Will War Cancel Trump's Triumphs?

Authored by Patrick Buchanan via Buchanan.org,

Asked what he did during the French Revolution, Abbe Sieyes replied, “I survived.”

Donald Trump can make the same boast.

No other political figure has so dominated our discourse. And none, not Joe McCarthy in his heyday in the early ’50s, nor Richard Nixon in Watergate, received such intensive and intemperate coverage and commentary as has our 45th president.

Whatever one may think of Trump, he is a leader and a fighter, not a quitter. How many politicians could have sustained the beatings Trump has taken, and remained as cocky and confident?

And looking back on what may fairly be called The Year of Trump, his achievements have surprised even some of his enemies.

With the U.S. military given a freer hand by Trump, a U.S.-led coalition helped expel ISIS from its twin capitals of Raqqa in Syria and Mosul in Iraq, driving it back into a desert enclave on the Iraq-Syria border. The caliphate is dead, and the caliph nowhere to be found.

The economy, with the boot of Barack Obama off its neck, has been growing at 3 percent. The stock market has soared to record highs. Unemployment is down to 4 percent. And Trump and Congress just passed the largest tax cut since Ronald Reagan.

With deregulation, which conservative Republicans preached to deaf ears in the Bush I and Bush II eras, Trump and those he has put into positions of power have exceeded expectations.

Pipelines Obama blocked have been approved. Alaska’s National Wildlife Refuge has been opened to exploratory drilling. We have exited a Paris climate accord that favored China over the U.S.

Though Beijing’s trade surplus with us is returning to record highs, a spirit of “America First” economic nationalism is pervasive among U.S. trade negotiators,

The one justice named to the Supreme Court, Neil Gorsuch, appears in the Antonin Scalia tradition. And under Chairman Chuck Grassley, the Senate judiciary committee is moving conservatives and strict constructionists onto U.S. appellate and district courts.

Politically, however, the year brought bad news, with portents of worse to come. In November, the Republican Party was thrashed in Virginia, losing all state offices, and then lost a Senate seat in Alabama.

Given polls showing Trump under water and the GOP running 10 points behind the Democratic Party in favorability, there is a possibility the GOP could lose the House in 2018.

And though Democrats have three times as many seats at risk in 2018, the GOP losing the Senate is not beyond the realm of possibility.

Should that happen, the conservative dream of a recapture of the U.S. Supreme Court could swiftly vanish.

Recall: Democratic Senates turned down two Nixon nominees and Reagan’s nomination of Robert Bork, forcing both presidents to name justices who evolved into moderates and liberals on the high court.

But it is in the realm of foreign policy where the real perils seem to lie ahead. President Trump has been persuaded by his national security team to send Javelin anti-tank missiles to Ukraine, for use against the tanks and armor of pro-Russian rebels in Donetsk and Luhansk.

Should Petro Poroshenko’s Kiev regime reignite the war in his breakaway provinces bordering Russia, Vladimir Putin is less likely to let him crush the rebels than to intervene with superior forces and rout the Ukrainian army.

Trump’s choice then? Accept defeat and humiliation for our “ally” — or escalate and widen the conflict with Russia.

Putin’s interest in the Donbass, a part of the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union for centuries, is obvious.

What, exactly, is ours — to justify a showdown with Moscow?

In this city there is also a powerful propaganda push to have this country tear up the nuclear deal John Kerry negotiated with Iran, and confront the Iranians in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and the Persian Gulf.

But how much backing would Trump have for another U.S. war in that blood-soaked region, after Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria?

 

1

Who would stand with us, and for how long?

When Trump declared Jerusalem to be the capital of Israel and pledged to move our embassy there, we had to veto a unanimous U.N. Security Council resolution condemning us. Then the General Assembly denounced the U.S. in a resolution supported by all our key NATO allies, Russia and China, and every Arab and Muslim nation.

A day later, Trump complained on Twitter that we have “foolishly spent $7 trillion in the Middle East.”

What then would justify a new $1 or $2 trillion war with the largest nation on the Persian Gulf, which could send oil to $200 a barrel and sink the global economy?

Cui bono? For whose benefit all these wars?

The Korean War finished Truman. Vietnam finished LBJ. Reagan said putting Marines into Lebanon was his worst mistake. Iraq cost Bush II both houses of Congress and his party the presidency in 2008.

Should Trump become a war president, he’ll likely become a one-term president.

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Comments

GatorMcClusky RawPawg Fri, 12/29/2017 - 20:24 Permalink

Off topic-sorta:  this is from a friend I have known for 30 years.  His response to a news article i sent him on violence at a New Jersey Mall

"

We are witnessing the decline of the great American empire. 

 

We are heading back to beautiful, safe Zürich now after visiting family in Houston and Chicago (two cities long past their prime). Houston not as bad but it seems even our part of town in the NW suburbs is less safe now. 

 

First time back to US in 18 months for me and the first thing I noticed is the anger and aggression from everyone.  Switzerland is soulless but peaceful. I miss it now. 

 

 Wishing you guys a happy New Year"

In reply to by RawPawg

skbull44 bobcatz Fri, 12/29/2017 - 23:30 Permalink

"With the U.S. military given a freer hand by Trump, a U.S.-led coalition helped expel ISIS from its twin capitals of Raqqa in Syria and Mosul in Iraq, driving it back into a desert enclave on the Iraq-Syria border. The caliphate is dead, and the caliph nowhere to be found."

Really? With all the evidence that the US has been arming, training, and aiding ISIS, Pat writes this revisionist propaganda??

 

 

In reply to by bobcatz

Endgame Napoleon Squidward_Tentacles Sat, 12/30/2017 - 10:37 Permalink

Unless the first part of Pat’s article is somewhat tounge and cheek, I do not agree that the economy is doing well for the vast majority of citizens, particularly those who lack a spousal income or the following monthly and tax-time welfare supplements: free or subsidized rent, free EBT groceries, free electricity, nearly free Headstaet. monthly cash assistance and refundable child tax credits between $3,468 and $6,444.

One-hundred-percent-free-and-non-contributory welfare is what is is keeping up a large part of the population, specifically those who have sex and reproduce out of wedlock, with 42 million still on EBT long after the Trump victory.

The jobs are mostly part time, temporary, high turnover, 1099 gigs and low-wage fare that will not cover rent that takes more than half your pay if you are not being paid by government to have sex and reproduce, as a citizen or an immigrant with US-born kids and traceable income below the income limit for welfare. 

This was the case all through Clinton, all through Bush, all through Obama and now through Trump. The public relations tactic of selling the status quo as a boon in jobs, is not working with the voters, especially since Trump promised to end the welfare party for the illegal immigrants, pouring in here, working for a pittance and getting their major household bills paid by taxpayers, more with each birth on US soil.  

That is why Deplorable turnout was in the trash can for Moore. The same is true of Virginia, although it is not a deep-red state and is full of well-vacationed assortative mates, with two high government salaries. Trump just gave the parents among then a tax cut to finance more home renovations and babyvacations to Europe while upping the refundable child tax credits for the part-time-work-plus-monthly-welfare crowd.

The child tax checks for max womb productivity are already at $6,444. Will they be doubled to $12,888, equaling more than half a year’s wages for citizen parents, immigrant parents and illegal alien parents, with individual citizens surviving on earned-only income competing with all these welfare-supported workers? 

It is the bad economy, and the way that relates to mass, welfare-buttressed immigration, that is reducing turnout for Republicans. But it is also antithetical to what Trump voters wanted to get into more costly foreign wars. 

Tax receipts are down because the much-ballyhooed jobs are not substantial jobs, and many of the immigrants are working under-the-table. The country is trillions in debt, yet the rich just granted themselves a tax cut, not contingent on creating jobs in the US, with more refundable tax welfare for citizens and immigrants who have more kids than they can afford to feed. 

 

Fool me once. 

In reply to by Squidward_Tentacles

Freddie GatorMcClusky Fri, 12/29/2017 - 21:23 Permalink

Well white Texans worship their Trayvon football and basketball thugs. Also their Mexicans are "good" Mexicans not like Calif Mexicans. Whites in America are Trayvon ball thug cucksters. Even idiots on message boards say the college Trayvons are what they watch.

Maybe the Austrians will get fed up as they were invaded and almost lost Vienna twice.

In reply to by GatorMcClusky

mkkby Overfed Sat, 12/30/2017 - 17:26 Permalink

Trump isn't going to start a god damned thing.  You sure are boobus as hell.

Trump inherited the kenyan nigger's wars.  He has let the russians take down ISIS in syria and he's letting our military kick them out of afghanistan/iraq.  The CIA are still arming terrorists and there is a turf war going on with the military, who want that stopped.  It is the deep state, not trump doing this.

US presidents have been trying to negotiate peace between the palestinians and israel for 50 years.  It's about time someone told muzzies to act like civilized human beings or else lose recognition.  That is how you play chess with a winning hand.

I don't expect your tarded brain to understand a word I said.

In reply to by Overfed

Endgame Napoleon RedBaron616 Sat, 12/30/2017 - 10:58 Permalink

I think it was the economy, the stagflation and all of that, which meant a miserable standard of living for many. It was compounded by the fact that, in the Seventies, real wages had already started the downward slide, diluted by twice as many workers chasing jobs due to women’s “liberation.” Add on the offshoring of over 2 million jobs over the successive decades. Add on a million legal immigrants per year, plus millions of illegal ones, many of whom benefit from low wages that keep them below the earned-income limit for welfare, just like many citizen moms benefits from it, and you have this period of multi-pronged economic strife and wages in quicksand.

 

In reply to by RedBaron616

Endgame Napoleon joeyman9 Sat, 12/30/2017 - 11:41 Permalink

Below are the positive things Trump has done for most Deplorables. I do not mean the high-income and often well-vacationed, dual-high-earner parents, keeping good salaried jobs under fewer roofs, with benefits made possible by a $260 billion tax exclusion for their employers. They do not create jobs, but because they had sex and created children, Trump, like Bush and Obama, gave them a tax cut of a few thousand they don’t need to spend on more mom-pampering luxuries, like renovating a kitchen or taking one of 7 lengthy, excused babyvacations from work in their 98% parent-staffed / mom-staffed, back-watching jobs. 

I mean the Deplorables struggling to afford rent that takes more than half of their earned-only income in the many states with per capita income is between $18k and $20k. I mean the citizens getting the $24-per-paycheck tax cut, not the pay-per-birth welfare crowd of immigrants and single moms who will get more refundable tax welfare, possibly even exceeding the max refundable child-tax-credit welfare check of $6,444.

I also do not mean the few in self employment who make enough net income to pay enough income tax to get much from the Trump tax cut for pass throughs, as opposed to the twice-as-high SS tax that everyone in self employment pays....every 1099-gig worker and every mom-and-pop shop. Most of them too little to benefit much from Trump’s tax cuts for the rich and for businesses.

If the small business makes enough to benefit, then sure, Trump’s tax cut for pass throughs helps the owners. But if these small employers hire mostly part-time moms and legal / illegal immigrants whose rent and groceries are financed by monthly welfare, or moms with spousal income that makes it easy to accept low pay, Trump’s tax cut does not do one red thing to increase substantial employment prospects for underemployed Deplorable citizens. 

He has done these 3 things for all of the Deplorables, not just the more affluent ones:

1) Trump verbally and loudly called out the scourge of illegal immigration on TV and the internet, using his fame to call attention to it, and likely reducing it some for the moment, although it is and will come back — full force — without a wall and especially after the incentive of another mass amnesty and more tax welfare for illegals to reward sex, reproduction and traceable earnings from part-time work;

2) Trump verbally and emphatically called out the heinousness of mass murder by radical Islamic terrorists, saying he was going find out where hate sufficient to commit such horrific crimes came from, and unlike in the years before he was elected, there have not been as many 50-person mass murders by radical Islamic terrorists since his election, not to say we have not seen other types of just-as-heinous mass murders by Americans in a society that hands out more lump-sum welfare checks to parents to reward working moms for reproduction than ever before in history, but where parents are raising far more incarcerated people and mass shooters than ever before;

3) Trump just signed an executive order that makes it harder for Swampians to take money from lobbyists who are involved in human rights abuses and other seriously illegal stuff in foreign countries, and this might be the best thing he has done for Deplorables, in that our government is so owned by Big Money—including Big Foreign Money that provides Swampians with more incentive to do their bidding than ours—that there is really no way to use the ballot box to get change in the USA anymore;

4) Trump has put some conservative judges on the bench, possibly countering trends like the incredible Kate Steinle verdict, which basically said it is okay to murder an American citizen who is just walking down the street as long as you fall into an identity politics category that liberals have empathy with, like the category of illegal alien.  

 

In reply to by joeyman9

Cassandra.Hermes Fri, 12/29/2017 - 20:19 Permalink

The president of the United States is not well:

"Virtually every Democrat has said there is no collusion. There is no collusion. And even these committees that have been set up. If you look at what’s going on — and in fact, what it’s done is, it’s really angered the base and made the base stronger. My base is stronger than it’s ever been. Great congressmen, in particular, some of the congressmen have been unbelievable in pointing out what a witch hunt the whole thing is. So, I think it’s been proven that there is no collusion."

D503 Cassandra.Hermes Sat, 12/30/2017 - 01:04 Permalink

Trump is a master of manipulation of cognitive bias. There isn't a single statement he makes that you could hold his feet to the fire on. The issue simply is: you aren't the target audience. Define "virtually." Define "the base." Define "some of the congressmen."

Any response you manifest is speculation. And that is the glory of appealing to undefined language. You determine what is being said based on your emotions, and you are an emotional turd squeezing fuckwit. 

In reply to by Cassandra.Hermes

WTFUD Fri, 12/29/2017 - 20:20 Permalink

Expelled ISIS from Raqqa & Mosul and airlifted them to Jordan, Golan Heights and Afghanistan. 

You may say i'm a dreamer but i'm not the only one . . .

Son of Captain Nemo Fri, 12/29/2017 - 20:22 Permalink

JHFC "Triumphs"?...

Which ones are you speaking of?... Attempting to start a war with Russia in Syria in April with a "59 Tomahawk" salute... Or attempting to use the DPRK as hostage material for the "hard up" loan from Russia and China to get U.S. to the next BIS debt payment?!!!

Son of Captain Nemo Parrotile Fri, 12/29/2017 - 20:45 Permalink

As will the rest of US Par be serving our "last term" should he be successful on behalf of his Israeli "beneficiaries"!... Because of psychopathic treasonous fucker(s)(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZAOyKRWDLHg) like this one that probably died with the worst pain coming from his ass as a "fart" instead of being skinned alive 16 years earlier by the rest of U.S. outside D.C.!

In reply to by Parrotile

I reckon so Fri, 12/29/2017 - 20:22 Permalink

"..... a U.S.-led coalition helped expel ISIS from its twin capitals of Raqqa in Syria and Mosul in Iraq, driving it back into a desert enclave on the Iraq-Syria border. The caliphate is dead, and the caliph nowhere to be found."

Stopped reading right there.

Who writes this garbage?

Why is it on this site?