Where The Jobs Were In November: Who's Hiring... Who Isn't

Assuming that the BLS' estimate of avg hourly warnings growing only 0.2% in November is accurate, it would imply that - as has often been the case - the bulk of job growth in November took place in minimum-paying and other low-wage jobs. However, a breakdown of jobs added by industry shows the contrary to expectations, the bulk of new job creation, and 3 of the 4 top category, were not in the "low wage" bucket. In fact, as shown below, with the exception of Education and Health jobs which rose by 54K in November, Manufacturing (+31K), Professional and Business Services (+27), and Construction (+24) were the fastest growing occupations in the previous month.

For those wondering, yes waiters and bartenders did hit a new all time high of 11.783 million in November, an increase of 18.9k for the month.

Furthermore, according to Southbay Research hurricanes boosted the number:

  • Specialty Trade Construction (+23k) - this is the sector that handles the interiors, electricals, and so forth
  • Food Services (+21k)

On the negative side, consumer spending does not appear to be driving much hiring

  • Retail (+19K)
  • Temp workers (+18K)
  • Leisure & Hospitality (+14K) and that includes a hurricane boost

Additionally, white collar hiring was up strongly (Technical services +23K) and Healthcare (+40K). Meanwhile, as SouthBay cautions, small business hiring doesn't seem to be materializing.  This could be less demand (NFIB, JOLT and other surveys point to strong hiring desire) and more about supply.  If so, that's inflationary.

Finally, as Bloomberg shows, below are the industries with the highest and lowest rates of employment growth for the most recent month: monthly growth rates are shown for the prior year.

Comments

Son of Captain Nemo Fri, 12/08/2017 - 09:58 Permalink

"Assuming that the BLS' estimate of avg hourly warnings growing only 0.2% in November is accurate"

Sanjay from "Bangalore" and Paco from "Honduras" got a job (without a visa of course)... While the 95 million walking wounded without healthcare continue NOT to be counted!... What the "BLS" won't tell you...

And the U.S. Government keeps building buildings with and hiring IT professionals from foreign lands without documentation in the hopes that there will "one day" be buyers and revenue?...

Fixed it!

MuffDiver69 Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:00 Permalink

Been waiting for this article. Numbers mean nothing if it’s a thirty hour a week cashier..Some quality jobs being created in fields that literaly would have been dead under Crooked..It will be a few years to see if the energy strategy pans out as no country has the ability to combine low energy and manufacturing like America...One could only imagine if a State like California was run by a capitalist...

Eager Beaver Justin Case Fri, 12/08/2017 - 11:00 Permalink

Why should someone pay you to eat lunch? I suppose you want me to buy your lunch too? The unions, with such idiotic demands, are directly responsible for the hiring of illegals. Americans are the spoiled little bitches of the world. We used to have grit, valued hard work, and took pride in what we created. Now, we're just a buch of whining leeches that want every benefit out of the system that we can get, with as little effort as possible, and nobody cares about the quality of their work. Just kill yourself now, and save me the money of supporting your dumb ass through your retirement. Look to the central banks if you want to find somebody to pin your problems on. If our currency were stable, and you were being paid what a job was actually worth, you'd have to compete based on merit, instead of entitlement.

In reply to by Justin Case

bidaskspread poland spring Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:35 Permalink

Don't worry, several congressional reps have assured us  those are the jobs that the every day American does not want.... except during a recession or for people that don't want to bartend, or are currently working in that position and haven't had a wage increase due to the large supply of labor... but.those people don't count. 

In reply to by poland spring

MusicIsYou Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:02 Permalink

Yeah and most are lower paying jobs and I know that because businesses don't like paying human beings or they wouldn't be replacing people with machines.

coast1 Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:03 Permalink

As I listen to alex jones sometimes, I have to wonder, when obama was president, it was all about the "official" numbers were not true and being manipulated....Now that Trump is president, it seems those same "official" numbers, from the same "corrupt" people, are now valid?   How did that happen?  Strange how people cannot think straight when they worship something, whether it be poresident, or a religion etc.  All common sense goes out the window...The eonomy is doing terrible and we all know it...and its getting worse every day...credit cards over 1 trillion, student loans, stock buy backs, zero percent interest, dollar is falling quickly etc. off topic: so they are going to put smart meters in my city..I called to ask if I opt out, will there be a swat team at my house, or will it be a fine or what....Seems its a $169 fee, and $36 dollars a month...those fuckers.

Pigeon coast1 Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:19 Permalink

OF course the numbers are still corrupt. GIGOThe methodology for calculations is rigged game. What suprises me is that the never-Trumpers in government are not short-shrifting numbers that look decent.Unless, it's the set-up to stage the "failure of Trumponomics".

In reply to by coast1

MusicIsYou Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:07 Permalink

The funny thing about machines replacing humans is that well, machines don't buy, consume and use the fking products they make. So if you socalled geniuses aren't paying people, you fking morons are making products for nobody.

poland spring MusicIsYou Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:12 Permalink

A human created the machine that creates the machine.  A human engineered the specs for the machine.  A project team was involved to gather the specs to create the machine.  Human coders were employed to program the machine.  Humans eventually have to fix, repair, or maintain the machines.  Humans are involved in marketing the machine.  These humans make good money and they spend.  

In reply to by MusicIsYou

itstippy poland spring Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:51 Permalink

But the machines replace the 90% of the population that is mentally incapable of engineering, defining specs, writing code, or fixing, repairing, and maintaining the machines.  Modern machinery is very complex; you can't fix it with common sense and an arc welder.  So the helpless multitudes with no aptitude for technical work end up getting labelled "people persons" and borrow $80K and spend four years of their life getting degrees in Social Sciences.  How many Poli Sci and Human Relations professionals does society need?I was an English major.  I loved it and still love to read.  However, I spent 40 years making a living as a trash hauler.  I've done pretty well.  I'm fortunate to have a strong back, enjoy physical labor, don't mind the stigma of being blue collar, and have a knack for small business in addition to my love of language. 

In reply to by poland spring

pitz itstippy Fri, 12/08/2017 - 14:20 Permalink

Too bad the compensation doesn't reflect the difficulty and scarcity of the training.  The polysci/human relations "professionals" (more often than not "unprofessionals") have done much better than STEM workers who have had their salaries and opportunities relentlessly suppressed by the elites with schemes like the H-1B and OPT visas.

In reply to by itstippy

govtsucks MusicIsYou Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:59 Permalink

You can't be that ignorant. History is one long list of better technologies replacing inferior ones. When autos were invented, they put statecoach drivers and blacksmiths out of business. When the mechanical loom was invented, it reduced demand for skilled handweavers. In these cases and many others, employees were displaced, but the increased productivity made goods less expensive and created far more jobs than they destroyed. When robots are commonplace and doing all of the menial jobs, productivity will skyrocket, and you'll probably only have to work 30 hours a week instead of 40.

In reply to by MusicIsYou

coast1 Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:07 Permalink

I needed some labor work done, two 6 hour days, so I posted a "work available" ad on craigslist and noted it was $10 an hour...I kid you not, I got almost 40 replies...I am not in a big city either.

poland spring coast1 Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:16 Permalink

You posted $10 an hour. That means you felt that whatever work you needed was worth $10 an hour to you.  You got 40 people that agreed with you.  Now its quite possible that 10,000 people didn't agree with you because they may have thought it was too low.  It is also quite possible that if you got NO responses, then you either would have done it yourself or you would have raised your price.  There are a lot of people who are looking to make cash on the side...who couldn't use $120 tax free?

In reply to by coast1

poland spring Justin Case Fri, 12/08/2017 - 13:40 Permalink

Sometimes I agree with you on labor points, sometimes I don't.  In this case, I disagree.  If he charged $20/ hr, he would have gotten hundreds or thousands of replies. You don't want to overpay but you don't want to underpay to the point where you get weirdos and drug addicts to do the job.  You try to find that right balance. Again, it depends on the job he actually posted for which we don't know because he didn't say. I think value is a consideration with respect to technical jobs and maybe not necessarily customer service but it comes down to the skill level.  If not much skill is required, then pay can be very low. I think corporations pay you just enough so that you don't leave and they have figured that out to a science.I'm anti-union now (was supportive during the early days) because I see behind the scenes how they control certain municipalities to get work contracts.  I see that they purposely work slow to get continued payments because if they work fast and do the job on time or ahead of schedule, then the contract is done and that company has to try to get another contract.  While we can definitely blame corporations for exploitation, we should also blame the regular joe for not studying enough in school or learning new things as things evolve.  Or if they choose to abuse drugs or commit crimes or whatever....

In reply to by Justin Case

InnVestuhrr coast1 Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:22 Permalink

Going rate in area of my summer home for landscape work is around $15/hr, fast food is paying around $10/hr.I offered $15/hr and received very few inquiries, even fewer substantial ones, ie people who actually show up, know how to work, want to work, etc.So I increased the offer to $20/hr - BIG mistake !!! - received many more responses, but with MUCH WORSE QUALITY, ie people who just want the money and don't want to do the work, very bitter & angry about their life situation, other job, etc, and of course the very unreliable people, ie don't show up, don't TXT or call to keep me informed, arrive late, way too loooooong lunch, too many breaks, leave the work site early, sloppy work, etc.Lesson for me was as follows:1. Offer the going rate to attract mainstream workers.2. AFTER the workers have actually showed up to work and actually done quality work (smoking, chatting, drinking, sitting, resting, etc do NOT constitute "work", work that is done poorly and has to be re-done is NOT quality work), THEN offer higher pay to the workers who have proven themselves, deserve it, and appreciate it by continued good performance.3. MANY seriously messed up people out there, no prospects for successful, happy lives.

In reply to by coast1

coast1 InnVestuhrr Fri, 12/08/2017 - 10:59 Permalink

exactly...I forgot to note in my previous post, that my ad actually said "$10 an hour with a bonus if you arrive on time and do good work"...The main reason I posted is because of other things posted here in reply to my post..I find alot of losers, and if I get a guy who is awesome, he ends up finding a full time job, so no longer available.  I also remember getting an email, from someone scolding me to the max about how little I pay.  If I had more money, I would pay more, but even at $10 an hour, I can barely afford that.  Anyway, thanks for the replies, they were all good.

In reply to by InnVestuhrr