In Stunning Victory, Democrat Doug Jones Wins Alabama Senate Seat; Trump Responds: "A Win Is A Win..."

Update: President Trump has reacted to Doug Jones' victory:

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Update: US equity futures are sinking after Democrat Doug Jones unexpectedly wins the Alabama Senate special election against Roy Moore, the state’s Republican former chief justice who was dogged throughout the campaign by sexual misconduct accusations.

AP reports that Jones has 49.6% to Moore’s 48.8% with 88% of vote counted, enough to give him the win according to news stations. As a reminder, in 2016 President Trump carried the state election by nearly 30 ppts over Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Jones wins seat vacated by Jeff Sessions, who became Trump’s attorney general.

 

Jones, 63, a former federal prosecutor, becomes first Democrat in U.S. Senate from deeply-Republican state of Alabama in over 20 years (last Ala. Democratic senator was Howell Heflin, who left office in 1997; the state’s senior senator Richard Shelby was a Democrat but switched parties to the Republicans in 1994)

Putting Jones' victory in context, T=the last time a new Democrat was elected to the Senate from Alabama is 1978. That senator, Howell Heflin, left in 1997.

In a twitter post, Alabama's new senator was laconic, stating simply "thank you Alabama"...

... while top Senate Democrat Chuck Schumer said "things are looking better and better for 2018."

Once Jones is sworn in, GOP’s Senate majority would narrow to the smallest possible 51-49... which explains why US equity futures are sliding...

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Shortly after 8pm EST this evening, the voting results of one of the most controversial special elections in modern history, which pits Republican Roy Moore against Democrat Doug Jones for Jeff Sessions' vacant Senate seat, will start to flow in to news desks all around the country.

While this election would have been a complete blowout just a few months ago, allegations of sexual assault which surfaced against Moore in November and which reportedly occurred in the late '70s, have made it a complete toss up.  As we noted earlier this morning, even pollsters have no clue how to predict voter turnout tonight with Fox News predicting a 10-point win for Jones and Emerson predicting a 9-point win for Moore.

For those looking to get an early read on how the night might turn out, we would suggest keeping a close eye on Mobile which is the second largest county in Alabama and is home to a disproportionate share of the state's affluent republicans who are the most likely to abandon Moore.  Otherwise, while voter turnout will undoubtedly be down from the 2016 presidential contest, shifts in support in Jefferson and Montgomery counties, both with high concentrations of African-American voters, could provide an early signal on whether Jones has been successful in turning out his base.

With that intro, tune in below for the live results:

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For those who missed it, below is the preview we shared earlier this morning.

After a last weekend of campaigning with celebrities, Doug Jones (D) with Alabama native Charles Barkley and Roy Moore (R) with Breitbart News chairman Steve Bannon and controversial former Milwaukee County Sheriff David Clarke, election day for one of the most controversial special elections in modern U.S. history has finally arrived. 

As The Hill points out, Moore's chances to become the first Democrat to win an Alabama Senate seat since 1992 rely on his ability to turnout African-American voters in cities like Birmingham and Montgomery.  Moore's fate, on the other hand, depends on voters in the more affluent city of Mobile and rural white voters from around the state.

Jones spent the weekend on stops with prominent black Democratic lawmakers such as Alabama Rep. Terri Sewell and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, while Congressional Black Caucus members Rep. Sanford Bishop (D-Ga.) and Rep. Cedric Richmond (D-La.) held get-out-the-vote events down state.

 

While African-Americans make up roughly a quarter of Alabama’s population, years of dismal Democratic returns have left his party without much of a ground game.

 

“I wish that the [Democratic National Committee] had focused more on states and making certain they had infrastructure here,” he said.

 

While Moore’s time on the trail has been limited recently — there were rumors he attended the Army-Navy football game in Philadelphia on Saturday — he did sit down for an interview on “The Voice of Alabama Politics” at the state Republican Party headquarters, which aired Sunday.

Of course, as we pointed out yesterday, the polls headed into election day are almost completely useless as pollsters admit they have no idea how to handicap voter turnout today.  While voter turnout in mid-cycle elections is always difficult to predict, this one is especially complicated in light of the sexual assault allegations against Roy Moore. 

Which is precisely why the latest Fox News Poll of likely voters showed a commanding 10-point lead for Democrat Doug Jones....

Even though a poll released the day before by Emerson showed the exact opposite with a 9-point lead for Moore.  Per Real Clear Politics:

RCP

As CNN notes, the key to victory in Alabama could come down to Mobile, a region that is home to scores of more affluent, moderate, business-type Republicans who are most likely to abandon Moore for Jones or simply elect to sit this election out.

There's a reason Trump's event was in Pensacola, and Moore closed his campaign with big rallies in Fairhope a week from election day and Midland City on Monday night: They're all in the Mobile media market.

 

If Jones is going to win, he can't rely purely on turning out his base and hoping Republicans stay home. He'll need some white, conservative supporters, and the Mobile region is his best chance to win some.

 

Those are the voters Moore's supporters have targeted with a message that the election is a referendum on Trump's agenda.

 

"It's an up-or-down vote tomorrow between the Trump miracle and the nullification project," Bannon said Monday night in Midland City.

As a quick reminder, here is how Alabama voted in the 2016 Presidential election.  Hillary performed well in the heavily African-American cities of Birmingham (+7.6%) and Montgomery (+26.8%) while Trump carried Mobile (+13.7%) and most of the rural areas of the state.

All of which ultimately resulted in a massive 27.7 point blowout victory for Trump.

So, after weeks of intense media focus on an election that should have been a foregone conclusion, we are now just a few hours away from finding out whether Republicans made their first a serious special election blunder by choosing to support a highly controversial candidate who was potentially doomed from the moment sexual assault allegations against him first surfaced last month.

Comments

fleur de lis Déjà view Tue, 12/12/2017 - 23:50 Permalink

What was the problem with Mo Brooks that McConnell did not pick him in the first place?It would have been a slam dunk.Repulsive though it is, from now on all Republican candidates for any office great or small will have to be vetted as far back as grammar school.Even the slightest issue must be discussed and then explained or dismissed, with paperwork, AV, etc., to back it up.If it is something small but has the potential to take on a life of its own the candidate should be passed over for someone else.This is the only way the Dems can take down a candidate, for they have nothing of substance to offer.They will data mine every single Republican candidate from now on and if there is so much as a decades old traffic violation, rest assured that the Dems will find it and get their MSM friends to broadcast it as a high crime.Anything that can entertain the MSM can be weaponized to usurp an election.Democrats need not worry, the MSM will cover for them no matter what they do.  

In reply to by Déjà view

ACP curbjob Wed, 12/13/2017 - 03:26 Permalink

Alabama whites decided this election by not showing up. Of course, there's all the fake ballots too.Makes me wonder if whites have truly become inferior by being so easily manipulated and making such bad decisions. "Come on son, instead of voting against the guy who wants to take away our guns......we're gonna go huntin' with guns!" Not to mention the whites voting for their own deaths in sanctuary cities. 

In reply to by curbjob

Escrava Isaura ACP Wed, 12/13/2017 - 03:39 Permalink

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The deactivation of the conservatives ‘America Mistake’ just started.  

In reply to by ACP

fleur de lis ACP Wed, 12/13/2017 - 06:39 Permalink

Yes, the whole thing was a sleazefest but had Moore won they could have swapped him out.Instead the high-minded Rep voters stayed home to teach Moore a lesson.So they taught him a lesson and now they will see changes all around them that they won't like and they will have no one but themselves to blame.They bit off their own noses to spite their faces.On a separate issue those allegations have to be verified as true or false one way or another.Allegations cannot be allowed to determine election results.Either way someone has to face consequences.Did Gloria Allraunch know about the bungled yearbook inscription?Did Moore do what they said he did?This has to be cleared or expect more of the same from now on.   

In reply to by ACP

fleur de lis curbjob Wed, 12/13/2017 - 05:03 Permalink

I did not defend Moore.My question was why was not Brooks the candidate.Moore was there and would have won but for the allegations.He should have been better vetted.Whether or not the allegations were true is one thing, but they were what caused the loss in any case.There were too many of them.So there is something there that needs to be looked at.For that matter the Dems would have found something on Strange, too.Anything would do, and the MSM would take care of the rest. 

In reply to by curbjob

Ballin D fleur de lis Wed, 12/13/2017 - 06:59 Permalink

the problem wasnt vetting here.  the problem was that an obviously fictional story supported by an admitted forgery was propped up by the treasonous media.  the (((group))) that is doing this needs to be stopped, without mercy.  Republicans will never be able to run a candidate again because the dems know they can make up false stories and win. to make matters worse, moore won the election by a clear margin.  the dems stuffed the mail ins.  very similar story to the austrian election that was recalled a year or two back (and I made a very similar comment wrt mail in fraud the morning after that one).  Do the algebra and tell me the shift is within the margin of error.

In reply to by fleur de lis

fajensen fleur de lis Wed, 12/13/2017 - 06:14 Permalink

"The Problem" is that as long as the R's have a majority - they are expected to deliver on their promises, which not only sounds like it's hard and might take a while, is not what the sponsors want, they want "stability" since they already rigged everything in their favour and there is basically nothing left to rig, any change is potetially Bad. So they want to avoid that. Once the R's have managed to dump their majority, they are safe from the sponsors and don't have to do anything except blame the D's for blocking everything. Worked for Obama, will work for Donald Trump too (even if he doesn't get it). 

In reply to by fleur de lis

fleur de lis fattail Wed, 12/13/2017 - 09:39 Permalink

He said she said.Allegations are allegations.Anyone can say anything about anyone anywhere anytime.These allegations were clearly brought to the surface for one reason. If they were so serious they should have been filed when he was serving time for the 10 Commandments issue.So who did the research so quietly that all the women surfaced at the same time?  

In reply to by fattail

Future Jim Bigly Tue, 12/12/2017 - 22:48 Permalink

How many times have you heard ZHers and Trump supporters say the MSM is dead and can no longer influence elections? Of course, it's possible the media shouldn't get the credit because it could be that the results are entirely fake--just as the news is fake, but either way, the side that some thought had been defeated has obviously just proved otherwise in a big and very clear way.The same people are still just as firmly in control as they ever were, and they would LOVE for you to assume they have lost so that you will stand down. If you believe it, then they have played you like a piano.

In reply to by Bigly

Bigly Future Jim Tue, 12/12/2017 - 22:55 Permalink

If it wasn't fraud, it was that republicans did not turn out.  If THAT is the case, it was indeed because they listened to msm. Essentially then they are retards...  Who is still watching that shit at this point???I am truly concerned how they ruled today that they will not be maintaining electronic votes. Almost like this was planned and a recount not happening.

In reply to by Future Jim

waspwench DownWithYogaPants Wed, 12/13/2017 - 00:44 Permalink

Nothing has ever been proven against Moore. Absolutely nothing! Moore has been the victim of a smear campaign by the Dems. - ably abetted by the MSM. If even Allred's proven duplicity was not enough to convince voters that the Dems were running a dirty campaign against Moore, then I do not know what could be done.

I agree with Yoga Pants: either the voters fell for the lies or Alabama was fixed. I suspect the latter.

The Republicans need to closely supervise voting BUT there are many RINOS who are working with the Dems. The Rebublican establishment is more interested in preserving their perks and not rocking the boat than they are interested in justice or good governance.

The American people voted for Trump but even his own party is not supporting him. In short, the will of the people is being ignored and perverted.

In reply to by DownWithYogaPants

Cloud9.5 DownWithYogaPants Wed, 12/13/2017 - 06:46 Permalink

Then again maybe not.  The Dems are absolutely convinced the Russians stole the national election.  The fact that Hillary lost does not register with them.  We have not seen the end of these sexual misconduct allegations.  The fact that Kennedy and Clinton were banging teenage girls while they were in office no longer matters.  What matters is that unsubstantiated allegations can topple candidates.  We haven’t seen anything yet.  This is going to run its course just like any other witch hunt.   You might want to reread the Crucible to see how this plays out.

In reply to by DownWithYogaPants

Endgame Napoleon Future Jim Tue, 12/12/2017 - 23:25 Permalink

Trump voters did not turn out because they do not believe the anti-globalist American First economic agenda that Trump promised during the campaign is still the focus of the administration. I think the hesitancy on the DACA issue is one big reason. The tax cut also appears to be a big tax cut for the wealthy with more tax welfare for citizen and noncitizen parents.

If mass immigration is not reduced greatly from one million new immigrants per year, plus umpteen-million illegal immigrants on welfare, any job growth from tax cuts for the rich will mostly go to immigrants who can afford to work for beans because of the same pay-per-child welfare covering rent and groceries and child tax credit welfare checks of up to $6,444 that enables so many single moms to work part-time for very low wages.

If you are going to turn out for a controversial candidate, like Moore, you need to have overriding ECONOMIC, bread-and-butter POLICY reasons.

In reply to by Future Jim

Memedada Future Jim Wed, 12/13/2017 - 04:21 Permalink

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Well, that is the obviously indoctrinated part of the ZH-crowd (predominantly US plebs). Trump is a MSM-media phenomenon. Just like his “drain-the-swamp”-hypocrisy (he is responsible for the most swampy Goldmanite/MIC cabinet in modern history – even more swampy than the former fake “for the people” candidate Obama) his “fake-news/-media”-hypocrisy hides the fact that he (like all political figures in US) is totally dependent on MSM. In USA there’s a sad but true fact about all presidential elections: the candidate with most MSM-exposure wins. Every time. That is how easy the US plebs are to play/fool. And Trump got a record amount of MSM-exposure. He dwarfed all other candidates in MSM-exposure. He broke two records in the presidential elections: most MSM-exposure and most free MSM-exposure. Further, it is pretty obvious that TPTB knows everything about the “sentiment” in the plebs. When they sense a growing “anti-establishment”-feeling brewing they tap into it. Obama tapped into the “Occupy Wall St.”-sentiment and Trump tapped into the “Tea Party”-sentiment. It is all hopium for the indoctrinated just targeting different segments of society. And by that contributing to another central propaganda-trick: divide the plebs so they don’t start looking upwards in the power-pyramid but keep fighting each other (and creating pretexts for the expansion of the intelligence/police/totalitarian state). Trumpards are idiots - as are the plebs still believing the DEMS represent anything else than the ownership class/the banksters. They’re all bought and paid for. And yes, Trump as a fiat billionaire is more dependent on the status quo/his handlers than anyone. 

In reply to by Future Jim

Refuse-Resist Memedada Wed, 12/13/2017 - 06:34 Permalink

This fuckstick not even paying attention to Jewlywood getting torn down, Negro felon league exposed,  MSM exposed, thecunt exposed, the DNC exposed, et al. People who get their news from TV/legacy media all seem to spout the same bullshit talking points.Just a cohenicidence I'm sure. Have a red oh brainwashed parroting fool.

In reply to by Memedada

Memedada Refuse-Resist Wed, 12/13/2017 - 06:42 Permalink

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You don’t see the irony in your comment? All the “victories” you mention are MSM-made/spewed ad nausea. You’re a tool. Plus, I don't live in the US propaganda-sphere and don't watch TV.

In reply to by Refuse-Resist

Future Jim N. B. Forrest Tue, 12/12/2017 - 22:51 Permalink

Those suffering from Roy Derangement Syndrome seem to primarily be women over 30, and especially women over 40 (and their cucks). I never realized the extent to which older women hate younger women and hate competing with younger women. This makes total sense from an evolutionary perspective. Another (closely related) result of evolution is that in the little tribes we evolved in, there would have been times when there were few (if any) desirable unclaimed men, and thus any woman having a genetically programmed behavior (mutation) that happened to cause her to try to separate other women from their men (e.g. hating the site of a woman happy with her man) would have gotten more of her genes into future generations. We could delve into why government and media try so hard to empower these toxic bitches ...

In reply to by N. B. Forrest