Irma Turning Into Monster Hurricane: "Highest Windspeed Forecasts I've Ever Seen"

Hurricane Irma continues to strengthen much faster than pretty much any computer model predicted as of yesterday or even this morning.  Per the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest update, Irma is currently a Cat-3 storm with sustained winds of 115 mph but is expected to strengthen to a devastating Cat-5 with winds that could top out at 180 mph or more.  Here is the latest from the NHC as of 5PM EST:

Irma has become an impressive hurricane with intense eyewall convection surrounding a small eye.  Satellite estimates continue to rapidly rise, and the Dvorak classifications from both TAFB & SAB support an initial wind speed of 100 kt.  This is a remarkable 50-kt increase from yesterday at this time.

 

Irma continues moving west-northwestward, now at about 10 kt. There has been no change to the forecast philosophy, with the hurricane likely to turn westward and west-southwestward over the next few days due to a building ridge over the central Atlantic.  At long range, however, model guidance is not in good agreement on the strength of the ridge, resulting in some significant north-south differences in the global models.  I am inclined to stay on the southwestern side of the model guidance, given the rather consistent forecasts of the ECMWF and its ensemble.  In addition, the strongest members of the recent ensembles are on the southern side on the consensus, giving some confidence in that approach.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  31/2100Z 17.3N  34.8W  100 KT 115 MPH

12H  01/0600Z 17.8N  36.2W  105 KT 120 MPH

24H  01/1800Z 18.2N  38.3W  105 KT 120 MPH

36H  02/0600Z 18.3N  40.7W  105 KT 120 MPH

48H  02/1800Z 17.9N  42.9W  105 KT 120 MPH

72H  03/1800Z 16.8N  47.5W  110 KT 125 MPH

96H  04/1800Z 16.0N  52.0W  115 KT 130 MPH

120H  05/1800Z 16.5N  56.5W  120 KT 140 MPH

As of now, Irma remains in the far eastern Atlantic ocean and is moving west at roughly 11.5 mph.  Based on current projections, the storm will make its first landfall in the eastern Caribbean sometime toward the middle of next week.

IRMA


Longer term computer models still vary widely but suggest that Irma will make landfall in the U.S. either in the Gulf of Mexico or Florida.  Meteorological Scientist Michael Ventrice of the Weather Channel is forecasting windspeeds of up to 180 mph, which he described as the "highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting."

In a separate tweet, Ventrice had the following troubling comment: "Wow, a number of ECMWF EPS members show a maximum-sustained windspeed of 180+mph for #Irma, rivaling Hurricane #Allen (1980) for record wind"

The Weather Channel meteorologist also calculated the odds for a landfall along the eastern seaboard at 30%.

Meanwhile, the Weather Channel has the "most likely" path of Irma passing directly over Antigua, Puerto Rico and Domincan Republic toward the middle of next week.

Comments

beyondtheprogramming Sep 2, 2017 8:08 AM Permalink

Yeah. I absolutely trust someone who calls himself Ventrice. By the way, is he related to Mother Talzen and General Grevious? If there were still any reservations they are all gone now - Zero Hedge has gone to the DOGS! "Whoever knowingly issues or publishes any counterfeit weather forecast or warning of weather conditions falsely representing such forecast or warning to have been issued or published by the Weather Bureau, United States Signal Service, or other branch of the Government service, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than ninety days, or both," reads the code. It won't be definitively known until next week where, when and HOW Irma will make landfall.

The Gladiator Sep 1, 2017 2:48 PM Permalink

Jesus! More hype for TWC to get more viewers. 2 weeks ago Michael Ventrice said that we wouldn't even see any storms past Sept. 7th,now he is spouting this bullshit? He has ZERO credibility with true meteorologists.

junction Sep 1, 2017 11:38 AM Permalink

The latest CNN report is that Irma may turn out to be a gutterball, it is too far north at 20 degrees latitude, the ocean water is not warm enough to power it up.  [Unless it tracks south for some HAARP reason.]  

Swampster (not verified) Sep 1, 2017 10:53 AM Permalink

FORECASTS  from the JEW RUN NWS AND NOAA who CLAIM MAN MADE GLOBAL WARMING IS REAL

idontcare Sep 1, 2017 10:48 AM Permalink

Er um, those tweets featured in this article were exposed as FAKES 10 minutes ago on KHOU.  Goto the South FL Water Management site if you want to see the moment by moment updates for the spaghetti models.  Current models have Irma staying well off the US SE coast and probably missing the eastern US altogether.

Weiss Sep 1, 2017 8:27 AM Permalink

Interesting!  Dane Wigington of Geoengineering Watch just did a video (link below) showing that Harvey was artificially manipulated to stay put over Houston and dump so much rain... and one of his main points was that oddly, meteorologists somehow already knew well in advance that Harvey was going to be a big event.  That despite there being NO evidence at the time that Harvey was going to be an unusual issue at all.And now... somehow they know that Irma is going to be a big event--despite there being very little evidence that Irma is going to be an unusual issue at all.  How 'bout that!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uF2jIeJ2RUg

VooDoo6Actual Sep 1, 2017 7:46 AM Permalink

We all know they are steering & manipulating the Weather via Geoengineering in the Technocracy by the CVryptocracy. They have been manipulating the weather since at lest early 2000's. That fact hasn't changed & many people still ignorant / nescient to that. At what point does the collective consciousness become aware of that fact or does it ?

Jack4952 Sep 1, 2017 7:40 AM Permalink

Yet another chance for FEMA to show its COMPLETE INCOMPETENCE !!!!It is too bad that such hurricanes do not hit Washington, D.C. !!!  If you you can not "drain a swamp", at least you can drown all the rats.

66Mustanggirl Sep 1, 2017 7:18 AM Permalink

Holy buckets! Reading through these comments, it seems people are on the edge of losing what is left of their collective minds. Maybe step back from your keyboards and take a deep breath.
I'm submitting this comment as is. I am a person of faith, so I have a completely different perspective on things. I find it a little hard to believe it is just some giant cosmic coinkydink that the names NOAA pulled out of a hat for the 2017 hurricane season carry a message as profound as THIS within them but make of it what you will. Or make nothing of it at all and make sure you BTFD. Whatever. Each to his/her own. I'm just sharing what I found when I looked up the meaning of each name. Peace.

Harvey: Battle Worthy
Irma: Goddess of War
Jose: God will increase
Katia: Purification
Lee: Clearing
Maria: Bitterness/also sea of bitterness
Nate: Gift from God
Ophelia: to help
Philippe: that has two parts one of which is philo, brotherly love
Rina: peace
Sean: God is gracious

Put it all together you have Battle Worthy, Goddess of War, God will increase, purification, clearing, bitterness/sea of bitterness, gift from God, to help, brotherly love, peace, God is gracious.

Swampster (not verified) Sep 1, 2017 7:15 AM Permalink

Question for kLIEmate Klowns.....https://www.google.com/search?q=climate+definition&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8  Why don't you want the weather to change? What would happen to the earth if the weather stayed the same everyday like you idiots want? You are too stupid to know that weather and climate are synonyms, yet you claim to know science? Did you all really skip 7th grade?Climate is a 7th grade level vocabulary word.....maybe you should look it up, before using "big words' like that? Don't you retards know the first three words in the definition of climate are THE WEATHER CONDITIONS??? DO YOU RETARDED DUMFUX EVEN KNOW WHAT A SYNONYM IS?  

highwaytoserfdom Sep 1, 2017 7:03 AM Permalink

 DC or Bust Great..    This is what is ment by blowing the three letter agencies to the wind.   HARP tuning locations

  1. Langley
  2. Fort Meade
  3. Anacostia-Bolling
  4. J.edgar Hover building DC
  5. 1880 2nd Street SW DC
  6. most important funding DEA El Paso shipping and rat lines (you didn't think it was a Wall did ya?)
  7. and 10 other destroyers of human intelegence and decency, Krugman we got guns not Art of Deal

 

Swampster (not verified) Sep 1, 2017 7:01 AM Permalink

NHC = NOAA=NASA= FBI=CIA= RACIST, ANTIWHITE, GLOBALIST, NEOCOM 'NAZI JEW WORLD ORDER Plain and simple.....TRUST A 'NAZI JEW AT YOUR OWN RISK!  P.S. Don't forget to fill upyour tank with some 'NAZI JEW PRICE GOUGED GASOLINE!!!!!....summer driving season has been a bust so far!

mog Sep 1, 2017 6:58 AM Permalink

Irma Turning Into Monster Hurricane: "Highest Windspeed Forecasts I've Ever Seen"

Nearly as devastating as the USA's latest bombing raid on defencless women and children.
Looks like there is a God after all.

Arrest Hillary Sep 1, 2017 6:47 AM Permalink

Hurricane Bonanza .... for government workers and welfare trash .... heroic efforts by private, tax paying citizens go unpaid .... like everything else in socialism .... the knife only cuts one way ?

Toshie Sep 1, 2017 6:32 AM Permalink

As usual with zero hedge ;- the sky is falling on our heads !!

How come we never about those poor little islands in the way of those hurricanes before they hit the US.

Hehe.... Who care right?

Last of the Mi… Sep 1, 2017 6:31 AM Permalink

Nothing like a hurricane to suck all the climate change retards out of the closet for their 10 seconds of fame. Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Climate change is the absolute antithesis of critical thinking.

Juliette Sep 1, 2017 6:21 AM Permalink

How is that weather manipulation thing working out for you, Murrica? LOL. Making matters worse, most Murrican houses are made of plastics and plywood ... that's gonna be a mess!