On The Verge Of Catastrophe: Saudi Arabia Says Lebanon Declared War

As expected, Saudi Arabia has cast itself as the victim of external Shia plotting after its internal weekend of chaos which included a missile attack from Yemen, the deaths of two princes and other high officials within a mere 24 hours, and an aggressive crackdown against dissent in the royal family which saw close to a dozen princes placed under house arrest. And as Al Jazeera noted, in this Saudi version of 'Game of Thrones', the 32-year-old Mohammed Bin Salman (MBS) shows that he is willing to throw the entire region into jeopardy to wear the royal gown.

While Saudi Arabia has long blamed Iran for sowing unrest in the region, this evening's declaration by Saudi Gulf affairs minister Thamer al-Sabhan that Lebanon has "declared war" against the kingdom is truly an historic first. But perhaps the biggest problem is that international media is currently uncritically spreading the statement, whereas what such a bizarre claim actually warrants is laughter. Thankfully, Nassim Nicholas Taleb sums it up nicely with a basic geography lesson: "Either the media is stupid, or Saudi rulers are stupid, or both. Lebanon did not formally declare war and there is no common border."


Still image taken from a video distributed by Yemen’s pro-Houthi Al Masirah television station, which purports to show the ballistic missile previously launched at Saudi Arabia.

With that in mind, here is the statement currently making headlines as reported by Reuters:

Saudi Arabia said on Monday that Lebanon had declared war against it because of attacks against the Kingdom by the Lebanese Shi‘ite group Hezbollah.

 

Saudi Gulf affairs minister Thamer al-Sabhan told Al-Arabiya TV that Saad al-Hariri, who announced his resignation as Lebanon’s prime minister on Saturday, had been told that acts of “aggression” by Hezbollah “were considered acts of a declaration of war against Saudi Arabia by Lebanon and by the Lebanese Party of the Devil”.

Though clearly absurd (that Lebanon has declared war on KSA), the statement is driven by legitimate and deep-rooted fear, for not only has Hezbollah transformed itself into a Middle East powerhouse whose influence has grown vastly in the midst of the Syrian war, but it has transitioned into a quasi-state which has gained the respect of Lebanese and Arabs across the region. As we've noted many times before, it is fear of Hezbollah and its increasingly broad acceptance and legitimacy within Lebanese state institutions that also drives heightened Israeli rhetoric and bellicosity of late, which has once again "surprisingly" found itself on the same side as Saudi Arabia.

And at a moment that Israel has begun massive war games, and as MBS continues his purge toward total consolidation of power over the kingdom, both unlikely bedfellows continue their war of words against Hezbollah. It's no secret that common cause in Syria of late has led the historic bitter enemies down a pragmatic path of unspoken cooperation as both seem to have placed the break up of the so-called "Shia crescent" as their primary policy goal in the region. But that's perhaps why few pundits seemed overly shocked when Israeli media reported in early September that bin Salman may have made a secret visit to Israel, in spite of the fact that the kingdom does not recognize the Jewish state, and the two sides do not have diplomatic relations.

Will the current chaotic trajectory of things and unholy alliance between the Saudis and Israelis place Lebanon in the cross hairs of yet another Israeli-Hezbollah war? While we've recently addressed this question, this new and erratic Saudi declaration certainly puts the region a big step closer to such a war becoming a reality.

Though this question of the looming specter of an Israeli-Lebanese War (which would surely involve the Saudis aiding Israel politically inside Lebanon) has been addressed many times over of late, the real question, which isn't often analyzed, is the true military capabilities of Hezbollah. What has both Israel and the Saudis worried is the fact that the Syrian war has possibly strengthened Hezbollah, not weakened it. 

In a follow up article we will disect Hezbollah's military capabilities, and its role in Lebanese society.

Comments

peopledontwanttruth knukles Mon, 11/06/2017 - 20:03 Permalink

They need a war like yesterday already. Countries are forming alliances and economic bonds that will put the final nail in the coffin for Israel, Great Britain and America. The gig is up for the international banksters. They'd rather the whole world be incinerated than give up what their demonic gods and ancestors built up for millennia.

In reply to by knukles

Slack Jack knukles Mon, 11/06/2017 - 20:17 Permalink

"Hezbollah has 150,000 missiles pointing to Israel, but they will launch may be 10-15 missiles before they are deleted from the map"

Oh, really, just like in 2006 when the Jews (once more) bombed the crap out of Lebanon.

AND Hezbollah pumped missiles into Israel until they ran out of missiles.

The Jews couldn't do a damn thing about it.

Their bombing stopped nothing. The missiles just kept coming and coming.

Hope you guys have improved on your last pathetic game.

http://www.preearth.net/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=20&t=630

In reply to by knukles

fbazzrea MillionDollarButter Tue, 11/07/2017 - 02:44 Permalink

i've been waiting for this move. the Annunaki spaceport at Baalbek, Lebanon, site of later Roman Temple of Jupiter built upon 2000 ton megaliths cut with precision machining, has been in the Zionists' sights since 500 B.C.their stated goal of creating a Jewish nation encompassing the entire region formerly occupied by the Annunaki necessitates control of the former spaceports for when their ancestors of Abram, descendants of Enlil return with Nibiru.it is what it is

In reply to by MillionDollarButter

fbazzrea fbazzrea Tue, 11/07/2017 - 08:55 Permalink

there were originally three spaceports. the one in the Sinai was destroyed by nuclear explosion (same one that destroyed Sodom and Gomorrah; nuclear fallout cloud drifted northeasterly and decimated Ur). the second lies beneath the Temple Mount (tours reveal the subterranean megaliths but there is no explanation given as to how they were placed there by the leader of a tribe of goat herders) and the third is Baalbek.the evidence is there for those without blinders. Sumerian cuneiform clearly document the above statements and are available to the public in the Oxford library. ohhh... but wait. that means people would have to stop watching the Kardashians and cut out the koolaid. my bad...

In reply to by fbazzrea

Déjà view Al Gophilia Tue, 11/07/2017 - 02:21 Permalink

Israeli military chief backtracks from 1930s Germany comparisonIDF deputy chief says he did not intend to compare Israel to Nazi Germany in Holocaust memorial day speech citing ‘nauseating trends’https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/may/05/israeli-military-chief-ya… The Strange Case of a Nazi Who Became an Israeli HitmanOtto Skorzeny, one of the Mossad’s most valuable assets, was a former lieutenant colonel in Nazi Germany’s Waffen-SS and one of Adolf Hitler’s favorites.The Forward and Dan Raviv And Yossi Melman Mar 27, 2016https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/1.711115 Echoing Nazi Tactics, IDF Patrol Threatens to Exterminate Palestinian Refugee Camp with “Gas”October 30, 2015 By Richard Silversteinhttps://www.richardsilverstein.com/2015/10/30/echoing-nazi-tactics-idf-…

Fritz Haber: Jewish chemist whose work led to Zyklon B

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-13015210

In reply to by Al Gophilia

Giant Meteor NoDebt Tue, 11/07/2017 - 06:20 Permalink

Uranium One from Ukraine ..What is really needed in this instance is BiBi, Trump, and Salman, drawing the bomb, at the UN .. In other words, needs more cowbell ..and orbs, definitely more orbsLet's not forget also, the Clinton Global Grifting Intiative ..Needs forensic looksee .. overdue book fines at the very least.

In reply to by NoDebt

phaedrus1952 Slack Jack Mon, 11/06/2017 - 20:46 Permalink

Hezbollah did not run out of missiles in 2006.They were firing about 100 per day farther and farther into Israel until they started landing on the far side of Tel Aviv.That is when Israel stopped their aggression.Prior to the conflict, uncovered spies within Hezbollah's ranks were shown stockpiles of weaponry - unbeknownst to the spies, this hardware was obsolete.Upon commencement of Israel's attack, these known stockpiles were immediately obliterated.Hezbollah's modern rocketry systematically targeted Israel, much to the Israelis shock.This is why Israel wantonly destroyed bridges, roads, any and all infrastructure that was - incorrectly - perceived to be allowing resupply from Syria. Wheels within wheels.

In reply to by Slack Jack

Freddie Rusty Shorts Mon, 11/06/2017 - 22:48 Permalink

They got further in. Israel thought their Merkava tanks were invincible. HEzbollah caught them in a wadi or a valley. Hezbollah had Russian Kornet, Metis and other anti tank missiles.  The israelis in that battle and a few others supposedly lost 25% of their tanks or more.  At least one Abrams was lost too.South Lebanon has caves, trees, rocky areas with grass and otehr areas.   Hezbollah would pop up hit and disappear.  The Israelis said they were like ghosts.These short 3 part videos are a pretty good primer of what happened from the hezbollah perspective.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zkLshdwXJtoI am grateful that hezbollah came to teh defense of Syria to protect all Syrians including Syrian Christians.  Christians in Lebanon, for the most part, are also grateful that Hezbollah has protected Lebanon from invasion. 

In reply to by Rusty Shorts

Freddie phaedrus1952 Mon, 11/06/2017 - 23:04 Permalink

Was it Tel Aviv?  I thought it was Haifa.  Nasrallah (Hezbollah leader) told ISrael to knock off the bombing because he said Hezbollah could hit anywhere in Israel including Tel Aviv. Once they started hitting Haifa then the bombing pretty much stopped.  Bush the globalist sent NeoCon Condi Rice over to provide Is with moral support.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zkLshdwXJtoI really really doubt the IDF will want to go into Lebanon again,  I always thought the whole Syria thing was to Israel and the Saudis would pay mercs to create mass murder and mayhem but to also weaken not only Syria but Hezbollah.I think the war just made Hezbollah stronger.  Most of the IDF is conscripts, I am sure a few are decent.Hezbollah now are pretty damn tough. The war in Syria has only made them tougher.   They are probably a match for anyone.  The Saudis are a joke. Another intangible is Nasrallah.  He is almost Putin smart plus he has some pretty smart Persians (Iranians) advising him.  The Persians have been around for thousands of years.   Hezbollah does not make too many stupid mistakes. 

In reply to by phaedrus1952

JimmyJones Slack Jack Mon, 11/06/2017 - 21:10 Permalink

I remember that, got screwed in the oil futures market when Isreal invaded. I had put options.  Isreal invaded,  fought,  took losses,  accomplished nothing substantial,  retreated. Here we go again but Saudis are going to openly back Isreal now. "The 5hit winds are blowing Donnie" -Mr Leahy 

In reply to by Slack Jack

Freddie Slack Jack Mon, 11/06/2017 - 22:36 Permalink

Shit got real in 2006 when Hezboolah started hitting Haifa.  This is when Israel stopped bombing Lebanon. Hezbollah also hit a Israeli naval ship like a small destroyer with gas turbines with a Silkworm type missile at about 15 miles offshore.  This took any Israeli ships out of the game.The Saudis are such a joke.

In reply to by Slack Jack

MozartIII knukles Mon, 11/06/2017 - 20:28 Permalink

Complete BS! Did we not just loose the head of Lebanon due to steping down (http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/saudi-arabia-forced-lebanon-pm-hariri-step-dow…)., who new you can go to war without a government in place.  Us Proxies fire what ever rocket at Saudi Arabia. Allowing for the nail down and elimination of enemies for the new Saudi Prick. Don't fall for the game! The US can not and won't touch Iran. This is all about the Sudi Consolidation. The US would get destroyed 12 ways to Sunday for really going after Iran, the military knows it. That is with out Russia/China.What a joke, don't be so gullible people! Or do you like being owned by the war machine???? If so, your children die for oil and corporations!!

In reply to by knukles

AllBentOutOfShape knukles Tue, 11/07/2017 - 00:45 Permalink

Of course it's bullshit. You'd think if Lebanon wanted to declare war on Saudi Arabia, they'd just come out and say it themselves. Instead we have SA putting words into the Lebanese's mouths. This is SA's way of declaring war on Lebanon, just like they declared war on Iran by saying their support of the Houthi's was a declaration of war on SA.

In reply to by knukles

mkkby Whoa Dammit Tue, 11/07/2017 - 00:37 Permalink

The neocon plan is to take down Iran by first taking down it's allies Syria and Lebanon.

Watch for Russia to set up camp in Lebanon to head this off at the pass.

Israel and Saudi are freaking out that shia now control Iraq. Hezbollah has the high ground on the gas rich Golan heights. Sunnis and Israel are being pushed into their corners.

In reply to by Whoa Dammit

War Machine beemasters Mon, 11/06/2017 - 20:13 Permalink

They don't feel the need to have any sort of coherent pretext.

They are either rushing this thing, and/or are supremely confident in the spooks' control of the media and the fantastic ignorance of the average American.

Hezbollah defended Orthodox Christians from the terrorist Islamopsychos the Saudis (and US gov & Qataris & Israelis) supported but in Orwellistan that's a declaration of war, I guess.

Saudi Arabia's regime just signed its own death warrant.

http://archive.is/U7XTH

In reply to by beemasters