"No Deal" - Government Shutdown Begins

Update 12:03am ET: The shutdown has brgun.

Per Reuters, the White House says it will reopen negotiations on immigration reform 'when the Democrats start paying our armed forces and first responders'.

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Update 10pm ET:

*SENATE LACKS VOTES TO ADVANCE STOPGAP PLAN AS SHUTDOWN LOOMS

The New York Times headline summed things up well: Senate Democrats Kill Bill to Keep Government Open Past Midnight

Despite last minute 'compromise' meetings, and continued "hopes" from various sides, The Senate failed to reach the 60 votes necessary to keep the government funded (even for a stopgap) and so, as of midnight tonight, the government will shut down.

 

 

John Cornyn, the second-ranking Senate Republican, said the two parties haven’t yet found an agreement that would provide short-term funding for the government with a little more than two hours before the deadline.

“No deal,” Cornyn said as the Senate prepared to take up a House-passed funding bill that Democrats have the votes to block.

A group of lawmakers has been working on a plan for a three-week funding bill that would give Democrats and Republicans time to negotiate a long-term compromise on immigration, the chief sticking point in the spending fight.

CNN's Phil Mattingly explained on air: "Democrats aren't looking for a reduction in time in the continuing resolution, they're looking for substantive policy, commitments, changes or actual legislative text before they are willing to come on board with that."

This is what America will wake up to...

https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/20180119_shut3.jpg

This is the 19th US government shutdown in the last 40 years...

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President Trump tweeted before the vote:

 

 

While the blame-scaping may have begun days ago, tonight has already seen a full court press of finger-pointing.

Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) blasted Congress on Friday as a government funding deadline approached, slamming the government as being “run by idiots.”

"Our country was founded by geniuses, but it's being run by idiots," Kennedy told reporters hours before the government was set to enter a shutdown.

Lindsey Graham issued a statement suggesting a three-week compromise CR to Feb 8th:

 

 

The White House has estimated 1056 staff will be furloughed during the shutdown.

EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Updated Contingency Plan For Shutdown Furlough

A. Summary of Contingency Plan

Should Congress not pass a Fiscal Year 2018 ("FY2018") appropriation or continuing resolution ("CR") by January 19, 2018, the Executive Office of the President ("EOP") would be without authority to incur any financial obligations in FY2018, with very limited exceptions, and would therefore implement a contingency plan for shutdown furlough (the "Contingency Plan"). The Contingency Plan entails placing an estimated I 056 ofthe 1715 EOP staff in furlough status ("Non-Excepted Staff'), while an estimated 659 EOP staff would continue to report to duty because they are (i) designated as excepted to perform emergency or excepted functions; (ii) Presidentially Appointed, Senate Confirmed staff; (iii) otherwise exempt from the Anti-deficiency Act; (iv) alternatively funded during a government shutdown (collectively, the "Excepted Staff'). Any EOP personnel that are other government employees ("OGEs" or "Detailees") would be furloughed or continue to report to duty at the discretion of their respective home agencies.

B. Implementation of Contingency Plan

Once it becomes clear that neither an appropriations bill nor a CR will be enacted prior to January 19, 2018, the White House Office of Management & Administration ("M&A") will notify EOP components to begin an orderly shutdown of unfunded functions. Non-Excepted Staff will receive shutdown and furlough notices. Detailees will be notified by their home agencies whether they are to be furloughed.

On Monday, January 22, 2018, Excepted Staff will report to duty. Non-Excepted Staff will also report on January 22, 2018, either in person or via telework for no longer than four hours and for the sole purpose of engaging in orderly shutdown activities. Each EOP component will issue instructions to their employees for orderly shutdown.

C. Specifics of EOP Component Contingency Plan

Each EOP component has carefully considered the number of personnel required not only to complete orderly shutdown activities but also to ensure that the emergency or excepted operations of each EOP component can be carried out during shutdown. The chart below summarizes component-by-component the Excepted Staff that will be required to sustain minimal emergency or excepted operations.

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Federal employees will work without pay:

https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/20180119_shut4.jpg

The question is - will government ever re-open? As Trump tweeted earlier, the Democrats want to shutdown to dim the success of the tax cuts; and as Goldman noted earlier, for every week of government shutdown, GDP growth will drop 0.2ppt.

CNN is reporting that House Democrats plan a 10am meeting tomorrow to discuss a stopgap bill.

The battle of the hashtags has begun - #RepublicanShutdown, #TrumpShutdown, or #SchumerShutdown.

All of which distract from the only hashtag that really matters currently - #ReleaseTheMemo.

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Update (6:20 pm ET): Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp says she will vote for a 5-day stopgap plan being hashed out by a group of senate Republicans. While Mulvaney has expressed optimism that a deal will be reached within the next 24 hours, Mark Meadows, leader of the House Freedom Caucus of conservative Republicans, said the 5-day agreement is a nonstarter - Which an administration insider confirmed.

Heitkamp represents North Dakota - a state where Trump won more than 60% of the vote in 2016 - and will be running for re-election in November. Her seat is viewed as vulnerable by some Republicans.

According to the Washington Post, Heitkamp also supported the Republican plan for a one-month extension, as did Indiana's Joe Donnelly and West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin III. All three senators face a difficult path to reelection in heavily Republican states.

Meanwhile, Mitch McConnell announced on the Senate floor that a procedural vote on the troubled 4-week extension has been scheduled for for 10 pm ET. Senate Democrats will meet at 8:30 pm ET.

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Update (5:40 pm ET): OBM Director Mick Mulvaney says he "thinks there'll be a deal in the next 24 hours."

Meanwhile, a White House aide said a proposed 5-day bill is a non-starter - echoing sentiments expressed by Freedom Caucus head Mark Meadows.

* * *

Update (5:20 pm ET): Trump tweeted that he had an "excellent" meeting with Schumer, and that he's working with both Democratic leaders, as well as Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell to hammer out a four-week extension.

 

 

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Update (2:40 pm ET): Schumer has left the White House meeting with Trump...

He confirmed to reporters that "some progress" has been made, but that a deal has not yet been reached and "disagreements on several issues remain."

 

Nancy Pelosi says she believes a deal is "within reach."

 

 

 

 

Steny Hoyer appears to agree:

 

Citing an anonymous source at the White House, ABC is reporting that talks will continue..

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Update (2 pm ET): House Rules Committee Chairman Pete Sessions said the House will vote again tonight if Trump and Schumer manage to work out a separate deal.

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Update: There is still no vote scheduled for the Senate, but that didn't stop John Cornyn, the Republican No. 2 in the upper chamber, from telling reporters that he expects a vote to be held "after lunch."

Meanwhile, Mark Meadows, leader of the House Freedom Caucus, said he understands a proposal for a five-day short-term fix has been rejected by the House.

According to the latest headline from the New York Times, Trump has invited Democratic leader Chuck Schumer to the White House t try and hammer out a last-minute deal.

Schumer has reportedly accepted, and is on his way to the White House to meet with Trump, who is addressing a crowd of supporters at the March for Life from the Rose Garden.

Fox News is reporting that Schumer has arrived at the White House.

 

 

Despite all of this, markets haven't shown much of a reaction...

 

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Update: Hardly a surprise, Mulvaney and Short arrived more than a half hour late, then proceeded to blast Democrats as obstructionists for trying to force a shutdown.

They even have a name for it: "The Schumer Shutdown".

“This is an attempt by democrats led by Schumer - that’s why we’re calling it the Schumer shutdown - to embarrass the president,” Mulvaney said.

“They don’t oppose anything in there. They support chip they don’t want the cadillac tax to go into place they’ve always supported clean CRs. And again, it worked in the House - there were several Democrats who voted for it,” Mulvaney.

DACA doesn’t expire until March 5 - and therefore, doesn’t need to be dealt with until mid-February, Mulvaney said.

Unlike the last shutdown in 2013, federal parks will be open, Mulvaney said. But all federal employees will be working for nothing (that is, until their back pay is approved by Congress). The military, TSA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will also go to work, but they will not be paid.

As of now, it looks like the federal government expects the shutdown to happen - though Mulvaney said their version of the shutdown would be more "moderate" than the previous shutdown, which happened during the Obama years. Mulvaney accused the Obama administration of "weaponizing" the shutdown by ensuring that virtually all federal employees didn't show up for work. 

While Mulvaney and Short were answering questions from the media, President Trump chimed in on twitter, chiding Democrats for opposing the bill. Trump blasted California Sen. Dianne Feinstein, tweeting a quote from her in the Washington Examiner: "Shutting down the government is a very serious thing...People die, accidents happen. I don't know how I would vote right now on a CR, OK?"

 

 

 

* * *

With the one-month stopgap spending bill stalled in the Senate, the White House is finally accepting the fact that there's little it can do to prevent the government from shutting down at midnight on Friday.

Trump has promised to remain in Washington - postponing a weekend trip to Mar-a-Lago - until the shutdown is averted or ended, and in order to keep the media apprised of what's about the happen, the White House is holding a press conference at 10:30 am ET.

Watch it live below:

The press conference will feature White House Legislative Director Marc Short and OMB Director Mick Mulvaney, who only minutes ago warned that the odds of a shutdown were "50-50" - another way of saying "we have no idea what's going to happen."

According to the Hill, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell adjourned the Senate until 11 a.m. Friday without scheduling a vote on the House measure, giving lawmakers just 13 hours to reach a deal to avert a shutdown. McConnell has vowed to keep the Senate in session until an agreement is reached. Democrats are digging in their heels, demanding that they receive some concessions on DACA, opioids and funding for Puerto Rico before assenting to another short-term spending bill.

One thing's for certain: Don't expect the steady stream of headlines to abate until late tonight...

 

Comments

Endgame Napoleon JRobby Fri, 01/19/2018 - 13:37 Permalink

Boo boo, the refundable child tax credits up to $6,444 — recently doubled by the Swamp — will be delayed for illegal aliens, including the 35-and-up illegal aliens deemed as “dreamers”, although many have done their part by having sex, reproducing and working for wages low enough to stay below the earned-income limit for government programs that eliminate their major monthly bills, like subsidized rent and EBT groceries. 

As a citizen with no womb productivity, you must cover your own groceries and your own rent that consumes more than half of your pay, but the single mom or the immigrant — legal or illegal — in the cubicle next to you gets hers covered by taxpayers.

Thanks to withholding that varies by family size, her paychecks are bigger than yours, even though she takes off mornings, afternoons, days and weeks (for kids, so she says), in addition to her PTO and pregnancy leaves.

You do none of that while meeting the quotas every month and doing the mom’s work for her during her frequent and lengthy absences. She gets away with it due to the crony-mom-protection rackets called “jobs.”

She gets a $6,444 child tax credit for max womb productivity, even if she is illegally in the country, and you get a $24-per-paycheck tax cut as a citizen. Your tax return will not cover one major bill, and your bills, like rent and groceries, are not free due to sex and reproduction, nor are you eligible for monthly cash assistance in increasing amounts per birth to go along with your doubled child tax credit.

All of which enable mommas — legally and illegally in the USA — to work part time for low wages, undercutting you in jobs by their ability to accept low pay due to unearned income for womb productivity, and making sure that your wages will never cover your bills. 

https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/individuals/earned-income-tax-cr…

https://www.google.com/search?q=child%20tax%20credits%20illegal.aliens%…

https://www.google.com/search?q=child%20tax%20crefits%20illegal%20alien…

https://cis.org/Welfare-Use-Immigrant-Households-Children

https://cis.org/Child-Tax-Credits-Illegal-Immigrants

 

 

 

In reply to by JRobby

bshirley1968 LSD - Lower Sl… Fri, 01/19/2018 - 23:26 Permalink

That's right, Trump-ass, never miss a chance to pump the MIC and the surveillance state security bullshit. You frickin' executive shill - meister!

Yeah, yeah, yeah, people are gonna die whether you clowns are running the daily political soap opera or not. With the gov shut down, the deaths will just cost less.

What a super prick!

If a giant sink hole swallowed DC and every elected official and their lobbying pimps tonight, my life wouldn't change one bit tomorrow and I wouldn't miss them in the least. Shut down? Not near enough.

In reply to by LSD - Lower Sl…

Sudden Debt stizazz Sat, 01/20/2018 - 06:57 Permalink

All they'll shut down is tourist attractions 

and all those civil employees will get paid for the days they get to stay home.

I don't think any civil worker will regret this shutdown.

None will strike 

 

It's all a puppet show, nothing more, nothing less.

In reply to by stizazz

NumbersUsa shitshitshit Sat, 01/20/2018 - 16:03 Permalink

chuckey the jew schumer & his jew supremacist media hold out for the continued foreign invasion of America that jacob the jew javits orchestrated and shoved down Americas throat in 1965 & then jew hissing & screaming-quote:"open the flood gates" 

The jew supremacists are our Enemies- Period.

Remove all dual citizen israelis from all positions within our federal, state & local governments- NOW !!

Prosecute & Shut down all jew supremacist foreign agent orgainizations by use of the FARA Act Now: Aipac, Zoa, Adl, Aclu, Splc, Cfr, b'nai b'rith and a thousand more jew supremacist foreign agent organizations.  

In reply to by shitshitshit

MK ULTRA Alpha IH8OBAMA Fri, 01/19/2018 - 23:28 Permalink

The DNC advocates a race war in the US, while the Democratic Communist Party works to place illegal foreigners above the American people. Dreamers have their university paid for, living expenses and many are working as activist in communist organizations funded by the DNC and communist donors. The Dreamers, illegal foreigners are considered the next generation of Democratic Communist voters. They're being primed with racism against white America. They're also considered to be REPLACEMENTS for the baby boomers even though no replacements are really needed and the Democratic Communist use every reason dipped in lies to make it a reality.

The Dreamers should be allowed to finish their education on an education visa and then return to their country like citizens across the globe do. But the DNC, with it's anti-white strategy of killing off the whites, are using the Obama unconstitutional executive order as a pawn in their war on America, for the destruction of America and as proof of their agenda for people all over the world, because the Democrats are following the plans of NYC  based International Communism.

Are the blacks and ethnic Mexicans in congress acting so savage it's at the point of calling for the genocide of white Americans? It's in the media daily and being parroted at the very top of the DNC, death to white America is the Democratic Party's plank.

 

In reply to by IH8OBAMA

Endgame Napoleon MK ULTRA Alpha Sat, 01/20/2018 - 01:10 Permalink

Democrats are the New Tammany Hall, stoking factionalism by encouraging all the groups to emphasize their racial identity and vote based on skin-pigmentation loyalty.....for Democrats, of course. Democrats, the party of labor in past eras, do not support labor at all anymore. A party is not for American workers when they advocate flooding the USA with unending waves of welfare-buoyed immigrants who can afford to work for a pittance. 

In reply to by MK ULTRA Alpha

fockewulf190 IH8OBAMA Sat, 01/20/2018 - 01:24 Permalink

.Let’s cut to the heart of the matter here:  it’s all about the memo.  That four page classified report has f pure political nitroglycerin that must be prevented from being disclosed at all costs.  Can you vote for declassification with a shutdown government?  I don’t think so, but I may be wrong.  President Trump should declare that he will be making his SOTU report one week after the government reopens.  It will be interesting to see what Qanon is going to be saying.

In reply to by IH8OBAMA

tion Endgame Napoleon Fri, 01/19/2018 - 15:28 Permalink

>..Your tax return will not cover one major bill

Your $52 a month could cover a week's worth of groceries every month or a month's worth of rent every year.

For me personally, $52 per month is about what my electricity costs, discluding wattage used mining monero. Granted, I have LED lights, a high efficiency fridge, and use propane for the stove/water heater/clothes dryer and wood for heat, but I don't go out of my way to be miserly with electricity consumption.  JMO an electricity bill is a much more major bill than say, a smart phone bill, regardless of cost.

 

If you think that $52 a month is tantamount to garbage to a low wage earner, you are probably too used to throwing away money and could benefit from radical reduction in expenses and living in the hood for awhile, for some perspective.

In reply to by Endgame Napoleon