Nancy Pelosi Won't Back Bipartisan Spending Plan Without Immigration Commitment From Ryan

While Senate leaders are reportedly close to a deal to pass a long-term budget and raise the country's borrowing limit, House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi has thrown a wrench in the works by demanding that Speaker Paul Ryan commit to bringing an immigration bill vote to the floor after the Feb. 8 deadline.

Pelosi said Democrats in the House would be "reluctant" to hand over their votes without a commitment from Ryan. During the brinksmanship to reopen the government after last month's brief shutdown, McConnell promised to open a freewheeling immigration floor debate if no deal has been struck before then. But Ryan refused to make the same commitment, according to the Hill

Pelosi

Still, Pelosi said the Senate agreement "includes many Democratic priorities," including disaster aid, opioid funding and parity for defense and non-defense spending.

As part of the deal to end the three-day government shutdown last month, McConnell said that he would bring up immigration legislation after Feb. 8. But Ryan would not make any similar promise that whatever passed in the Senate would be considered by the House.

* * *

Have we finally seen the last continuing resolution?

While nothing is finished until it's finished, Axios reports that Senate leaders are nearing an agreement on a two-year budget deal - what would be the first full budget of the Trump era - that would also include a provision to raise the debt ceiling.

According to Axios, Senate Democrats and Republicans are increasingly likely that a debt-ceiling increase will be attached to a budget deal that Senate negotiators from both sides hope to announce as soon as today.

Senate

The upshot of this is that DACA will now likely be dealt with on its own terms - and won't be used as a bargaining chip in a government shutdown showdown.

However, such a deal could infuriate President Donald Trump, who has demanded that any deal on DACA include changes to legal immigration laws to limit chain migration, as well as funding for border security and his signature policy, the southern border wall.

Yesterday, Trump threatened Democratic Senate leader Chuck Schumer by telling a group of reporters "I'd love to see a shutdown" if Congress doesn't meet his administration's demands for curbs on legal and illegal immigration.

Here's Axios:

The two-year deal I expect McConnell and Schumer to strike: busting the budget caps on defense and domestic spending, raising the debt limit, plus funding for disaster relief and funding for community health centers.

Why it matters: That would be a pretty good deal for President Trump. Sure, the fiscal conservatives will hate it, but Trump has never been one of them.

The deal would expose the gap between Schumer and House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi: She wanted to hitch the immigration deal to the spending fight, while Schumer appears OK with allowing it to be separate.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the agreement is expected to increase military spending by $80 billion a year and nondefense spending by $63 billion a year - though these numbers are subject to change.

“I’m optimistic that very soon we’ll be able to reach an agreement,” Mr. McConnell told WSJ.

And Schumer added that, while some issues were still being worked out, he and McConnell were "making real progress on a spending bill that would increase the caps for both the military and middle-class priorities on the domestic side."

As WSJ explains, many Democrats have come around to the idea that they don't have as much leverage as they once thought, and that holding federal spending hostage until their DACA demands are met simply isn't practical. Many lawmakers said Tuesday that they were ready to advance a two-year budget deal that would allow lawmakers to write and pass a long-term spending bill, which they had initially hoped to pass in December. Instead, the interlocking fight over immigration tied up the negotiations, forcing lawmakers to pass a series of short-term spending measures.

The capitulation on immigration is particularly helpful for red-state Democrats who are seeking reelection later this year, who believe it will bolster their chances of victory in November. Though this has understandably angered immigration advocates.

Meanwhile in the House, lawmakers last night passed a short-term measure that would fund the government past a midnight Thursday deadline through March 23 - but that bill has little chance of passing the Senate because Democrats oppose it,as the Washington Post points out.

Per WaPo, $80 billion in disaster relief funding would also be included as part of the bill. That provision could help win support from lawmakers representing affected areas in California, Florida and Texas but further repel conservatives concerned about mounting federal spending.

Still, such a deal will likely face stiff opposition from conservatives.

“This is a bad, bad, bad, bad - you could say ‘bad’ a hundred times - deal,” said Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), a co-founder of the House Freedom Caucus.

“When you put it all together, a quarter-of-a-trillion-dollar increase in discretionary spending - not what we’re supposed to be doing.”

Mark Meadows, the leader of the Freedom Caucus, said such a deal would get "zero support."

But with two days until the Friday-morning deadline, there isn't another deal in the works that has the level of bipartisan support that this deal has.

The question now is whether the president will back out his allies in the Freedom caucus and work to kill the bill.

Following the deal reports, the debt-ceiling spread has notably compressed - a sign that T-bill traders are taking the optimistic reports seriously.

Debt

Comments

exlcus Son of Loki Wed, 02/07/2018 - 12:33 Permalink

Unfortunately, I think this is all about pork.

Is it coincidence that all this dirty laundry starting coming out when the democrats started resisted the Republican spending bill?

I think this is good old-fashioned blackmail. Nobody is going to go to jail over this. The republicans are saying, look if you don't let us take our loot, our spending bill, then we'll show the world your dirty laundry. 

There's no issues here, it's just pork. Dressed up in theater.

In reply to by Son of Loki

nmewn wren Wed, 02/07/2018 - 12:18 Permalink

So I'm standing in line at the local shit-n-git and I see Pelosi's forlorn face on one of those donation jars on the counter...I'm like...what the hell is this?

Turns out it's a fundraiser for the DNC, looked like about a buck fiddy in there ;-)

In reply to by wren

Son of Loki nmewn Wed, 02/07/2018 - 12:26 Permalink

Pelosi better watch out since that amount of hatred for America can cause health problems. Look at Alec Baldwin who bashes America every Saturday night on SNL:

Alec Baldwin Is Undergoing Hip Replacement Surgery (at the young age of 59)

 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/celebrity/alec-baldwins-wife-hilaria-share…

 

Unnamed (annonymous) sources say Baldwin's hatred for Americans and Donald Trump has settled in his hip and destroyed the bone.

 

Too bad. Hopefully he learns to be a nicer person in the future or he'll need a heart by-pass like crooked Bill Clinton.

In reply to by nmewn

jaxville Bill of Rights Wed, 02/07/2018 - 13:02 Permalink

  Actually it was 2011 when it hit $45.  The big issue with gold and silver is that their prices are established in a paper market with a synthetic supply created by leverage.

  The financial authorities like this arrangement because it serves to keep the price down which bolsters confidence in currencies and related markets.

  Silver itself it no scam.  It has many uses and a limited supply.  The scam is that it's price is managed rather then set in a free market.

In reply to by Bill of Rights

gatorengineer Phat Stax Wed, 02/07/2018 - 12:44 Permalink

It used to be a Dem would steel from the middle class, and an R would give it to Rich.  Now they have compromised, steel from the middle class and flow it down to the FSA and to the .1 percenters.

The middle class as we know it only has a few years left, and then what?  Middle class now defined as a family of 4 and 60k a year.....  now middle class is entitles to Free Shit

In reply to by Phat Stax

MK ULTRA Alpha Chippewa Partners Wed, 02/07/2018 - 10:18 Permalink

Unfortunately, to get a deal with the Democrats, pork must be used to grease the wheels of state.

I had predicted the infrastructure build was going to be the pork BBQ of the ages, it would be the highlight crowning achievement for many congressional elections. But pork is being used to make a deal on immigration and the budget. Good ole old fashion pork. The currency of politics, pork grease.

The Republican Majority Leader is making deals, buying votes with pork. Of course the pork is what the Democrats cried for, health care for children, no cuts to social programs etc. they will get what they want, just to vote for a budget and how much of Trump's immigration plans, we don't know, that's what the bartering is all about.

The Pentagon?, at least we're getting an audit, wouldn't have expected this of any administration, but Mattis is real suspicious of the civilian management. It's a natural mantra belief in the military, the system isn't running properly, maybe it will be efficient with the new audit. But war is coming to a theater near you, peace through strength requires proof of a nation's willingness to extract pain for unlawful acts of aggression (Clausewitz)like NK threatening the US and Japan repeatedly with nuclear death by launching ballistic missiles over Japan, well it was time to say enough is enough.

In reply to by Chippewa Partners