"Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event" Fractures The Polar Vortex In Two

This split of the polar vortex will shift the upper atmospheric pattern such that the coldest airmass is located in western North America as well as over parts of Europe. This will allow for a ridge of high pressure to amplify in the eastern US, bringing unseasonably warm conditions next week,” said Ed Vallee, Long-Range Meteorologist and President of Vallee Wx Consulting.

The Weather Channel describes the atmosphetic impact for the Northern Hemisphere, as this unique weather event splits the polar vortex into two smaller vortices: one over western Canada and another over Europe.

  •  A split of the polar vortex occurred this week due to warming in the stratosphere
  • This is likely to result in cold temperatures in Europe
  • Although a disruption of the polar vortex is sometimes associated with cold weather in the eastern U.S., that is not always guaranteed

Further, from the Weather Channel:

"Across the Arctic, where the polar vortex typically stays locked, the stratosphere has warmed. This typically kicks into motion a polar vortex disruption like we are seeing. The stratosphere is a layer of the upper atmosphere above which most of our weather occurs – known as the troposphere – and where most of the polar vortex resides.” (Shown Below: The polar vortex has split into smaller vortices, one over Europe, and the other over northwestern North America.)

The one vortex over Western Europe and much of Eurasia will send the region into a dangerous deep freeze for the second half of February into early March. A disruption of the polar vortex has sent March 18 U.K. natural gas contracts soaring on the session, advancing +3.6% to 51.540.

During the same timeframe, the vortex over western Canada could bring spring-like conditions for the Eastern U.S. in the second half of February through early March. Temperatures for the next few weeks could be 20 to 25 degrees Fahrenheit above average for this time of year. Highs in the 70s Fahrenheit are possible from Washington, D.C. to New York City, which would be a significant change from the arctic conditions experienced earlier in the winter season. In the Western U.S, it is an entirely different story, particularly in the Northern Rockies, which could see measurable snowfall and frigid arctic air for the next two weeks.

A disruption of the polar vortex has sent US March 18 natural gas contracts crashing -22% in February to December 2017 lows. A breach below 2.50 would indicate a deeper correction, as much as -15% to 2.172 area where the .764-fib resides (measured from the March 2016 low to December 2016 high).

“Models are indicating very impressive early Spring warmth across the eastern U.S. next week… the West/Rockies will have some cold air to deal with, however,” said Michael Ventrice, a Meteorological Scientist for the Weather Company.

What’s all this talk about a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW)? 

Mashable explains that the primary polar vortex exists in the stratosphere, which is the layer of the atmosphere where most of the weather occurs. An SSW event refers to a rapid warming of the stratosphere at high latitudes, up to 122 degrees Fahrenheit in a matter of days, some six to nine miles above the earth’s surface. Mashable said, “an SSW event, took place in early-to-mid February, and this has caused the splitting of the stratospheric polar vortex.”

“Someone once asked why they call them “sudden” stratospheric warmings,” said Anthony Masiello, a private weather forecaster.

Mashable further explains how the SSW broke apart the polar vortex into two and what it means for the weather in your region:

Sudden stratospheric warming events occur when large atmospheric waves send energy upward, into the stratosphere, setting in motion a complex process that results in the temporary breakdown of the polar vortex. This February’s stratospheric warming event was particularly extreme, possibly setting records for how sharply temperatures spiked in the upper atmosphere.

The polar vortex split isn’t the only factor favoring a cold snap in Europe, warmup in the Eastern U.S., and cool down in the West. There’s also a cycle of atmospheric pressure over the North Atlantic Ocean, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), that can increase the odds of colder and snowier weather in some of these areas.

Computer models are projecting the NAO will become strongly negative during the next few weeks in response to the polar vortex split and stratospheric warming event, and this also favors cold and snow in Western Europe. (It also ups the odds of similar weather in the eastern U.S., but that may not happen right away.)

“A significant PV [polar vortex] disruption is often followed by widespread cold temperatures across northern Eurasia and the Eastern US. However the cold is more certain across northern Eurasia following these type of PV disruptions,” meteorologist Judah Cohen, who specializes in seasonal weather forecasting and tracking the polar vortex for AER, a Verisk Analytics company, wrote on his blog.

The negative mode of the NAO typically features an area of strong high pressure over Greenland, which blocks the progression of weather systems moving in from the southwest, and causes the jet stream to plunge southward over Europe, allowing cold air to flow in from the Arctic and Scandinavia. Sudden stratospheric warming events tend to cause the NAO to switch into negative mode shortly after they occur.

The rest of February should feature a colder than average Western U.S., coupled with a milder than average East Coast. However, the negative NAO phase could bring a return of winter weather to the East in early March, depending where exactly that Greenland block sets up. There’s often a delay between when the polar vortex is disrupted, and when the cold air arrives in parts of the U.S., if at all.

Snow lovers will be watching upcoming forecasts anxiously because the deeper into March we go, the less likely widespread snows along the East Coast become.”

In summary: the polar vortex has split, here’s what that means for us:

Comments

whatswhat1@yahoo.com Pure Evil Sun, 02/18/2018 - 00:59 Permalink

!!!***!!!---WARNING---!!!***!!!

 

                 weather

 

                suddenly

 

 

 

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           

 

 

 

In reply to by Pure Evil

Slack Jack Pinto Currency Sun, 02/18/2018 - 03:04 Permalink

Record-Setting Hurricanes; Record temperatures; Record-Setting Wildfires; ya think it might be global warming?

THE EVIDENCE OF GLOBAL WARMING IS OVERWHELMING.

So, why is the global rise in temperatures so worrisome?

For one thing, as temperatures rise good farmland will become desert (e.g., dust-bowl conditions will probably return to the American Midwest).

Another major problem is sea-level rise.

Have a look at http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs2-00/

or a copy of that page at http://www.preearth.net/pdfs/USGS-sea-level-and-climate.pdf

The U.S. Geological Survey people claim that;

The Greenland ice sheet melting will raise sea-level 6.55 meters (21.5 feet),
the West Antarctica ice sheet melting will raise sea-level 8.06 meters (26.4 feet),
the East Antarctica ice sheet melting will raise sea-level 64.8 meters (212.6 feet),
and all other ice melting will raise sea-level 0.91 meters (3 feet).

For a grand total of about 80 meters (263 feet).

So, what does an 80 meter (263 feet) rise in sea-level mean. Have a look at the following map of the world after an 80 meter rise. It means that over one billion people will have to be resettled to higher ground and that much of the most productive agricultural land will be under water. Fortunately, at current rates, the Greenland ice sheet will take over a thousand years to melt and the Antarctica ice sheet, much longer. However, the greater the temperature rise the faster the ice sheets will melt, bringing the problem much closer. Remember, the huge ice sheet that recently covered much of North America, almost completely melted in only 15,000 years (today, only the Greenland ice sheet, and some other small patches of it, remain). Since then (15,000 years ago), sea-levels have risen about 125 meters (410 feet), only 80 meters to go.

The ice sheets have been continuously melting for thousands of years. What is left of them today, is still melting, and will continue to melt. Human caused global warning will cause this remnant to melt significantly faster. This is a big, big, problem.

For HUGE detailed maps of the "World after the Melt" go to:

http://preearth.net/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=23

Global temperatures are increasing. And by quite a lot each year.

2016 is the hottest year on record for global temperatures.

This is 0.0380 degrees centigrade hotter than the previous record year which was 2015.

0.0380 is a large increase in just one year.

2015 was the hottest year (at that time) for global temperatures.

This was 0.1601 degrees hotter than the previous record year which was 2014.

0.1601 is an absolutely huge increase in just one year (at this rate temperatures would increase by 16 degrees in a century).

2014 was the hottest year (at that time) for global temperatures.

This was 0.0402 degrees hotter than the previous record year which was 2010.

http://preearth.net/images/temp-anomalies-1880-2017.txt

The conspiracy to hide global warming data.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is given tax money to make global temperature records available to the public. However, certain people at NOAA continually sabotage this aspect of NOAA's mandate. For example, these people have (deliberately) sabotaged the web-page that delivers the temperature records.

Look for yourself:

Go to the page: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/anomalies.php scroll down to the The Global Anomalies and Index Data section and click the download button and see what happens. Well, you get the message:

"Not Found. The requested URL /monitoring-references/faq/anomalies-download was not found on this server."

I guess that the 2017 data must be truly horrible if they have to hide it away.

http://preearth.net/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=23

In reply to by Pinto Currency

Automatic Choke Slack Jack Sun, 02/18/2018 - 03:47 Permalink

SUDDEN VORTEX SPLIT ????

BLIZZARD BOMB CYCLONE ????

SNOWMAGEDDON ????

SHARKNADO ????

 

It used to be called winter.    Is somebody running out of news?   Has the whole world gone as insane as SlackJack?

By inventing new horrific names, are they trying to make old fashioned storms sound new and horrifying (and therefore Donald Trump's fault?)

 

In reply to by Slack Jack

SumTing Wong Sudden Debt Sun, 02/18/2018 - 07:32 Permalink

Oh holy shit! You global warming people tell us that weather is not the same as climate when it snows so that they have to cancel a summit on...wait for it...global warming! And then when spring looks like it is coming you change your minds and scream that it must be global warming. It's the weather. Up here in flyover country we say that if you don't like it, then wait around for about five minutes.

And you can ask the residents of Washington state how they feel about global warming next week. I'll be speaking at a conference in Germany. I'll talk to you about that, too. 

Damned people are the same ones who love Clinton getting blown by a fat intern but hate the fact that Trump gets models and actresses. They are both wrong to cheat on their wives, asshole! Let's call it like it is. But those same wives can decide what they want to do with it. It is revelatory of these men's character, but we already knew each of them were power-hungry jerks. 

Do a little thinking every now and again. I know it hurts, but it will be worth it later.

In reply to by Sudden Debt

BennyBoy Slack Jack Sun, 02/18/2018 - 08:07 Permalink

Late last year there were serious wild-fires in California and record snow in South Carolina.

Too much accumulated brush in CA from lack of wildfires. Record snow in So Carolina, thats a whopping big data POINT.

This was explained as a disturbance in the jet-stream. Jet stream is always diving, dodging and squiggling its way around the world.

The split polar vortex is probably just a more serious disturbance in the jet-stream. Probably is a result of me farting. Equal evidence for both: NONE

These disturbances in the jet-stream are probably due to global warming. These disturbances in the jet-stream are probably due to weather. Perhaps we are approaching a tipping-point. The tipping point of BS from GWers

In reply to by Slack Jack

californiagirl Slack Jack Sun, 02/18/2018 - 16:16 Permalink

"Late last year there were serious wild-fires in California ...This was explained as a disturbance in the jet-stream."

The primary cause off many serious wildfires in California is arson and other stupid human actions. Ever since the massive Oakland hills firestorm showed the crazies what could happen on hot windy days, it is almost guaranteed some nut will set a fire when the winds whip up. At least one of the large Napa/Sonoma fires was due to arson and several others were due to PG&E poles falling over, and sparking in dried brush, during 60-75 mph winds. PGE tried to blame it on trees falling on wires, but this does not appear to be the case. Some locals took photos showing one pole after another fallen over like dominos, and some poles actually snapped like toothpicks, not at the base, but higher up. What was missing  from the photos - all those fallen trees. Most of these poles looked brand new, not old. Why would that happen? Perhaps because at least some of the replacement poles that have been going on all over the greater Bay Area in the past few years are already compromised. Poles were replaced on numerous main streets all over my neighborhood in recent years.  Many of them look like they have been the snacks of termites and bark beetles, and some have massive vertical cracks. i would attach photos of i knew how. The new poles are much taller than the old ones, and have more equipment on top. many are also tapered and much smaller at the top than the old, shorter poles. Hopefully the longer poles were put much deeper into the ground than the old poles, though I suspect not. Perhaps PG&E got a good discount on a bunch of dead trees, killed by bark beetles, and all those cost savings earned management nice bonuses! That would not surprise me in the least. Of course, cheaping out in the short run often has expensive long-term consequences.

 

In reply to by Slack Jack

You Only Live Twice Automatic Choke Sun, 02/18/2018 - 07:39 Permalink

They are coming up with names for events that never occurred until recent times.

The more concerning part of "sudden split vortex" is that not only was there no polar vortex as recent as a few years ago, but the more worrisome part is the mass of hot air sitting above the North Pole causing the normal Arctic air to be displaced in two separate masses.

As for the "Blizzard Bomb Cyclone" it was in essence a winter hurricane, which never happened before. This is due to the rapid rising of ocean temperatures at the equator.

The climate and weather is seriously changing at a more rapid pace than expected. 

In reply to by Automatic Choke

ghengiskhan Slack Jack Sun, 02/18/2018 - 09:48 Permalink

And .... do you think Santa Clause made a magical anti global warming app that we are hiding from you?  There is no magic solution.  They have no clue what the scope of variables actually looks like nor could anyone do anything about it if they did.  You can worship at the feet of Elon Musk and he still won't be able to save you.  You can lick the ass of every silicon valley CEO and it still won't save you.

In reply to by Slack Jack

Jeffersonian Liberal Slack Jack Sun, 02/18/2018 - 11:47 Permalink

The only record being set is in how wrong these predictions have been. There has been a record decline in these events.

Stop pushing the AGW propaganda.

The refutation to your lies is in these books:

Climategate, by Brian Sussman (the easiest and most enjoyable refutation of all the lies)

Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years, by Singer and Avery

The Skeptical Environmentalist, by Bjorn Lomborg

Climate Confusion, by Roy Spencer

The Great Global warming Blunder, by Roy Spencer

Watermelons, by Delingpole

The Politically Incorrect Guide to Global Warming and Environmentalism, by Horrner

 

Big Ed was taken over by 1960's radicals, who destroyed higher education by using it to indoctrinate students according to the Big 3: Race, Class, Gender.

In the 1990's, they added another method of indoctrination to make it the Big 4: Environmentalism

 

Ecofascism is just another tool the global communists.

In reply to by Slack Jack

el buitre Slack Jack Mon, 02/19/2018 - 09:15 Permalink

It in truth appears that we are rapidly go into a mini ice age sometimes referred to as another Maunder Minimum because it appears to be caused by very low solar activity, especially sun spots.  But the primary issue is not whether the earth is warming or cooling, but rather whether it is natural or man made.  If it is not man made, then the Cabal's program to further impoverish and deindustrialize the west becomes totally non-sensical.  Notice that the Cabal first issued this ops as anthropogenic (man made) global warming; then reduced it for the brain dead to global warming; and then reduced for the brain deader (such as Slack Jack) to climate change.  To paraphrase Bubba's election war room, "It's the sun, stupid."

 

One should also be aware that the HAARP global system of amplified RF heating of the ionosphere along with the conversion of the atmosphere into a plasma with the massive chemtrailing of aluminum. strontium, and barium, is fully capable of producing this vortex split described in the article as well as controlling the path of hurricanes and typhoons.

In reply to by Slack Jack