Did China Just Burst the Everything Bubble?

The biggest news today comes from China, which has announced it will “slow or halt" US Treasury purchases.

This is the so-called NUCLEAR option: the threat by China to stop buying US debt. And it’s an absolute game-changer.

Yields on the 10-Year Treasury spiked on the news as investors dumped Treasuries.

Yields

Source: Blooomberg

This could very well be what bursts the EVERYTHING Bubble.

As I explained in detail in by bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, the Fed dealt with the 2008 meltdown by intentionally created a bubble in US Treasuries.

This was a continuation of the Fed's policy every since the US reached the point of debt saturation in the late '90s. From this point onwards, the Fed's #1 priority was maintaining the debt bubble and avoiding debt deflation.

Debt vs GDP in the US

This has resulted in the Fed intentionally creating asset bubbles to deal with each crisis.

In the late '90s we had a bubble in Tech stocks, called the Tech bubble.

When this bubble burst, the Fed intentionally created another bubble in housing/real estate.

This represented a move up the asset class "food chain." Real estate is a far less liquid, far more senior/systemic asset class for the US financial system.

That Housing Bubble burst in 2008. And so the Fed intentionally created yet another asset bubble, this time in US Treasuries (via ZIRP and QE). 

And because these bonds represent the “risk-free” rate of return for the US financial system, when the Fed did this, it created a bubble in EVERYTHING (including stocks).

And now that China is threatening to dump US Treasuries, this could be what bursts the Everything Bubble.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before disaster hits.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s in terms of Fed Policy when The Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Comments

Eric Masters Jan 10, 2018 5:09 PM Permalink

ffs china didnt "threaten" to do anything; what pboc is doing is in line exactly with what other central banks are doing; doom and gloom shit is so stupid and old and creaky now....

Mirv Jan 10, 2018 5:31 PM Permalink

This advertisement wants you to assume that a market exists for treasury bonds and wants you to believe that this  "market" (ie., with price discovery, objective buyers and sellers, no govt. interference or racketeering) will blow up because someone might stop buying something. 

But there is no market here and the advertiser's logic is wrong. 

When the Chinese or anyone else stops buying, the bankers who contrive this "market" merely print more money to pay off the existing coupons as they mature and convert more of America into their own pockets via their legal entities.  This only takes a few key strokes and fixes the problem by kicking the can one more time down the road.  The more important issue is that people believe this nonsense while ownership of their world slowly is legally transferred from the many to the few. We are witnessing the creation of an American neofeudal society.  See Charles Hugh Smith of www.oftwominds.com 

ReturnOfDaMac Jan 10, 2018 7:14 PM Permalink

Fake news.  Besides, if the US Treas bubble "bursts", nothing else on this planet will really matter.  It will quite literally be the end of everything, and there is no preparation for THAT!

Osmium Jan 10, 2018 8:57 PM Permalink

Did China Just Burst the Everything Bubble?

No.

China has threatened to stop buying Treasuries. What's next?

New all time highs in the major indexes!!