Lebanon - The Next Front In The Great Gas War

Via Golem XIV's blog,

The Great Gas War has already two distinct fronts: The now relatively quiet Northern Front in Ukraine and the Southern Front in Syria in which the Western empire has been losing. It looks to me that Lebanon is being targeted as the next front, where the West hopes its loses might be recouped.

Yesterday, November 6th,  Reuters reported,

Saudi Arabia said on Monday that Lebanon had declared war against it because of attacks against the Kingdom by the Lebanese Shi‘ite group Hezbollah.

This comes after Israel, Saudi’s long time though largely un-offical best friend in the region,  has been very publicly preparing to renew its own war with Lebanon – or more accurately with Hezbollah.  As the American news journal Newsweek put it recently,


Why now and why Lebanon?  Well the rulers of Saudi, a Sunni dominated country, will tell us that it is because Hezbollah is a Shia terrorist organisation. “Hezbollah” literally means the “Party of Allah” or “Party of God”.  Saudi Gulf affairs minister Thamer al-Sabhan yesterday pointedly referred to Hezbollah as, “the Lebanese Party of the Devil”.  Saudi is not alone of course, Hezbollah has also been listed as a terrorist organisation by America, Israel, the Arab League, the UK and the EU. It is also, however, part of the popular government of Lebanon having seats in its parliament.

I suggest, however, a powerful reason that a new war with Hezbollah may be in the offing is because Lebanon is the next link in any gas pipeline that could potentially bring Iranian Gas to Europe. That was the reason the West decided to “liberate” the Syrian people and it will be why they decide to enforce the same salvation upon the people of Lebanon. Having failed to liberate the Syrians, Saudi, the West, its Sunni Gulf allies and Israel will now see if they can succeed in blocking any Iranian gas ambitions by liberating the Lebanese from their own government.  I would not be surprised to hear quite soon from opposition groups vocally denouncing the government or at least Hezbollah. I expect spokes people from those groups to suddenly get a global platform along-side American and regional supporters such as Saudi.

When I look at Saudi I can’t help but notice that it has , all in a short space of time, begun wars in neighbouring Yemen and Syria, and declared first Qatar and now Lebanon supporters of terror if not actually themselves terrorists. Saudi has gone from a nation surrounded by allies or at least states with whom it had basic diplomatic relations, to a nation surrounded by enemies.  It begins to remind me of Israel in that respect.

Gas of course is not the be all and end all. In many ways it is a surface marker, the means for regional and global struggles for political power and influence.  For Saudi it is the basis of its struggle for regional supremacy with Qatar. For America it is the regional marker for its proxy struggle with Russia for political dominance and for control over gas supplies to Europe.  America has sided with Saudi. Russia and China have sided with Qatar.  Qatar struck a decisive blow for dominance and for a new Qatar focussed power structure when it opened the region’s only clearing house for settlement of Gas contracts in Yuan.

I see the political turmoil inside Saudi as a struggle between those who see the House of Saud’s only hope for a future to be to remain firmly aligned with America and therefore by extension, with Israel, versus those who might consider switching or at least splitting their allegiance so as to move closer to Russia/China. A move which might be correct but which would concede to Qatar some large portion of what has been up till now Saudi’s pre-eminence.

Wars in Yemen, Syria and soon Lebanon make the divide between these two possible futures for The House of Saud, very sharp.

For Israel it will mean war and troops on the ground. America will certainly help in the air but Israel will shed blood on the ground.

What will Russia do? I doubt it will put troops into Lebanon. But I could very easily see it extending in to Lebanon the air support it has deployed in Syria. I could see Iran being tempted to send troops or at least ‘advisors’ or perhaps just ‘allow’ zealots who want to go, to do so. And that itself may be part of what some in America would like – tempt Iran into lending support and then declare anew that Iran is, pointing at new evidence,  a state sponsor of international terror.  America has desired a confrontation with Iran for a long time and want a new excuse.

The Great Gas War has not finished. I suggest it is about to open a new front. A front that could ignite a wider conflict.


BobEore stacking12321 Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:48 Permalink

First off... wow! What a surprise... and blast from the past - to see Golem 14s work here... been 5 or more years since I used to read his stuff.  I'll never forget - he gave space for the astonishing work of Johnathan Sugarman... http://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2012/11/jonathan-sugarman-versus-unicredit-an… recommended!Next off... happily... having just opened my meandering memo of 2016 ... https://storify.com/SuaveBel/syrian-endgame-a-shifting-of-desert-sandsin order to reply to an interlocutor on another thread here... I'm able to quickly get to the heart of your query...

    But oil, it seems, is thicker than blood in the middle east. Tis oft said of the turmoil in the middle east that - 'it's all about oil.' If you remove "all" from that maxim, and add the words \and blood\- you have encapsulated the situation. But even better than "oil,"the word energy might be used - as it is energy which no matter which of it's multifarious forms it appears in, is the theme behind most of what goes on in this world. Oil/blood/sweat\and tears - all forms of energy in their physical or emotional form. And all subject to theft by actors who prefer to predate on the belonging of others rather than work for their own! This study of the energy politics leading up to the current situation in the middle east The Crisis in the American-Turkish Relations and the Creation of an Independent Kurdistan by a Greek author, gives a very good insight into the background we need established before catching up to the present moment. An extract from it follows:
    1. "Erdogan became one of the major enemies of the Assad regime, after the Syrian dictator agreed in 2011 for the construction of the Iran-Iraq- Syria pipeline, which would transfer Iranian natural gas and oil to the Mediterranean Sea, and which would by- pass Turkey. The end of this pipeline would also be near the Turkish port of Ceyhan in the Mediterranean Sea, which is the end of the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline that brings Azeri oil to the Mediterranean Sea through Turkey. Worse, “In 2009 Assad refused to sign a proposed agreement with Qatar that would run a pipeline from the latter's North field, contiguous with Iran's South Pars field, through Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria and on to Turkey,with a view to supply European markets Assad's rationale was "to protect the interests of his Russian ally - Europe's top supplier of natural gas”. “Erdogan will never openly admit tha this problem with the Assad regime is the Iran-Iraq-Syria and the Qatar-Turkey pipelines. He pretended that their differences were based on human right violations in Syria. Erdogan was not trying to lift the sanctions against Iran due to his love for Iran.Instead, Erdogan wanted the sanctions lifted, so that the Iranians could send their natural gas to Europe through Turkey, something that cannot be done as long as there are economic sanctions agains tIran. What Erdogan wants in return for his intermediation between Iran and the West, is that the Iranian energy passes through Turkey and not through Syria. in case Iran reaches an agreement with the West, blocking the Qatar-Turkey pipeline will be more important than constructing the Iran-Iraq-Syria pipeline for the Iranians, since Iran will be able to send its energy to Europe through Turkey. The problem is that Turkey does not want Iran to have any other alternatives, and it also wants the Qatar-Turkey pipeline, and the Iranians do not like Erdogan bullying them. If the Sunni Muslims ofthe ISIS army win enough regions in Syria and Iraq, so that the manage to create a connection between Qatar and Turkey, Qatar and Turkey should be able to construct the Qatar-Turkey natural gas pipeline, which would transfer Qatari natural gas to Europe through Turkey, if of course Saudi Arabia or Kuwait agree to that too."

    Of course all of which needs be updated in light of the formal emergence of the new Sraeli-led Eurasian energy cartel... which blind/deaf/n/dumber zheeple will spend several months in denial about... whilst showering accurate reporters on the really real with their pathetic abuse... jus like last winter and the TRUMP DECEPTION deconstuction we performed on these pages...but nevertheless, stands in well as a quick summary for those few eager to understand the world outside of talmudist media psyops! Well... will be fleshing out the precis gradually... let's pause for a moment... for a word fro ourmoneypowerz sock puppet trolls here!   

    In reply to by stacking12321

    Folkvar BobEore Wed, 11/08/2017 - 05:55 Permalink

    It has NOTHING to do with gas, this is propaganda. These wars are the Yinon Plan - Israels attempt to build Greater Israel. You can read about it here https://www.globalresearch.ca/greater-israel-the-zionist-plan-for-the-m… someone states it's because of gas either they're an idiot that's bought the lie or they're an Israeli propagandist. Zerohedge should know better than to post this crap.

    In reply to by BobEore

    chumbawamba Folkvar Wed, 11/08/2017 - 09:01 Permalink

    Yeah, I don't buy the premise. If they couldn't get their pipeline through Syria, what good is trying to route it through the geographic dead end of a Syrian landlocked Lebanon?This is about a terminally wounded and flailing Zionist project that is coming to an end. Hizballah will finish the job this time.2025 looms for Israel.I am Chumbawamba.

    In reply to by Folkvar

    Jim in MN chumbawamba Wed, 11/08/2017 - 09:37 Permalink

    I have to agree.  Some of the internal Saudi turmoil may be related to pre-ARAMCO positioning (i.e. cash) so that is sort of hydrocarbon related. But a couple of things stick out here.  First, and most importantly, Iran has no plans to become a major gas exporter.  That is a kind of myth or cartoon, or lazy assumption that folks make looking at their huge gas reserves.   But Iran is one of the real native regional powers in the Mideast, along with Egypt and Turkey, for a very key reason:  Population.  They need that gas for domestic consumption.  Their internal distribution network is very robust but they'll have trouble keeping up with demand, forget exports.  Iran is better positioned long term than Turkey or Egypt because of their natgas, but that does not make them an export kingpin.Second, it is apparant that the Israel-Saudi marriage of convenience is in trouble.  Neither 'state' is a natural regional power.  KSA uses oil and Israel, weapons and influence peddling (collusion/corruption) to maintain a temporary, essentially false or brittle type of power.  Both the oil and the technology can only be fleeting advantages.Now, watching the 'Shia land bridge' conflate with the emerging Sino-Russian Eurasian integration is driving them literally insane.  Since the alternative would be peace, compromise, and the embrace of their rightful place in the regional order (i.e. not in charge), their internal traitors/war parties will kill and maim as many babies and innocents as possible before their time is up.Having failed in both Syria and Yemen, and being cowards, they turn to Lebanon as the next blood house for their crimes.The USA has a choice now, and we have to make this extremely clear.  Without the USA, KSA is nothing militarily.  IDF is just gnats.  They've proven incapable of taking and holding anything more significant than a refugee camp.This can all be over. 

    In reply to by chumbawamba

    Madolf Sanders… Jim in MN Wed, 11/08/2017 - 10:12 Permalink

    well we gotta hook somebody. what do we want? who should we hook? no one in the middle east has anything we'd want. maybe a trillion israei oranges, or a trillion egyptian/iranian/saudi dates (http://www.worldatlas.com/articles/world-leading-countries-growing-fres…).There isn't enough american orange/date demand to satisty our needs for power & influence. How about finance? We've already got that, they all use dollars, but all fx is relative. Last choice is american exports, mainly military hardware. Whoever buys the most from us wins.

    In reply to by Jim in MN

    chestergimli chumbawamba Wed, 11/08/2017 - 09:36 Permalink

    Interesting that you should mention 2025. I had a dream 25 or 30 years ago seeing myself overlooking my part of the nation. It was the year 2025. I was looking to see if there was anyone left with my last name. Happily, there were a couple. I remember seeing a destroyed Cincinnati, Ohio. I saw a girl I once worked with who had lived in one of the Townships close to town and she and many other people had been moved north into what looked like row or townhouses. I remember them being really neat. I asked her if they used money anymore and she said not much. I remember seeing a black lady in her home in the western part of town watching TV. And that was the end of the dream. But it was the year 2025

    In reply to by chumbawamba

    Déjà view Crazy Or Not Wed, 11/08/2017 - 07:34 Permalink

    What Does It Mean When an Israeli General Equates the Jewish State With the Nazis?

    involves Major General Yair Golan, the Deputy Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces. Speaking last week at a ceremony commemorating Yom HaShoah, or Holocaust Remembrance Day, Golan blisteringly compared contemporary Israel to Germany in the 1930s. “If there’s something that terrifies me about the memory of the Holocaust,” he said, “it’s seeing the same sickening processes that took place all over Europe, but especially in Germany, 70, 80, 90 years ago happening here, in our midst, today in 2016.”


    In reply to by Crazy Or Not

    webmatex stacking12321 Wed, 11/08/2017 - 05:53 Permalink

    Exactly and pipes can run from Iran to Iraq (as planned) and on to Syria and Turkey.Also Hezbollah didn't need any Iranian troop support in 2005(?) when they kicked israeli arse so its unlikely Iran need be involved - they have plenty of new equipment now too.Extended SS300 coverage for Lebanon would stop the illegal Israeli air intrusions and bombings suffered daily by the Lebanese people.Better still move a few batteries there just to keep things cooled down.The SS300 now complements oil pipe line deals as todays insurance policy against a hostile air attack - providing your with Russia on oil and with China with the One road one Renimbi. 

    In reply to by stacking12321

    General Titus Obsidian Samctum Wed, 11/08/2017 - 07:55 Permalink

    ZeroHedge is wrong about this. Mel Gibson was silenced for speaking the truth, that these wars are for the "Juze" and the Yinon Plan & its modern confirmation "Clean Break" policy paper confirm. All the peoples of the region, deaths, maiming, displacement, assaults, loss of home and wealth lie at th3e feet of this evil cabal also knwn as "The Deep State".  Our wounded warriors are part of the casualties. When do the peoples of not only the US but most of the world realize they d not control their governments? 

    In reply to by Obsidian Samctum

    Veritas X- MillionDollarButter Wed, 11/08/2017 - 03:15 Permalink

    NOPE!!!Is everyone missing the elephant in the room ?Or should I say the Golem ; Golem's Golan Geni-Gas  >>>**EU, Israel agree to develop Eastern Mediterranean gas pipeline     Published time: 4 Apr, 2017 08:58** "Three Mediterranean EU countries and Israel agreed on Monday to continue pursuing the development of a gas pipeline project that could link gas fields offshore Israel to Cyprus, Greece, and Italy, and potentially help the EU to diversify supplies away from Russia.Read more The energy ministers of Cyprus, Israel, Italy and Greece agreed to initiate discussions on an intergovernmental accordance on the EastMed Pipeline, Cypriot Minister of Energy, Commerce, Industry and Tourism, Georgios Lakkotrypis tweeted on Monday after meeting with his counterparts in Israel.The pipeline could be completed in 2025...."https://www.rt.com/business/383410-eu-israel-mediterranean-gas-pipeline/https://duckduckgo.com/?q=israel+eu+sign+gas+pipeline+rt&t=ffab&ia=webhttps://duckduckgo.com/?q=israel+geni+gas&t=ffab&ia=webX-

    In reply to by MillionDollarButter

    BennyBoy Veritas X- Wed, 11/08/2017 - 06:47 Permalink

     The proposed pipeline from Haifa to Cyprus would cut thru Lebanon  Med Sea territory.Also there is a disputed area between Israel and Lebanon border in the Med Sea. The area cuts thru a gas field that Israel wants.Cheap to overthrow gov, install Mossad puppet to get pipeline deal for Israel. Why NOW for murder and theft by Israel?"Lebanese officials reported on plans to award four offshore blocks by Nov. 15 in the country’s first attempt at establishing its domestic oil and gas resources."http://www.ogj.com/articles/2017/07/lebanon-closes-in-on-first-offshore-bid-round.html

    In reply to by Veritas X-

    HowdyDoody BennyBoy Wed, 11/08/2017 - 09:04 Permalink

    It really is nice of the Israelis to help out three EU countries who somehow got themselves into dire financial straits. The transit fees will be very helpfull in their attempts to pay back loans from the central banks.

    Seriously, there is one potential sticking point in all this. Israel was buying cheap oil from ISIS/Iraqi Kurds allowing them to plan for selling their oil/gas at top price to Europe, reaping a very healthy profit. Now that part of the plan has been scuppered by the Iraqi liberation of Kirkuk, so Israel will not have that cheap supply. It will need to use some of the energy for its own needs. I don't know whether that will affect the deal, but it certainly waters it down profit-wise.

    In reply to by BennyBoy

    Free Man Blue Steel 309 Wed, 11/08/2017 - 03:48 Permalink

    The sooner the better for parasite, "that shitty little country".America's Jews Are Driving America's Warshttp://www.unz.com/pgiraldi/americas-jews-are-driving-americas-wars/#co… True Cost of Parasite IsraelForced US taxpayers money to Israel goes far beyond the official numbers.http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-true-cost-of-israel… to Israel Has Got to StopPledges of loyalty to Israel are un-Americanhttp://www.unz.com/pgiraldi/pandering-to-israel-has-got-to-stop/#commen… Dirty Little SecretHow it drives US policies exploiting a spineless Congress and White Househttp://www.unz.com/pgiraldi/israels-dirty-little-secret/

    In reply to by Blue Steel 309

    hestroy GoyimUprising Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:48 Permalink

    Just give them their own medicine. Treat them like they treat goyim.“Goyim were born only to serve us. Without that, they have no place in the world – only to serve the People of Israel.”“In Israel, death has no dominion over them… With gentiles, it will be like any person – they need to die, but [God] will give them longevity. Why? Imagine that one’s donkey would die, they’d lose their money.“This is his servant… That’s why he gets a long life, to work well for this Jew.”“Why are gentiles needed? They will work, they will plow, they will reap. We will sit like an effendi and eat… That is why gentiles were created.”

    In reply to by GoyimUprising

    groundedkiwi Wed, 11/08/2017 - 03:06 Permalink

    David Malone the Author of this article I totally respect.
    Most of us would be wiser if we read his blog.
    Glad to see that David is once again being proactive.
    His Documentaries are well worth watching.
    A lot of them are on Channel 4 UK
    David I wish you well and God Bless

    Conscious Reviver Wed, 11/08/2017 - 03:06 Permalink

    If Israel acts up after developing off shore gas fields, missles from Lebanon can erase the investment.Still, I doubt IOF will succeed against Hezbollah and may find Hezbollah pursuing them back across the border the way the Houthis now operate in KSA.

    Sy Kloine Bee Conscious Reviver Wed, 11/08/2017 - 03:14 Permalink

    Hezbollah had cruise missles back in 2006, who knows what they've got stashed under the turban now.  I don't think Israel will do anything against Lebanon.  They can't get more territory without boots on the ground.  Ground invasions produce Jewish casualties, and Jewish casualties translate into lost elections.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/INS_Hanit

    In reply to by Conscious Reviver

    Winston Churchill Sy Kloine Bee Wed, 11/08/2017 - 07:22 Permalink

    Slow death from thirst is much better ?Water, not oil, is the most vital resource in the mid east.The river Jordan is now a stream compared to the mighty river it was even 100 years ago.Hezbollah could damm even that at the headwaters.They beat the Israelis last time but there really noother option than try to occuppy S. Lebanon again from the Isreali pov.Its not Iran having nukes (they already do) thats an existential threat to Israel, its running out ofwater,which they have been for years.De-alination is not a viable option for their large and strategicagricultural sector.

    In reply to by Sy Kloine Bee

    Jack Oliver Wed, 11/08/2017 - 03:25 Permalink

    Nice to see an accurate and non hysterical view.

    Russia has been buiding gas pipelines to Europe for over 20 years !

    CNG is the 'bridge' between oil and free energy - Russia saw the future clearly !

    Oil is becoming scarce and has basically lost its 'charm' !

    Israel 'planted' themselves in the middle of the newly discovered ME oil fields after WW2 - As the world's largest traded commodity - oil has given the Rothschild's the extraordinary power that they weild today !

    The game is nearly up - I doubt War can be avoided now !

    NuYawkFrankie Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:12 Permalink

    re "Lebanon - The Next Front In The Great Gas War"

    "Lebanon - The Next Front In The Jewish-Supremacist Entity's WANTON WARS For A GREATER ISISRAEL!" - !!!FIXED!!!

    OutaTime43 Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:01 Permalink

    Well written this one. This is the biggest reason for the Syrian War, Saudi threats against Qatar and Lebanon. GAS.  The Saudi's are peaking in oil production. They know it's imminent for them. They know that it's almost "Twilight in the Desert" to quote the famous book. They have to get Qatari gas reserves and get that pipeline to Europe built fast. 

    OutaTime43 Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:01 Permalink

    Well written this one. This is the biggest reason for the Syrian War, Saudi threats against Qatar and Lebanon. GAS.  The Saudi's are peaking in oil production. They know it's imminent for them. They know that it's almost "Twilight in the Desert" to quote the famous book. They have to get Qatari gas reserves and get that pipeline to Europe built fast. 

    ankhfnkhonsu Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:07 Permalink

    To all the keyboard Eisteins: always underpin conflict
    Wow big conspiracy revelation
    There are always 2 sides at least
    Iranian ghoullahs use their Hizblow Leb dogs to pussy whip everyone in Leb cuz they got the guns-- so much for 'part of popular guv'
    Barrel Bomb Assad & his ghoullah masters with Hizblow & assorted Shia mercenaries are not big heroes clowns

    It is remarkable that the real old school nazis (and the more refined comrade edition) just ooze out of the shit in these threads & are always such cheerleaders for the murdering ghoullahs & their vassals
    Gosh what could this all mean?

    Boeing Boy Wed, 11/08/2017 - 04:28 Permalink

    Had a cursory glance at the yinon plan this morning, here is the western front assessment as written in the 1980s blueprint for pretty much everything that has happened in the Middle East ever since.

    The Western front, which on the surface appears more problematic, is in fact less complicated than the Eastern front, in which most of the events that make the headlines have been taking place recently. Lebanon’s total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precendent for the entire Arab world including Egypt, Syria, Iraq and the Arabian peninsula and is already following that track. The dissolution of Syria and Iraq later on into ethnically or religiously unqiue areas such as in Lebanon, is Israel’s primary target on the Eastern front in the long run, while the dissolution of the military power of those states serves as the primary short term target. Syria will fall apart, in accordance with its ethnic and religious structure, into several states such as in present day Lebanon, so that there will be a Shi’ite Alawi state along its coast, a Sunni state in the Aleppo area, another Sunni state in Damascus hostile to its northern neighbor, and the Druzes who will set up a state, maybe even in our Golan, and certainly in the Hauran and in northern Jordan. This state of affairs will be the guarantee for peace and security in the area in the long run, and that aim is already within our reach today. 1

    ..........In addition, Israeli military superiority in such a situation will be much greater than it is even now, so that any movement of revolt will be “punished” either by mass humiliation as in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, or by bombardment and obliteration of cities, as in Lebanon now (June 1982), or by both. In order to ensure this, the plan, as explained orally, calls for the establishment of Israeli garrisons in focal places between the mini states, equipped with the necessary mobile destructive forces. In fact, we have seen something like this in Haddadland and we will almost certainly soon see the first example of this system functioning either in South Lebanon or in all Lebanon.