Military & Political Trends Of 2017 That Will Shape 2018

Via Southfront.org,

2017 presented the world with a number of crises, among which were the continued wars in the Middle Ease and the spread of terrorism, the humanitarian crises in Africa and Asia, the rising military tensions over North Korea’s missile and nuclear programs, and the militarization of both the South China Sea and eastern Europe. Throughout the past year regional and global powers have repeatedly been on the verge of open military conflict, any of which may yet still lead to large regional wars.

In the Middle East the war on ISIS, the Iran nuclear deal, the crisis in Lebanon, and Israeli-Arab tensions took center stage.

By the end of the year, the self-proclaimed caliphate of ISIS had fully collapsed in both Syria and Iraq. Thanks to the efforts of the alliance between Syria, Iran, Russia, and Hezbollah, along with the Iraqi forces and the US-led coalition, this group was driven out from almost all of the areas it had held in the two countries.  ISIS has lost control of such strategic locations as Mosul, al-Qaim, Raqqah, al-Tabqah, Deir Ezzor, al-Mayadin, al-Bukamal, as-Sukhna, Deir Hafer, Maskanah, and al-Resafa.

ISIS, in form of a terrorist state, does not exist more. However, this does not mean that Syria and Iraq will face calm soon. There are still lots of ISIS sleeper cells and former ISIS supporters in these countries, a Syrian al-Qaeda branch (now known as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham) controls Idlib, and the Kurdish-Arab tensions are smoldering in northern Syria and Iraq. These issues cannot be ignored and will become an important part of the post-ISIS standoff in the region.

Now, Russia, the US, Turkey, Iran and Syria are increasing their diplomatic activity in order to find a way, which could allow work to start on developing a final political settlement of the crisis. They all have objective limits to their influence on the ground and some contradictory goals. This complicates the situation, especially amid a lack of strategic vision from the US which, according even to American experts, has no long-term strategy for Syria. The US elites and their Israeli and Saudi counterparts are especially dissatisfied with the strengthened position of Hezbollah and Iran.

Following the defeat of ISIS, the US-led bloc began attempting to use those areas of Syria held by the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces to limit the influence of the Damascus government and its Iranian and Russian allies.

Another flash point in this conflict lies within the province of Idlib, now mostly controlled by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. Within the framework of the agreements reached by Syria, Iran, Russia, and Turkey in the Astana format, a de-escalation zone should now have been established in this area. However, this is hardly possible while Hayat Tahrir al-Sham remains the main powerbroker in this location.

Despite the defeat of ISIS and the partial withdrawal of Russian forces, Syria will remain a battleground in this regional military and geo-political standoff in 2018. Militarily, the Iranian-Russian-Syrian alliance will continue to focus its efforts on reducing the influence of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham in the province of Iblib.  These efforts will include launching a series of limited military operations against Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, and further developing counter-insurgency efforts against ISIS. On the diplomatic stage, the different sides will continue to work on developing a political solution to the crisis.

Meanwhile, the United States finds itself in a complicated situation: on the one hand, it cannot officially accept Assad’s government as a participant in the negotiations, while on the other hand the US has scant leverage to influence the situation. Thus, the White House will try to increase its efforts to divide Syria through supporting the separatist intentions of the Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), as well as the armed ‘opposition’ groups in the region.

The goal of such a strategy is to build a ‘de-facto’ independent entity within Syria. Additionally, the US could make either direct or proxy attempts to assassinate Assad and his inner circle.

Iran will likely further strengthen its influence within Iraq after establishing a land route linking Teheran, Baghdad, Damascus, and Beirut. This so-called ‘Shia Crescent’ will become reality despite stiff opposition from both Israel and its allies. Watch for Washington to play the Kurdish card to counter Iran’s growing influence in both Iraq and Syria.

In addition, the US could also attempt to split the ranks of the Popular Mobilization Units by separating individual groups from the larger organization. Such an action could be done with the use of mass bribes, as was done with some generals of the Iraqi Armed Forces during the Iraq War.

The military victory over ISIS in Syria dramatically escalated tensions between Israel and the Iranian-backed forces of Hezbollah.

At present time, Israel’s top political leadership is in the state of outright hysteria regarding the Lebanese movement.  Senior Israeli officials have repeatedly claimed that Israel will not allow Hezbollah and Iran to concentrate its forces in border areas and to expand their influence in the region, particularly in Syria and Lebanon.

The already difficult situation in southern Lebanon and Syria was further complicated by the series of events, which contributed to the growing tensions in the region in November and early December. It started with a resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri announced from Saudi Arabia on November 7, continued with Saudi accusations of military aggression through missile supplies to Yemen against Iran and rose to a new level on December 6 when US President Donald Trump recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital sparking further escalation. Some experts also said Israel, Saudi Arabia and the US are conspiring to start a new war in the region. In this light, a series of military exercises, including the biggest one “The Light of Dagan”, was described as a part of the preparations for armed aggression against Lebanon.

The recent developments in the Middle East, including the nearing end of the conflict in Syria and the growing influence and military capabilities of Hezbollah, have changed the political situation in Lebanon. Hezbollah units de-facto fulfil functions of the presidential guard. Lebanese special services and the special services of Hezbollah are deeply integrated. Hezbollah’s victories in Syria and humanitarian activities in Lebanon increased the movement’s popularity among people.

Tel Aviv believes that the growing influence of Hezbollah and Iran in the Middle East, particularly in Syria and Lebanon, is a critical challenge to its national security. The key issue is that Israeli military analysts understand that Hezbollah is now much more powerful than it was in 2006. Now, Hezbollah is a strong, experienced, military organization, tens of thousands troops strong, which has the needed forces and facilities to oppose a possible Israeli ground invasion in Lebanon.

Iran has also strengthened its positions in the region over the last ten years. It has reinforced its air defense with the Russian-made S-300 systems, strengthened its armed forces and got combat experience in Syria and other local conflicts. Tehran also strengthened its ideological positions among the Shia and even Sunni population which lives in the region.

Considering these circumstances, initial expert opinions indicate that Israel would decide to participate in a large-scale conflict in Lebanon only in the case of some extraordinary event. However, the growing Arab-Israeli tensions and the tense Israeli-Hezbollah relationship are moving this extraordinary event ever closer.

Nonetheless, Israel will continue local acts of aggression conducting artillery and air strike on positions and infrastructure of Hezbollah in Syria and maybe in Lebanon. Israeli special forces will conduct operations aimed at eliminating top Hezbollah members and destroying the movement’s infrastructure in Lebanon and Syria. Saudi Arabia will likely support these Israeli actions. It is widely known that Riyadh would rather use a proxy and engage in clandestine warfare.

All these took place amid the developing crisis in Saudi Arabia where Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman had launched a large-scale purge among the top officials, influential businesspersons and princes under the pretext of combating corruption. According to the experts, the move is aimed at consolidating the power of the crown prince and his father, King Salman. In general, the kingdom is seeking to shift its vector of development and to become a more secular state. In 5-10 years, it can even abandon Wahhabism as the official ideology. At the same time, Saudi Arabia is involved in an unsuccessful conflict in Yemen and a diplomatic crisis with Qatar. This situation fuels tensions and a competition for resources among the Saudi clans. As a result, the Saudi regime and the Saudi state in general, are now, in a weak position.

These are the key reasons why Saudi Arabia prefers to avoid an open participation in new conflicts. Additionally, there is always a chance, that for example of conflict in Lebanon, the main combat actions could be moved to the Saudi territory.

Russia and Iran are also not interested in this “big new war” as well because such a conflict in the Middle East will pose a direct threat to their national security.

During the coming year we can expect to see both Israel and Saudi Arabia continuing their diplomatic and military efforts to deter Iran and Hezbollah.

Riyadh will continue its efforts to turn Yemen into a puppet state, but is unlike to achieve any notable successes, leaving the Houthis and their missile arsenal as a constant threat to Saudi Arabia.

Israel and Saudi Arabia will also continue their building of a broad anti-Iranian coalition, with the support of the Trump administration, while Israeli forces will continue conducting their limited military operations against Hezbollah targets in Syria and Lebanon. In general, the chances of a new regional conflict will remain high.

In this already unstable environment, the current US policy remains as one of the key destabilizing factors in the region. The recent US recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, as well as the hostility towards the Iranian nuclear deal continue to fuel tensions between the Israeli-Saudi and the Iranian-Hezbollah blocs.

The current US administration continues with America’s consistent pro-Israeli and anti-Iranian policies in the region, inspiring both Israel and Saudi Arabia to embrace more active policies as well.

As a result of this growing US support, the Israeli military stands ready to implement active military responses to any action taken by Hamas, Hezbollah, or any of the other regional players whom Israel considers a threat to its wide range of national interests.

While the odds are low of the Trump administration being able to abort the Iranian nuclear deal, the mere fact that such attempts continue does little to contribute to peace in the region. The fact remains that Washington fuels the new cold war and perhaps even a potential hot war in the Middle East.

We may expect that during the coming year Iran will continue to increase its influence in the region by using the war in Yemen, and its strengthened positions in Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon to counter its opponents. In addition to its military efforts on the ground, Teheran’s main strategic focus will likely be the development of military and economic relations with both China and Russia. During 2018 we may also expect that Iran will pay special attention to the modernization and reformation of its armed forces.

In Egypt, the security situation remains complicated, especially in the North Sinai. Following the defeat of ISIS in Syria and Iraq, remnants of the terrorist group have spread across the region with a number of them arriving in the peninsula. While the Egyptian Army and security forces have conducted a number of operations to eradicate terrorist cells in the area, militant activity remains high there, fueled in part by trafficking to Gaza.

In addition to the remnants of ISIS in the North Sinai, Egypt faces continuing challenges along its border with Libya. Following the NATO intervention in that country in 2011, the Libyan government and social structure have been all but destroyed, with multiple factions battling each other for control over both the trafficking and oil business.

The rapidly developing relations between Russia and Egypt have been overshadowed by the more prominent relationships between Russia and Syria, as well as Russia and Iran. Nevertheless, the Russia-Egypt relationship deserves closer scrutiny because, unlike the country’s relations with the other two Middle Eastern powers, it concerns a country that until recently appeared to be  firmly in Western orbit. The abrupt shift of its geopolitical vector toward Eurasia therefore represents a far bigger change for the region than Russia’s successful support of the legitimate Syrian government, or the close relationship with the Islamic Republic of Iran, both of which have been on the Western “enemies list” for decades. The reasons for this shift are twofold, and have to do with the way Western powers interact with Middle Eastern powers in the context of a systemic economic crisis, as well as with Russia’s demonstrated attractiveness as an ally.

These events have led to strengthening economic ties and military cooperation between both sides. Recent negotiations to build Egypt’s first nuclear plant, as well as those allowing Russian and Egypt joint use of each other’s air space and military bases are perhaps the most noticeable examples of this cooperation.

With recent rumors of Russia establishing a military base on the coast of the Red Sea, in Sudan, it is easy to conclude that Moscow has become an influential power in the region, with some countries now viewing Russia as an attractive alternative to the US. With its rejection of direct cooperation with Moscow, Washington has weakened its own position in the region.

In the coming year Egypt and other regional powers will move further towards a diversification of their foreign policy partners, with regional elites recognizing that the world has become more multipolar and threats and challenges have taken new forms and greater complexity.

Due to the rapidly developing situation in the region and the failed military coup attempt in July, Erdogan’s Turkey has become a reluctant ally of the Syrian-Russian-Iranian alliance in the Syrian war. Examples of this, such as the success of the Astana talks on Syria, the Russian-Turkish S-400 deal, and the Turkish-Iranian-Iraqi cooperation to counter the formation of an independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq by the Kurdistan Regional Government showcase this changed geo-political landscape.

During 2018, Turkey will remain a key player in the ongoing Syrian crisis, and an ally (if a reluctant one) of the Iranian-Russian-Syrian alliance in the region. Ankara has few options remaining aside from developing its coordination with this bloc.

The current US foreign policy towards northern Syria and Iraq is frankly incoherent, with Turkey (being a NATO member and the most powerful US partner in the Eastern Mediterranean), no longer considering the US as a reliable ally in its strategic planning.

The diplomatic crisis over Qatar, which began in June after Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, and Egypt severed diplomatic relations and imposed sanctions upon the country is yet another development leading to the current balance of power in the region.

The crisis represents the most severe conflict among Gulf Arab states since the end of the Cold War. While these oil-rich, autocratic OPEC members have historically been at the most allies of convenience united by common fears (USSR, Saddam Hussein, Iran, etc.), their mutual mistrust has arguably never escalated to the point of demanding to what amounts to a complete surrender by one of its members.

However, the recent Saudi-led attempts to force Qatar to obey Saudi interests in the region have pushed Doha into the arms of Turkey, Iran, and Russia.

In 2018, the main goal of Qatar will be to normalize relations with the Saudi-led bloc while simultaneously avoiding being forced into making significant concessions to this bloc’s members. Qatari cooperation with Turkey, Iran, and Russia will be a useful card to play in this case. Qatari elites may also search for opportunities to influence internal relations within the Saudi elites.

Throughout 2017, US-Russian diplomatic relations continued to deteriorate with both sides using increasingly strident rhetoric and imposing various measures against each other. Initial hopes and expectations that the election of Donald Trump to the presidency would lead to a détente between the two powers were quickly dashed.

The Trump administration sacrificed its promises to normalize relations with Moscow, and to cooperate more fully in counter-terrorism actions in an attempt to gain a temporary softening of the pressures imposed by its own domestic political opponents. Unfortunately, this attempt to placate this internal  opposition gained nothing for Trump and his administration, and succeeded only in escalating the continued media and diplomatic standoff with Russia.

This internal opposition, which some may describe as the American Deep State, cares little about the true intentions of Trump and his supporters, and continues to keep playing the so-called ‘Russia Card’ as a means of further limiting the freedom of action of the new US president.

US society has become further polarized by racial, ethnic, and political divisions and opposing sides are unlikely to resolve this conflict through negotiation.

Racial and cultural divisions, always present in American society, were further inflamed by the liberal, Clinton camp’s attempts to create discord by playing the race card and demonizing the leaders of the Confederate States. At the same time, a large part of American society has become disappointed with Trump’s domestic and foreign policies, and has become disillusioned with his seeming inability to overcome the resistance of the Deep State.

In 2018 we can expect to see further deterioration in relations between the US and Russia, with both sides remaining involved in a number of crises around the world. The defeat of ISIS will add to the geo-political standoff in the Middle East, while in Ukraine both nations will support opposing sides, with little chances of finding common ground. Another critical factor that will make its appearance in the coming year is the Russian 2018 presidential election and the strong intention of US elites to intervene in Russian internal policy, with the risk of pushing a new Cold War past the brink.

The Latin American situation remains unstable and complicated, with Venezuela remaining as a center of uncertainty. In 2018, the Venezuelan president will struggle to retain power in the midst of continued turmoil in his country.

Unsettling processes are also evident in Russia, which faces ongoing economic problems caused by the increasing pressure of Western imposed sanctions. Russian power elites, allied with foreign powers, have benefited from this situation, and have strengthened their influence. Generally, the Russian state has shown a relatively low degree of economic effectiveness, only partly compensated by its foreign policy successes. These factors can and will complicate Russia’s internal political situation during the upcoming 2018 presidential election.

Ukraine still remains the key flash point in Europe.  The Kiev government, strongly influenced by various radical groups, is unlikely to abide by the terms of the Minsk agreements, as it views Minsk as surrender. Prominent Ukrainian political figures publically admit that these agreements were a trick, meant only to buy time in order to prepare for a military solution to this crisis in the eastern part of the country.

The leadership of the Donetsk and People’s Republics clearly understand this, and have further strengthened their ties to Russia in order to prevent a future attempt by the Kiev government to re-integrate this territory.

The regime in Kiev remains in a very complicated political and economic situation, having been all but abandoned by its US and EU handlers. In an attempt to retain control over their country, the current Ukrainian government will likely try to escalate the situation in Donbass in an attempt to gain more economic, political, and perhaps even military support from the West.

Meanwhile, Washington and Brussels are considering alternatives to President Poroshenko and his government, one of whom is Mikhail Saakashvili, the disgraced former president of Georgia. At this time, the odds of Saakashvili gaining power in 2018 remain high. If he were to gain power it is likely that he would attempt to improve Ukrainian internal and economic policies to strengthen the state and to obtain additional Western support.

It is doubtful that Saakashvili would be able to pursue this attempt to stabilize the country for any length of time, due to his erratic personality. After he realizes the military and economic potentials still possessed by the nation, he would likely attempt a military operation against the self-proclaimed republics of eastern Ukraine and the Russian military forces in Crimea, much as he did in Georgia in 2008. Such a move would likely lead to a large regional conflict in 2019.

In the European Union, we can observe the continued decline of the institutions of the European bureaucracy. Crises such as those we see in Catalonia, as well as the inability of the European leadership to successfully deal with the migration flow from North Africa and the Middle East are clear signs of this continuing decay. In an attempt to control these problems, the EU has intensified attempts to develop a joint security system and to lay the foundation for the creation of a European army. These efforts, however, could come too late.

If the EU is unable to find a way to consolidate its member states in 2018, we can expect to witness further fragmentation in the future.

In Central and Southeastern Asia, the key security problems continue to be militancy and the spread of terrorism. The US and its NATO partners remain unable to deal with the Taliban in Afghanistan – some experts believe that the Taliban is slowly reaching a level of influence in the region which could lead to its recognition as a rightful party in any negotiations involving the US-led bloc. Currently, in some parts of the country, the Taliban even conducts operations against ISIS in order to prevent this group from spreading further.

The historical instability seen on the Pakistani-Indian and the Indian-Chinese borders have long been factors contributing to the general instability in this region. However, all sides have been successful, so far, in avoiding open military conflicts.

In the Philippines, an attempt by ISIS to establish its rule on the island of Mindanao was defeated by the government, who also purged militants who had seized control in the city of Marawi. The ISIS threat has been successfully countered in this nation, at least for the time being.

In 2018, terrorism will remain the key threat for Central and Southeastern Asia. Expect the Taliban to expand its influence further in Afghanistan, as ISIS continues its attempts to establish a larger foothold in the region. Pakistani-Indian and Chinese-Indian tensions will likely remain within the spheres of diplomatic and economic competition, barring any extraordinary and destabilizing events. An additional and notable threat to the stability of the region is the continued flight of ISIS members from Syria and Iraq into Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.

China has continued its expansion in the Asian Pacific by turning the South China Sea into an anti-access and area-denial zone controlled by the Chinese military through a network of artificial islands. In addition, Beijing has also expanded its maritime, airlift, and amphibious capabilities, and is actively working to shift the balance of power in the Pacific, a region which it describes as lying within its sphere of influence, through its naval power dominance in the area.

In diplomatic and economic terms, China continues to follow a finely balanced foreign policy, while providing a slight diplomatic support to Russia. This calibrated approach allows Beijing to contest US dominance in some regions, most obviously in the Middle East, while avoiding an open confrontation with its main economic partner.

In addition to the tensions in the South China Sea, North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs have been the center of attention within the international community. North Korea has recently conducted another nuclear test, and has tested an intercontinental ballistic missile, which it claims has the range to reach any target within the mainland United States. Despite the war-like rhetoric of the Trump administration and the imposition of additional sanctions, no progress has been made toward a peaceful resolution, with North Korea only accelerating its efforts to become a fully-fledged nuclear power. In the near future, this situation may pass a turning point, when the US is left with no military options in its conflict with North Korea, and negotiations remain the only solution. Should this situation come about, it will be a blow to both the image of the US as the self-proclaimed world’s policeman, and to the mechanisms of nuclear non-proliferation.

In 2018, China will continue to strengthen its military and diplomatic positions in the region, and become a regional superpower, and well on its way to global dominance as it competes with the US. North Korea will likely continue developing its nuclear and missile programs, and if the US does not invade, which is unlikely, become a fully-fledged nuclear state.

As 2017 comes to a close, it becomes evident that this year, has been a difficult one, for all of mankind. The world trembled over new threats of large-scale regional conflicts and over potential use of the weapons of mass destruction. The year brought considerable escalations between key global players, which created real risks of direct confrontation.

At the same time, 2017 can be coined as the year, when the threat known as ISIS, a proxy terrorist state, was eliminated. It was the year when global powers were compelled to compromise under the most stringent conditions and amid multiple conflicts. International players, capable of rigorous logic and in-depth analysis, will extricate valuable lessons from 2017, which can help make the world safer.

However, experience shows that emotions, poise and ill-conceived projects often triumph over common sense. The result, is a breakdown of pragmatic and balanced approaches of traditional diplomacy. Rudeness and incivility are becoming more common within the spheres of international organizations and in bilateral relations. Ambitions of small elite-based groups force countries and nations, to adopt models of behavior which clearly contradict their interests.

Unfortunately, all of this precludes a bright prognosis for 2018. The world will not become safer. Relationships between major global powers will remain strained at best. Likely, they will deteriorate. The number of small-scale regional conflicts will not decrease. The use of weapons of mass destruction  will remain a real threat within the framework of regional conflicts. Levels of terrorist activity may rise. One can only hope, that this combination of threats and provocations, will lead to a re-assessment of reality and force de-escalation in the subsequent years.

Comments

Escrava Isaura runswithscissors Dec 31, 2017 2:03 AM Permalink

Australian Military & Political Trends Of 2017 That Will Shape 2018………..For Dummies

When I asked Pentagon officials about the nature of war in the twenty-first century, the answer I frequently got was: Read Martin van Creveld of Hebrew University in Jerusalem. Not because these top brass are enamored of this historian or not because his writing justify their existence but, rather, the opposite: Van Creveld warns them that huge state military machines like Pentagon’s are dinosaurs about to go extinct, and that something far more terrible awaits us” — The Coming Anarchy

http://www.amazon.com/The-Coming-Anarchy-Shattering-Dreams/dp/037570759X/ref=pd_ybh_7

 

So, try timing the coming industrial and capitalism collapse is stupid. What the military ‘humanity’ faces is unprecedented.

 

Try understanding the human mistakes that brought us here. That’s much more telling. And interesting than predictions.  

 

In reply to by runswithscissors

Bopper09 Dec 30, 2017 10:53 PM Permalink

The moneychangers need a war, so people don't figure out it was them that destroyed everything financially.  Creation through destruction.

new game Bopper09 Dec 31, 2017 7:54 AM Permalink

on deck:iran turmoil, both internal and external. the new boogie man created by dc/neoCONS/zion-msm. funded by the fed/london/rothchild dynasty. IS spreads it terror around the globe as blowback. welcome to unlimited fiat to bring forward an epic waste of resources to further the demise of humanity. meanwhile NK throws a tantrum as trump melts down with no choice but to back down as china asserts itself as the dominate player...

oh what a wonderfull world we live in...

In reply to by Bopper09

Cabreado Dec 30, 2017 10:58 PM Permalink

All bets are off, other than further-entrenched and frantically disguised chaos...

that fed by the dynamic of Control + an enabling entitlement and idiocy of the People.

There are fewer and fewer escaping complicity...

Happy New Year.

 

BobEore Dec 30, 2017 11:07 PM Permalink

"During 2018"... 

Fake news mediaz... of all descriptions... will face steadily increasing opposition - to their monopolization of all communications channels.... from a small, smiling crew of ol skool 'neo-journalists' with a mission to Make 'All kabbalist-talmudist majic'... GO WAY AGAIN!

During 2018, Turkey will remain a key player in the ongoing Syrian crisis, and an ally (if a reluctant one) of the Iranian-Russian-Syrian alliance in the region. Ankara has few options remaining aside from developing its coordination with this bloc.

Folded into the emergent(but hidden to the eyes of a sightless n complicit media mafiya)Russo-talmudic mafiya alliance via the JUNE 2016 'REAL COUP' ... the pseudo-islamist jihadi regime in Ankara has NO options other than to continue following instructions from it's joint telaviv/moscuvite masters... which.. tho sometimes confusingly contradictory, in the end mean simply.... more fake wars in more places for more lucre in the pockets o pharisees!

Examples of this, such as the success of the Astana talks on Syria, the Russian-Turkish S-400 deal, and the Turkish-Iranian-Iraqi cooperation to counter the formation of an independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq by the Kurdistan Regional Government showcase this changed geo-political landscape.

The totally 'unchanged' "geopolitical landscape" will continue to reflect the many machinations of a Russo-talmudic mafiya 'superpower' with designs of becoming the sole master of the muddled east... rolling Turks, Iraqis and Iranians ... not to mention Saudis and a raft of other satrapies of the $power... into it's ready to roll URASSIAN energy cartel... the  'final nail in the coffin' for an energy dependent west waiting for the final ride in the tumbrils.

During the coming year we can expect to see both Israel and Saudi Arabia continuing their diplomatic and military efforts to deter Iran and Hezbollah..

This so-called ‘Shia Crescent’ will become reality despite stiff opposition from both Israel and its allies. Watch for Washington to play the Kurdish card to counter Iran’s growing influence in both Iraq and Syri ...

yabba yabba,,,

and we will watch in live time as the wheels fall offa the 'shia crescent' and other canards by which tards convince themselves that all is still ok with merikan exceptionalist suicidialism...  Srael fakes out another generation of fake news punditry...

and Bobees' BLACK FLAG POSSE rides ride into HELMS' DEEP to save the day for ...JOURNALISM... free PEEPLES OF THE MUDDLED EARTH... and a whole lotta sock puppets puke to death in fear n terror of the really real deal!

now back... to your feed stations and targeting victim sock puppets!

WorkingClassMan BobEore Dec 30, 2017 11:34 PM Permalink

All I know is that the Russians and Iranians are against Isn'treal and the JewS.  And they foiled the JewS and Isn'treal in Syria...which did more to weaken the beast than any alternative you might know--which you certainly haven't shared with us.

Oh, yeah, and if Russia and China and Iran and Hezbollah are good enough for  Popular Association-Golden Dawn, they're good enough for me.  That's the seal of approval for me.  Period.  All else is error.

In reply to by BobEore

BobEore WorkingClassMan Dec 31, 2017 1:37 AM Permalink

Err... if it is not too uch trouble... would you mind establishing for us how 'you know'..

the Russians and Iranians are against Isn'treal and the JewS

so as we can 'know' dat two? Just in case your secret knowledge TUMBLES ... err... what

" you might know--which you certainly have indeed shared with us."?

Which can be loosely summarized as ... a regular and successive stream of  empirically-baed reportage emanating from the center of the action... that details the manner in which the influence of talmudici-kabbalist ...ummm JewS(if your like!)of ummmm..."russIAN" origin... has been applied to a variety of the states in the err... |muddled east|... in order to turn them into satrapies of that same $power which that identical group of err... Russo-talmudic "JewS" and their criminal cabals stateside and world-wide... is the executive actor of ...

in their quest to imprison us all in a 'new world ordure' of neo-feudal nature.

HOWEVER... just in case you were visiting your home planet during the two year interval in which those stories came to light... I see no reason not to allow you the opportunity to catch up! I recommend in particular

Gold for Oil - Oil for Blood: Part Nine - Return to Babylon

Slaying MINOTAURS & Other MONSTROUS CREATIONS of the Kabbalistic Kind

as places to start...

in removing from your consciousness as remaining illusions about the entities which have inveigled you into a naive and trusting belief in the intentions of.

In fact, part of this [very talmudic] system's method of maintaining itself - of summonsing up the food stocks it relies upon - is to encourage it's citizen/victims in their belief that they can and do "rebel" against that same system. In creating and adhering to their vague strategies of "rebellion" in the approved manner, the Occidental intellectual mimes actual resistance without achieving any effectual resistance whatsoever. Seemingly unaware that they are but performing one role in a script written to give parts to each and every participant in the West's dissolution and suicide, the supremely arrogant yet blind "rebel" makes a place for themselves in the queue waiting to enter the abattoir run by those who I have referred to as the vivisectionists of the soul, while sneering at the unenlightened and unhip, who must enter the same lineup, but don't get the "Spandex Jackets" which are supplied to the "Beautiful Losers" of the cutting edge of goy consciousness. /from "Slaying Minotaurs"

 

In reply to by WorkingClassMan

BobEore house biscuit Dec 31, 2017 10:52 AM Permalink

Thinkin like a scrub agin, Biscuit Boy.

U've shown some signs of promise in the past, c'mon over here, let's work on your tactical awareness of how the game flows. In my day...we learned how to play on a frozen lake... no rink, no dressing room, no bench.

And no warning... of the soft spots where the crick currents made for a one way trip southbound. You gotta get a sense of that... where the ice is thin... and your opponents defenses thinner!

ROI>??? lol; My lil tractor is pickin up hps every week here. See those guys cowering over there, fraid to even step on the ice... jus bangin their sticks on the scoreboard and making groanin noises? They were the big shots hereabouts, no long ago. They see me lace on the blades now... and suddenly they got other places to be!

You see all those faces up in the stands son? That's our audience. They don't 'sign in'... do up comments, talk in loud n boisterous voices; they just come out to watch us play. There's a few dozen poseurs here pretending to be sharpshooters.... circle jerkin each other...

and an audience of thousands waiting for some action in the boards. That's where we come in son. A few winters in the woods with the fourleggers, haulin out timber, u don't have to fear much from tuff talkers and high stick artists. You just wait for them to come to you.

See how it works now? Don't be fooled by all the chatter. Those scrubs are gettin killed here daily. They know it, I know it... and the silent reader does to. Now... you ready to lace up and shoot some pucks...

or you wanna go back over there and join the phuck ups? Suit yurself son.

l'll be skatin circles round yas either way!

he he heh...\BeO/

In reply to by house biscuit

BobEore fel.temp.reparatio Dec 31, 2017 5:47 AM Permalink

Ho ho ho...

yur startling lack of awareness of the cultural context in which the returning veteran of the zh culture wars long before yur short pants period o time here.. chose his next moniker...xactly two years ago... a

 reference indeed to heroes of the bygone days of HAWKS/BRUINS/ and other vestigial fauna of the GREAT DAYS OF SPORT...

before yur grryly man epoch of knee bendin... stool pushin tranny mud wrastlin ...

betrays yu as another retarded and retreaded eastern european passport refugee washed up here as a pathetic sock puppet in service to those dually-paspsorted citizens of a foreign power who wouldn't know a hockey puck from a horse hookey, or hookah pipe///

whom the GREATEST DEFENSIVE/OFFENSIVE PLAYER EVER ... woulda hit jus once behind nets...

and left seenin stars... fo'ver.

Now hit yur buttons... then hit the showers, Asshat. Back to Hershey fo yu!

 

 

In reply to by fel.temp.reparatio

canisdirus BobEore Dec 31, 2017 10:29 AM Permalink

The turning point here was mid-2016 when we were listed as “fake news” by some idiot during campaign season. The account that I use now precedes that date by only a few months.

Many of us left after the site changed from their old focus and before the leftist teams attacked...

In reply to by BobEore

fel.temp.reparatio BobEore Dec 31, 2017 1:31 PM Permalink

you assume so much old son, but do keep fighting your 'culture wars' for it seems to fulfil that insatiable hunger you yourself have created for you and you alone, like so many men whose swan song is done yet their needle is left stuck in the last groove to go round and round - the self righteous are always right, but rest assured i cannot be browbeaten to conform to your point of view

linking 2 writings in another post to substantiate your position, both on storify, both written by the same nom de plume, both without merit, reason or justification and both less than 180 reads - all things being equal, if you are the author of said works then you create a logical fallacy, the circular argument

as per the articles, you have fallen victim to your own mind control, you have created your own prison albeit one without bars, via the illusion called nationalism and patriotism - the universe in and of itself is benevolent, it is man who created the gods and the demons, heaven and hell, evil and good all via electro-chemical reactions in their own minds, the same minds that continue to create difference in all things

yes you are sadly mistaken old son, i don't subscribe to the concept of race, religion, not even a cause, neither a leader nor a follower am i, nor do i partake in activities that promote rivalry for all is transient...and i am merely in transit, insignificant in all things human and that's where i reside - i care not for the ways of men in all reality, i have no emotional stake in the outcome...i am a survivor and that makes me a witness, a witness to events that man creates by will

i don't watch tv, don't read books or listen to the radio - i am my own movie, my own book, i do not broadcast for the consumption of the many...i do not deal in generalities but address individuals, and so you sir are most certainly a jackass

In reply to by BobEore

MK ULTRA Alpha Dec 30, 2017 11:20 PM Permalink

Didn't Obama help Hezbollah move cocaine into the US? Then after successful supporting Hezbollah's cocaine operation made it even easier by ordering the border open as in Open Borders. Then without consulting  congress transfers an enormous amount of money to Iran. Obama always didn't follow the constitution in regards to congress. Now the federal government has a mind of it's own and doesn't answer to anyone. So who is worse, all this shit to do with Israel or the Federal government not answering to the people. Looks to me like the Jews/Bush II axis created a dictatorship and Obama got a hold of the system and did us in. All of the Syria crap couldn't have been possible without Obama and don't forget Murdering Bitch Clinton.   

OverTheHedge RightLineBacker Dec 31, 2017 1:24 AM Permalink

You are SO right: every day, in every way, things are getting better and better!

Just look at Bitcoin. And stocks, and EVERYTHING!

Here are my predictions for 2018:

Putin loses in a landslide win to some random Jewish oligarchy candidate. Russia withdraws from Crimea, and Ukraine reunifies.

Spontaneous mass-conversions see all Shia Muslims admitting their apostasy and embracing the Sunni beliefs. A pan-muslim superstate is created, run directly from Langley, for the good of the children.

Kim Jung whichever he is spontaneously combusts after an excess of imported Swiss cheese. US companies win extensive contracts to rebuild Pyong Yang, which was completely destroyed in the blast The newly liberated population take to the streets to demand their right to donate organs to Israeli organ banks.

Australians continue to live upside down, but much charity work is done to alleviate the symptoms.

On a more positive note, a cat will be rescued from a tree in Omaha, Nebraska. The cat remains puzzled over why it was dragged from its bird-hunt, but fire and rescue services are healed with praise anyway. Jade Helm 2018 is expanded to include possible infiltration by russian cats.

In reply to by RightLineBacker

AurorusBorealus Dec 31, 2017 5:18 AM Permalink

This is a good article. Well balanced and impartial.  One thing that is clear from the global geo-strategic situation at the moment is how horribly the U.S. has mismanaged its foreign affairs since the Second World War, but especially since the fall of the Soviet Union.  The U.S. created a rival power in China, while simultaneously undermining its own economy and the entire global economic system, so that a few Wall-Street CEOs and investment bankers could make outrageous profits.  Then the U.S. carried on the Cold War for no good reason whatsoever and forced Russia into a strange alliance with Communist China, allowing Russia to hold out the promise of a Eurasian economic bloc. 

Then, to support the petrodollar in the face of massive trade deficits and federal budget deficits, the U.S. began supporting Wahabbi international terrorism to suppress the rival power it created in Iran by continuous meddling in that nation's politics.  Then the U.S. invaded Iraq for no good reason whatsoever and handed control of that nation to Iran.  To counter their blunder in Iraq and prevent Iran from gaining control of the entire northern Middle East, the U.S. provided additional support for terrorists in an attempt to overthrow the Syrian regime, which failed, alienated Turkey, and made Russia into the primary power in the Middle East, allowing Russia to forge an improbable alliance of Turks, Persians, Egyptians, and Shia Arabs: all bent on the destruction of the Saudi monarchy and Israel.

In the process of using terrorists to try to overthrow the Syrian regime and overthrowing the regime in Libya, the U.S. created a massive refugee crisis of Muslim fanatics and rapists entering Europe.  This crisis is now on the verge of tearing Europe apart.  In an attempt to erase all of these blunders, the U.S. deep-state has now came up with the Russian hacking slogan, in which Russian computer hackers are blamed for everything imaginable.  Only a delusional drunk or a CIA-idiot could invent stuff.

Trump's supporters could care less about any of this.  These idiots think that a wall on the Mexican border is somehow going to restore a nation that has lost all of its industry to China and is bankrupt from spending a trillion dollars of debt each year to buy overpriced junk for a military that refuses to take any casualties, cannot hold any ground, and has been unable to defeat a few mountain goat-herders with rifles after 14 years of dropping million dollar bombs on their pastures.  Trump himself has turned the nation over to a military junta, communicates by tweeting juvenile rants, and has done nothing to reign in the rogue intelligence agencies and the deep-state that have caused all of these problems.  Happy New Year.