VIX-Trader '50Cent' "Steamrolls" XIV-Traders To $200 Million Gain

If the XIV-buyers were "picking up nickels," then mysterious VIX trader '50-cent' was the "steamroller" as his cumulative P&L swung $400 million last week from a big loss to a $200 million plus gain in a year...

As a reminder, there are a number of infamous 'traders' that keep popping up in the volatility complex as Macro Risk Advisers' Pravit Chintawongvanich has detailed in the past:

Bloomberg reports that, after suffering the slow drip-drip-drip of losses throughout 2017, Pravit Chintawongvanich, head of derivatives strategy at Macro Risk Advisors, estimates that the trader dubbed “50 Cent” (a play on the rapper known as “50 Cent,” Curtis Jackson), has made nearly $200 million total on this trade since the start of 2017 -- thanks to a swing of $400 million in a single month.

"At one point, ‘50 Cent’ became ‘30 Cent,’ scrimping on his usual VIX option purchases, unwilling to pay up for the 50 cent VIX options that were his namesake," Chintawongvanich wrote.

"But in early February, when it seemed like Fiddy’s fortunes could go no lower, it came: redemption."

Meanwhile, Bloomberg points out that the so-called VIX Elephant has gone the way of its relative, the woolly mammoth: It’s now extinct.

This trader, who put on massive VIX call spread trades while selling puts to benefit from a rise in volatility, has closed out all of their positions to earn a net $40 million on the trade.

According to Bloomberg, Chintawongvanich offers a small silver-lining in that he expects some semblance of return to normal... but it will be a different normal.

“We expect lower realized volatility in VIX futures, and by extension lower implied volatility in VIX options now that the ‘blowup risk’ is gone,” he writes.

“On the flip side, VIX spikes may take longer to resolve, now that the VIX ETPs are not pressuring vol on the way down.”

Chintawongvanich recommends gaining exposure to an expected decline in the volatility of volatility by buying put spreads in the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN. Good luck...

Comments

whatswhat1@yahoo.com Canadian Dirtlump Mon, 02/12/2018 - 16:02 Permalink

Too many teardrops for one heart to be crying
Too many teardrops for one heart to carry on

You're way on top now since you left me
You're always laughing way down at me
But watch out now, I'm gonna get there
We'll be together for just a little while
And then I'm gonna put you way down here
And you'll start crying ninety-six tears
Cry, cry

And when the sun comes up, I'll be on top
You'll be right down there, looking up
And I might wave, come up here
But I don't see you waving now
I'm way down here, wondering how
I'm gonna get you but I know now
I'll just cry, cry, I'll just cry

Too many teardrops for one heart to be crying
Too many teardrops for one heart to carry on

You're gonna cry ninety-six tears
You're gonna cry ninety-six tears
You're gonna…

In reply to by Canadian Dirtlump

Al Huxley Mon, 02/12/2018 - 15:52 Permalink

Look, all that's really important is that we continue to encourage people to put money into fictitious mathematical constructs that can be manipulated at will by the owners of the markets.  Whatever it takes - cute names, pictographs, pop culture references...

Agent P Mon, 02/12/2018 - 15:52 Permalink

There are much bigger issues at play here than 50-Cent's reversal of fortune.  For instance, why does VIX Octopus only have six legs?  And why is SPX Condor's avatar a bald eagle?  These are the questions that need to be answered.

tunetopper Mon, 02/12/2018 - 16:17 Permalink

Fifty Cent was in cahoots with Quant Funds...I would bet...

Quants have proliferated as long side has been anchored to the low low vols.  Risk Parity trades and their Quant Funds have dined for free !

DaBard51 Mon, 02/12/2018 - 19:23 Permalink

Better too early, than too late.  Jedi wisdom.

Of course, the Jedi are fictitious.

 

 

When nine hundred years old you become, look this good you will not.