yanking of liquidity between the time the other user hit the execute button. Instead its just a guy placing and pulling orders that do sometimes get nibbled, and occassionally get swallowed whole.What you idiots are gloatingly calling "manipulation" is just plain old market action. A big trader trying to bully the price this way or that with psychology is very different from top to bottom systemic corruption.

In reply to by Mementoil

Doom Porn Star Bay of Pigs Mon, 08/07/2017 - 07:30 Permalink

The takeaway is that BTC is still a thinly traded market and thus vulnerable to spec manipulation with fiat amounts that wouldn't move the needle in securities or commodities with more depth.You are going to see some serious waves if a HFT desk at the likes of Goldman or Blackrock or JPM has finally waded in to manage price ala the COMEX.   The little krill will all just get bought out/swallowed up and vast amounts will be sequestered in the digital equivalent of a vault -thus making the small amounts still in circulation and in use for transactional purposes subject to brutal manipulation / suppression later at the big desk's whims...

In reply to by Bay of Pigs

Buckaroo Banzai Doom Porn Star Mon, 08/07/2017 - 11:26 Permalink

What you are missing is, there is no futures market for BitCoin that the (((banks))) can manipulate, nor can they manipulate by short-selling because the blockchain won't let them synthesize BitCoin out of nothing the way they can in the stock or bond markets by "borrowing" fake shares. The only direction they can manipulate price is UP, by throwing massive amounts of fiat at BitCoin. But that only helps current BitCoin holders, which is something they are loathe to do.

In reply to by Doom Porn Star

Son of Captain Nemo hedgeless_horseman Sun, 08/06/2017 - 21:34 Permalink

Repost

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-06/madness-back-homeowners-take-o…

Attention "Buttcoin" shoppers...

Janet Yellen and the Board of Governors sends you their regards!!!

P.S.

Party at the Marriner Eccles Building December 31, 2017 to say "THANK YOU" for EVERYTHING YOU DO for "THE" BANK to "RING IN" the New Year!...

Those Buttcoin holders that have at least two mortgages on there only homes valued at $1 million or more get to have a sit down VIP dinner with the "Chair" and a personally autographed picture of her, Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan as a token of our appreciation for your recklessness AS WELL AS OURS!

In reply to by hedgeless_horseman

Oh regional Indian peopledontwanttruth Mon, 08/07/2017 - 04:01 Permalink

Dunno.... THE Who? Or actually it's the "THEM"....They've got global finance by the nutsack, in a "vice" grip, literally and figuratively.The crypto market is not going away anytime soon. For anyone who cannot see this, fiat is being bled, slowly but surely into crypto (a mis-nomer if there ever was one).The Phoenix will be an e-coin...... fully tradable against/for all goods and services, freely across borders but also FULLY TRACABLE.A win-win for globalists.India just approved limited regulation for allowing crypto into the indian financial system, We are the globalist test-bed.Love it or hate it, get into it, understand it... it's here for keeps till the whole she-bang goes bust...

In reply to by peopledontwanttruth

NCIzzy hedgeless_horseman Mon, 08/07/2017 - 07:41 Permalink

ok - but how much btc do you think the fed owns now? maybe a lot, but what percentage of the total? then ask yourself if that's enough to really push it down, long-term, in a market of increasingly public demand?i think that instead, in order for them to get enough bitcoin now to give themselves a deep, long term suppression ability (ie, supply to sell to keep it down) they would need to going on a buying spree sufficient to push it up dramatically. maybe that's what's pushed it up 3x this year. maybe the snake is eating its own tail and the big buyer this year has been the fed. if it is them, i wonder how much they've successfully accumulated. i bet theyve been disappointed.

In reply to by hedgeless_horseman

Manthong TeamDepends Sun, 08/06/2017 - 21:20 Permalink

 
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It was a great idea when conceived, but like anything that relies upon a network and can be influenced by devious people… vulnerable Now, an AGE or ASE can always be melted into something more useful than exploited or arbitrated electrons.

In reply to by TeamDepends

Manthong TeamDepends Sun, 08/06/2017 - 21:36 Permalink

 
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98/2… ..sounds reasonable .. just a little in case ..last I heard, scarcity is a fundamental property of money…. How many alt coins are there out there now?

In reply to by TeamDepends