Buchanan: "Reining In The Rogue Royal Of Arabia"

Authored by Patrick Buchanan via Buchanan.org,

If the crown prince of Saudi Arabia has in mind a war with Iran, President Trump should disabuse his royal highness of any notion that America would be doing his fighting for him.

Mohammed bin Salman, or MBS, the 32-year-old son of the aging and ailing King Salman, is making too many enemies for his own good, or for ours.

Pledging to Westernize Saudi Arabia, he has antagonized the clerical establishment. Among the 200 Saudis he just had arrested for criminal corruption are 11 princes, the head of the National Guard, the governor of Riyadh, and the famed investor Prince Alwaleed bin Talal.

The Saudi tradition of consensus collective rule is being trashed.

MBS is said to be pushing for an abdication by his father and his early assumption of the throne.

He has begun to exhibit the familiar traits of an ambitious 21st-century autocrat in the mold of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey.

Yet his foreign adventures are all proving to be debacles.

The rebels the Saudis backed in Syria’s civil war were routed. The war on the Houthi rebels in Yemen, of which MBS is architect, has proven to be a Saudi Vietnam and a human rights catastrophe.

The crown prince persuaded Egypt, Bahrain and the UAE to expel Qatar from the Sunni Arab community for aiding terrorists, but he has failed to choke the tiny country into submission.

Last week, MBS ordered Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri to Riyadh, where Hariri publicly resigned his office and now appears to be under house arrest. Refusing to recognize the resignation, Lebanon’s president is demanding Hariri’s return.

After embattled Houthi rebels in Yemen fired a missile at its international airport, Riyadh declared the missile to be Iranian-made, smuggled into Yemen by Tehran, and fired with the help of Hezbollah.

The story seemed far-fetched, but Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir said the attack out of Yemen may be considered an “act of war” — by Iran. And as war talk spread across the region last week, Riyadh ordered all Saudi nationals in Lebanon to come home.

Riyadh has now imposed a virtual starvation blockade — land, sea and air — on Yemen, that poorest of Arab nations that is heavily dependent on imports for food and medicine. Hundreds of thousands of Yemeni are suffering from cholera. Millions face malnutrition.

The U.S. interest here is clear: no new war in the Middle East, and a negotiated end to the wars in Yemen and Syria.

Hence, the United States needs to rein in the royal prince.

Yet, on his Asia trip, Trump said of the Saudi-generated crisis, “I have great confidence in King Salman and the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, they know exactly what they are doing.”

Do they? In October, Jared Kushner made a trip to Riyadh, where he reportedly spent a long night of plotting Middle East strategy until 4 a.m. with MBS.

No one knows how a war between Saudi Arabia and Iran would end. The Saudis has been buying modern U.S. weapons for years, but Iran, with twice the population, has larger if less-well-equipped forces.

Yet the seeming desire of the leading Sunni nation in the Persian Gulf, Saudi Arabia, for a confrontation with the leading Shiite power, Iran, appears to carry the greater risks for Riyadh.

For, a dozen years ago, the balance of power in the Gulf shifted to Iran, when Bush II launched Operation Iraqi Freedom, ousted Saddam Hussein, disarmed and disbanded his Sunni-led army, and turned Iraq into a Shiite-dominated nation friendly to Iran.

In the Reagan decade, Iraq had fought Iran as mortal enemies for eight years. Now they are associates, if not allies.

The Saudis may bristle at Hezbollah and demand a crackdown. But Hezbollah is a participant in the Lebanese government and has the largest fighting force in the country, hardened in battle in Syria’s civil war, where it emerged on the victorious side.

While the Israelis could fight and win a war with Hezbollah, both Israel and Hezbollah suffered so greatly from their 2006 war that neither appears eager to renew that costly but inconclusive conflict.

In an all-out war with Iran, Saudi Arabia could not prevail without U.S. support. And should Riyadh fail, the regime would be imperiled. As World War I, with the fall of the Romanov, Hohenzollern, Hapsburg and Ottoman empires demonstrated, imperial houses do not fare well in losing wars.

So far out on a limb has MBS gotten himself, with his purge of cabinet ministers and royal cousins, and his foreign adventures, it is hard to see how he climbs back without some humiliation that could cost him the throne.

Yet we have our own interests here. And we should tell the crown prince that if he starts a war in Lebanon or in the Gulf, he is on his own. We cannot have this impulsive prince deciding whether or not the United States goes to war again in the Middle East.

We alone decide that.

Comments

shitshitshit Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:10 Permalink

his royal distressness. A guy who never suffered nor went through life threatening events who wants to rule his country by force is never going to go anywhere.Think about Khadafi... This guy was real for once. 

MoreFreedom svayambhu108 Tue, 11/14/2017 - 16:58 Permalink

I can't agree with Buchanan here.  Who in the US cares if there's a new war in the Middle East as long as the US isn't involved (except the military industrial complex of course).  The Muslims have been at war with eachother since the beginning of Islam in Mohammad's days, because they refuse to give each other freedom and instead try to dominate the other.   Whoever owns the oil will sell it.  The only US interests in the Middle East, are companies doing deals with the oppressors over there.  At their own risk. Besides, the "Saudi tradition of consensus collective rule" appears to be a consensus of collusion from many of those holding power to steal from the government, often to fund radical Islamic schools and terrorism.  If that's "antagonizing the clerical establishment" that's an improvement towards separating mosque and state.  The radical oppressive Islamic clerics need to earn their living by satisfying those who voluntarily donate to their mosques, rather than using the government to steal.

In reply to by svayambhu108

Miggy MoreFreedom Tue, 11/14/2017 - 18:41 Permalink

I don't like disagreement but there are a lot of reasons we care about what goes on in the Middle East and it all centers around oil. A coflict in the Middle East is sure to raise oil prices and if raised enough bring a shock to an already in-debted American society. This is not politically expedient for a president in his first term. Then there is the petrodollar and the huge amount of treasuries the Saudis already own. I would like to change the subject and think here. If the guy, MBS, is successful in Westernizing his country he will have high finance, and I mean the highest finance, with a vested interest all of the sudden in the peace of his country. Not bad company to keep if you have a lot of enemies. The partial spinoff of Saudi Aramco alone will bring a LOT of money to either London or New York. Businesses are already lining up. This is a high stakes game and if this guy is successful he will have a lot of powerful factions on his side who all like money. It's clear who MBS is trying to align with. Now we know why President Trump said MBS knows what he's doing.

In reply to by MoreFreedom

GUS100CORRINA shitshitshit Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:30 Permalink

Buchanan: "Reining In The Rogue Royal Of Arabia"My response: While there are many in MSM and on BLOG sites have much to say about the Saudi and other situations, at the end of the day only one thing matters: Who is your master? We know that the human heart is deceitful above all else and desparately wicked.So how will it all ultimately end? Below is quote from a famous America that sums up any situation involving people pretty well.American Rep Robert Charles Winthrop stated during the 1800's Men, in a word, must necessarily be controlled, either by a power within them, or by a power without them; either by the word of God, or by the strong arm of man; either by the Bible, or by the bayonet.It really doesn't matter if it is a Royal Prince or a leader of ANTIFA, the condition of the human heart and the controlling spirit of the person will be the deciding factors that dictate behavior.A person is either a Child of GOD (Jhn1:12-13) or a child of the wicked one (Jhn 8:44). Let us hope it is the first choice because the 2nd choice will lead to death, destruction and sorrow.

In reply to by shitshitshit

NiggaPleeze Blankone Tue, 11/14/2017 - 21:31 Permalink

 You are mixing up different things.  A lot of people who pay taxes (other than income taxes) are not on government support - according to the Forbes article you may be using as your source, 60% of those who do not owe income taxes still work and pay payroll tax (flat 15% more or less).   Mises Institute also points out the numerous other taxes these workers pay.ANd a lot of people who don't pay income tax in some years pay a huge amount in others (I am among them).  I've paid well into the 7 figures of income tax in my life but there have been years where I've paid none.As to people receiving government "benefits", everyone does, be it roads, airports, space exploration, medical research, or, if you believe that stuff, a strong military.

In reply to by Blankone

Herdee Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:14 Permalink

Wolfowitz planners won't give up on destroying Iran and then placing nuclear weapons in the area in order to bring them closer to China and Russia. Rogue elements in the CIA are ruthless thugs and want to destroy everything for their own stupid domination schemes.

pods Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:14 Permalink

So there is a Jew behind this debacle.  Makes perfect sense now.  I bet Kushner is well qualified to hammer out the plan for a new middle east.  Good call Trump.Did MBS get kicked in the head by a camel when he was young?  Cause that lazy eye does not exude confident leadership skills.pods

HominyTwin Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:15 Permalink

Well, our wonderful and competent Deep State should have reined him in. They didn't. I guess they don't understand that because they don't do anything useful for humanity, that the only thing that backs their paychecks is the petro dollar. Without it, no reserve currency, worthless paychecks. But of course, they fuck up everything they try, including getting rid of trump. What can they do? Oh yeah, false flag ops that kill innocent people, droning funerals and wedding parties, and smuggling heroin.

Fireman Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:21 Permalink

It's the juice, Pat. Is it good for the juice? As for boy wonder Kushner he wouldn't make manager of a skid row liquor store without his daddy's slum real estate money, but shit that is what USSA has come to. Onward to Slumville

hxc HRClinton Tue, 11/14/2017 - 15:51 Permalink

I say this fairly frequently, but Mnuchin is the kind of tribe we need, helping Trump prepare for a partial debt default. He seems pretty conservative/libertarian 99% of the time he speaks. Not the internationalist communist atheist type or the likudnik Mossad neocon type for sure and he already toyed with running the US Treasury down to $0 earlier this year.Mnuchin defended Trump's Cville comments pretty intensely. Basically insinuated that anyone taking them the wrong way is being a crybaby or totally disingenuous. He is not Gary Cohn and doesn't want to be (i.e. fat bald communist faggot).

In reply to by HRClinton

Mena Arkansas Tue, 11/14/2017 - 12:17 Permalink

Jared Kushner made a trip to Riyadh, where he reportedly spent a long night of plotting Middle East strategy until 4 a.m. with MBS.Is there ever a case where there isn't a court jew whispering into the King's ear what will inevitably turn out to be the worst possible advice ever.For everyone except israel of course.