If US Plans A Terrorist False Flag Chemical Attack To Justify Bombing Syria, Russia Says It Will Respond

Authored by Fedrico Pieraccini via The Strategic Culture Foundation,

Events in Syria increasingly resemble a direct confrontation between major powers rather than a proxy war. Lavrov’s words, delivered a few days ago, reveal the critical phase of international relations the world is going through, with a potentially devastating conflict ready to ignite in the Middle East region.

An alarming warning by Sergei Lavrov and Chief of the Russian General Staff, Valery Gerasimov, was announced via the RT broadcaster and several Russian media. The content is explosive and deserving of the widest possible dissemination. Gerasimov claimed that Moscow had "reliable information that fighters are preparing to stage the use by government troops of chemical weapons against the civilian population." He alleged that the US intends to accuse Assad's troops of using chemical weapons against civilians, and then "carry out a bombing attack" on Damascus.

Gerasimov warned that Russia would "take retaliatory measures" if the US targeted areas where its military are located in the Syrian capital. "Russian military advisers, representatives of the Center for Reconciliation and members of military police" are currently in the Syrian capital, Gerasimov said, adding that in the event that the lives of Russian military personnel are placed in danger, the Russian Armed Forces will respond with certain measure to both “missiles” and their “launchers”. A few hours earlier, Lavrov responded, "criticizing the remarks by the US envoy to the UN, Nikki Haley, about Washington’s readiness to “bomb Damascus and even the presidential palace of Bashar Assad, regardless [of the] presence of the Russian representatives there.” “It is an absolutely irresponsible statement,” the Russian top diplomat added.

The words of Gerasimov are even more dire, since he explains how the United States and its allies are preparing the ground to justify an attack on Syria. According to reports, terrorists stationed in Al-Tanf (an illegal US military base in Syria) received 20 tons of chlorine gas and detonators, disguised as cigarette packs, in order to attack in an area under the control of the terrorists that is densely inhabited by civilians. What would then happen is already obvious, with the White Helmets (AKA Al-Qaeda) and mainstream media ready to broadcast the images of the victims of the attack, tugging at the heartstrings of Western viewers otherwise unaware of the conspiracy being played out.

Efforts to frame Russia have already reached the highest alert levels, with the false-flag poisoning of the Russian spy in the United Kingdom. It seems that there is a significant effort by the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Germany to provoke a military confrontation with Moscow.

How else are we able to interpret threats from Macron to strike Damascus, together with his ominous advice to foreign journalists not to go to Damascus in the coming days and, for those already there, to leave the capital immediately? There has even been chatter within diplomatic circles that suggest that UN personnel are leaving Damascus. This could be psychological warfare, or it could be a prelude to war. With the stakes so high, we cannot afford to ignore any detail, even if it may be disinformation. The American attack seems imminent, with mounting signs of movements of American and Russian warships in the Mediterranean in attack formation.

Russian military representatives have reiterated that in the event of an attack, they will respond by hitting both the missiles launched as well as the ships from which the missiles were launched. Things are getting pretty dicey, and the risk of a direct confrontation between the United States and the Russian Federation are rising with every passing hour. The transfer of numerous US aircraft from Incirlik, Turkey, to Al-Azrak, Jordan, is another indication of preparations for an attack, since the forces moved to Jordan are close to the Al-Tanf base. The proposed strategy could involve an assault on the city of Daraa, for the purposes of securing the borders between Syria and Jordan and Syria and Israel.

The warnings raised by Lavrov and Gerasimov appear unprecedented, given that they detail a plan already set in course, evidently approved at the highest levels and aimed at provoking and justifying an attack on Syria; and attack that would encompass the Russian forces in Syria. Tensions continue to grow, following Russia’s shooting down of a drone by two surface-to-air missiles launched from its Hmeimim Air Base. Moscow has even deployed to the Mediterranean the Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate Admiral Essen and the Krivak II-class anti-submarine frigate Pytivyy. Both are prepared for anti-ship and anti-submarine operations. Sources claim that this deployment was planned some time ago and is part of a routine deployment of the Russian navy. But during such a delicate moment, it pays to focus on every detail. Without resorting to excessive alarmism, if Lavrov said that “the movements of the warships of the United States and its allies in the Mediterranean seem compatible with the strategy of using this chemical attack to justify an attack on the Syrian Arab army and government installations”, then it is reasonable to speculate on whether the Russian ships are moving in to the area to counter any provocations.

There are two fundamental flaws in the reasoning of US policy-makers and the US military establishment. They are convinced that an American demonstration of strength (involving a large number of cruise missile launched against Syria through a significant involvement of aircraft carriers as well as bombers) would stun Russia into passivity. Furthermore, US military generals are convinced that Syria and Russia do not have the ability to defend themselves for an extended period of time. They seem to be fooling themselves with their own propaganda. As their Israeli colleagues have already learned, such an assumption is mistaken. While the idea that a high level of firepower would meet with some kind of success, the possibility of a response from Syrian and Russian forces remains. And this possibility seems not to have been given sufficient weight by the US and her allies.

How would the American military and the Trump presidency react to a US warship being sunk by anti-ship missiles? It would only serve to demonstrate how vulnerable American naval forces are when confronted with such advanced weapons. It would represent a tremendous shock for the US military, possibly the biggest shock since the end of WWII. What would Trump and the generals in charge do? They would respond with further bombardment of Russian forces, leaving themselves open to a devastating Russian response. The conflict could escalate within the space of a few minutes, leading to a situation where there could be no possible winners.

The normal reasoning I employ when considering total annihilation is placed to one side when US special forces deliver 20 tons of chlorine gas to Al Qaeda terrorists in Syria order to execute a false flag for the purposes of blaming Damascus and Moscow. If we connect this event to what is currently happening in the United Kingdom, and the hysteria in the United States surrounding alleged Russian hacking during the American elections, we can understand just how much international relations have deteriorated. This situation is reminiscent of Ukraine in 2015. Ukrainian forces suffered repeated defeats at the hands of the Donbass resistance, being contained in the thousands in different “cauldrons. Within NATO headquarters in Brussels during that time, there were open discussion over sending a contingent to support Ukrainian troops. The plan, however, was never realized, given the possibility of direct confrontation in Ukraine between the Russian Federation and NATO.

In recent months, the possibility of a war on the Korean Peninsula has also been evoked and perhaps simultaneously averted by the unpredictable consequences for both Seoul and the American forces in the region.

In Syria, the approach of Washington and its diplomatic and military emissaries seems more reckless and less tied to a chain of command where the buck stops at the American president. It seems that the US deep state in Syria has a greater and more hidden control over American forces, sabotaging every agreement made between Moscow and Washington. We saw this during the Obama presidency, where the US Air Force bombed government troops in Deir ez-Zor only a few hours after a ceasefire had been reached between Lavrov and Secretary of State Kerry.

The grave circumstance about which we write seem to be without precedent, seeming as they do to lead towards a direct confrontation between nuclear-armed powers. Alas, in such circumstances, we can only hope for the best but prepare for the worst; we can only wait to read on the mainstream media notifications of the latest chemical attack in Syria. We can only hope that there is someone in Washington retaining enough sense to factor in the devastating consequences of an attack on Damascus and the Russian forces in the region.

Never before has the region been on the verge of such an explosion as in the next few hours -- as a result of the typically reckless actions of the United States.

Comments

Luc X. Ifer Pandelis Thu, 03/22/2018 - 00:20 Permalink

Well, this is it - "Here's what the US should do if Russia launches a nuclear attack, according to the top American nuclear commander"

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/21/heres-what-us-should-do-if-russia-launc…

[... Hyten, who has previously called Russia the "most significant threat" to the U.S., also told lawmakers that there is currently no defense against the hypersonic weapons Putin is pursuing.

"We don't have any defense that could deny the employment of such a weapon against us." This means that, as of now, the U.S. has to rely on deterrence against these so-called hypersonic weapons, he said. ...]

In reply to by Pandelis

slopz38 Fish Gone Bad Thu, 03/22/2018 - 01:39 Permalink

I j­­­u­­­s­­­t g­­­o­­­t p­­­a­­­i­­­d $­­­6­­­7­­­8­­­4 w­­­o­­­r­­­k­­­i­­­n­­­g o­­­f­­­f m­­­y l­­­a­­­p­­­t­­­o­­­p t­­­h­­­i­­­s m­­­o­­­n­­­t­­­h. A­­­n­­­d i­­­f y­­­o­­­u t­­­h­­­i­­­n­­­k t­­­h­­­a­­­t­­­'­­­s c­­­o­­­o­­­l, ­­­m­­­y d­­­i­­­v­­­o­­­r­­­c­­­e­­­d f­­­r­­­i­­­e­­­n­­­d h­­­a­­­s t­­­w­­­i­­­n t­­­o­­­d­­­d­­­le­­­r­­­s a­­­n­­­d m­­­a­­­d­­­e o­­­v­­­e­­­r $­­­9­­­k h­­­e­­­r f­­­i­­­r­­­s­­­t m­­­o­­­n­­­t­­­h. I­­­t f­­­e­­­e­­­l­­­s s­­­o g­­­o­­­o­­­d­­­ m­­­a­­­k­­­i­­­n­­­g s­­­o m­­­u­­­c­­­h m­­­o­­­n­­­e­­­y w­­­h­­­e­­­n o­­­t­­­h­­­e­­­r p­­­e­­­o­­­ple h­­­a­­­v­­­e t­­­o w­­­o­­­r­­­k f­­­o­­­r s­­­o m­­­u­­­c­­­h l­­­e­­­s­­­s. T­­­h­­­i­­­s i­­­s w­­­h­­­a­­­t I­­­ d­­­o­­­,:  
°°°°°°°°°°http://ow.ly/V6Fs30gda11

In reply to by Fish Gone Bad

philipat pier Thu, 03/22/2018 - 06:15 Permalink

IMHO Russia has had enough (That's all I can stands cos I can't stands no more) and this is getting very dangerous.

Interesting that 1) Russia's statement that it has evidence that the US is planning false flag chemical weapons attacks in Syria as an excuse to launch attacks on Damascus and 2) Russia's promise to retaliate; have not appeared in ANY of the Western MSM? Interesting also that after Russia's announcement of its hypersonic missiles, all of a sudden Trump wants to meet to discuss nuclear deterrence. Surprise.

How will the US respond if a Carrier Group in the Eastern Med is sent to the bottom of the sea?

This is getting very stupid and very dangerous.

In reply to by pier

ZeroSpam 1 Alabama Thu, 03/22/2018 - 13:18 Permalink

▲▲▲   pier  ▲▲▲ CHRONIC SPAMMER  ▲▲▲ VIRUS ALERT ▲▲▲

▲▲▲   Leakanthropy  ▲▲▲ CHRONIC SPAMMER  ▲▲▲ VIRUS ALERT

▲▲▲   Slopz38  ▲▲▲ CHRONIC SPAMMER  ▲▲▲ VIRUS ALERT

▲▲▲   Jumanji1959  ▲▲▲ CHRONIC SPAMMER  ▲▲▲ VIRUS ALERT

When Spammer-Tard gets back to his basement at 2 a.m. smelling like urine from his job cleaning bathrooms at Jack-in-the-Box, he jacks off and engages in conversations with himself here.

This Whackjob with Multiple Log-on's (aka "stizazz" and "lloll" "beepbop"  "Braveforce"  "PRIVETHEDGE"  "SLOPZ38"  "Schlomo Scheklestein"  "Jumanji1959"-- hopefully banned) is a CHRONIC SPAMMER whose "disguised links" ("ITS END IS NEAR", above) will take you to his Spam- and Trojan-laden webpage, fondly known by ZHers as "The Whacked Out Biblicism SPAM page" where you will be the happy recipient of numerous virus from this very disturbed and obsessed individual, spamming here for more than five years. 

ALL THE SAME SPAMMER

•NumbersUSA
•dailywesterner
•celebrity-leaks (porn)
•biblicism
•"I made $7000 last week ..... this is what I do"

END SPAM!

Copy and send this text to abuse@zerohedge.com

Please remove all postings and ban log-on from user "PIER" who chronically SPAM posts short-URL links to his virus- and trojan-filled website. This is the same individual posting chronically as  "STIZAZZ" "PRIVETHEDGE" and "LLOLL" "SLOPZ38"  "BRAVEFORCE"  "BEEPBOP"  "SCHLOMO SCHEKLESTEIN"  "JUMANJI1959", among dozens of other banned log-ons [that's YOU "NumbersUSA" and "dailywesterner" and "biblicisminstitute" and "celebrity-leaks" (porn) and "I made $7000 last week...."]. Thank you.

In reply to by 1 Alabama

kralizec philipat Thu, 03/22/2018 - 07:56 Permalink

Is this meant to invite an attack with the canned response printed in advance or a warning to not trigger an attack with the canned response printed in advance?  Seriously, the way this was written is retarded on so many levels.  This is a war over oil and everybody has their sides picked and anybody thinking the other guy is going to be swayed another direction is only jerking themselves off!  I think it is time for ZH to split in two...one site for wild speculation and another for serious discussions.  No, that would make too much sense...lets just all crap the bed.

In reply to by philipat

Algo Rhythm bluez Thu, 03/22/2018 - 01:01 Permalink

Dear Russia,

I'm sorry the people in high political positions in our country are retarded psychopaths. The media has most people's minds captured and the zionist banks have most people here in financial servitude. As a group, we bailed on God when the the Communists warped our culture in the 70's and it's never been the same here.

In closing, sorry bout the next world war.

In reply to by bluez

Jim in MN Jim in MN Wed, 03/21/2018 - 23:35 Permalink

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts#/media/Fi…

The chart says it all.  Data, people. 

The 2017 fatality figures are in too.  130,000, another substantial drop confirming the trend.

Way, way below the post-WWII average (around 275,000 per year).

And, with Iraq and Syria winding down the 2018 value should drop well below 100,000. 

Hell, the Mexican drug war is practically topping this list.

Entire continents at peace.

In reply to by Jim in MN

CTacitus Jim in MN Thu, 03/22/2018 - 00:17 Permalink

Jim you seem like a nice guy, but grow the fvck up!

We are closer to annihilation than ever before; super-powers are provoking each other (at the behest of the Jewish supremacist ear whispers) in a battle to destroy each other while the provocateur escapes any blame and all the while spying on each with their agents; the ME is being shaped into the design plans described by Oded Yinon with wholesale massacres of people who are just trying to go about their daily lives---yet you ignorantly chime in with your 'global peace'  ignorant bullshit?!!!?!

Notwithstanding the fact that you have not traveled--EVER,as it seems to me, to that party of the world--Have you examined the evidence that stands in clear opposition to your distorted view of the countries paying the price for your utter ignorance and your spewing assertions backed by nothing but hot rancid gas? Here ... here examine your world peace horseshit:

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/FavoriteSunni/status/975793397914009601/vide…

https://twitter.com/Pray4Pal/status/975469389737754624

https://twitter.com/TeamTrumpRussia/status/976364871280361472

https://twitter.com/FatemahAlabed/status/975099369300090890

https://twitter.com/DragonVranic/status/975959907907248128

https://twitter.com/talentosprecato/status/976184715538464773

https://twitter.com/tamara71915/status/975715837289091072

https://twitter.com/FatemahAlabed/status/974727995264000000

https://twitter.com/Free_Media_Hub/status/975755911213080576

https://twitter.com/Free_Media_Hub/status/975901343251599361

https://twitter.com/nfcinereporter/status/975699018507522049

https://twitter.com/iadtawil/status/976256789586038789

https://twitter.com/SyrieRevolution/status/976188302645714946

https://twitter.com/kurdistannews24/status/976057335687790592

https://twitter.com/kone_hewar/status/975627484283723776

Isreal's Hand in Syria: Netanyahu vists moderate rebel in Israeli Hospital

https://twitter.com/_tomazy/status/976135481317568514

In reply to by Jim in MN

NiggaPleeze Blankone Thu, 03/22/2018 - 02:57 Permalink

 

"In the event of a threat to the lives of our servicemen, Russia's armed forces will take retaliatory measures against the missiles and launchers used".  He also noted that Russian servicemen are scattered throughout Damascus.  That means that the launch of any missile toward Damascus poses a threat to Russian servicemen and requires annihilation of the launch platform.  Just sayin'.

In reply to by Blankone

east of eden NiggaPleeze Thu, 03/22/2018 - 07:09 Permalink

The problem for the Russians is going to be two-fold. First, the air bases that are mentioned in the article, one in southern Syria near the border with Iraq and the other in Jordan, are less than 210 KM from Damascus. By the time any offensive air craft penetrate the border into Syria, the Russians better have their air wings in the air because once the striking planes get within 75 Km's they can launch and flee, and worse, they may find that both Israel and Jordan also have air assets launched, compounding their command decisions. Second, the air base in Jordan is problematic. Although it is well known that Jordan participated in the whole dirty op against Syria, they have not been called out nearly to the extent that Israehell and SA have. If the Russian's penetrate Jordanian air space to launch, or even if they launch against that air base from within the borders of Syria, it opens up a potential regional wide conflict, since King Hussein is of course, the true head of the Muslim world, is back heavily by the British and is a key player in the GCC. Perhaps the Russians will simply ignore any potential escalation and launch anyhow but I would expect that they would prefer to go after naval assets as opposed to land based aircraft for the simple reason that sinking an aircraft carrier battle group yields a much bigger win that taking out a few jets on the ground in Jordan. We will see. Won't we. 

It's hard to say or know how many additional surface to air assets the Russian's have deployed in the last few months, or, alternatively, if they have deployed Iskanders. The Americans may be looking at the base in Syria as 'expendable' since it is entirely within Syria sovereign territory, and would probably be the first to launch with the final destination being in Jordan to land. Clearly the air wings of F-18's onboard the carriers are intended as a second line of defence, i.e. if the initial attack with F-15's fails and the Russian's counter attack, then I suspect that the US would order a saturation attack on Damascus or other locations. Each carrier battle group holds approximately 90 attack aircraft, most F-18's Super Hornets, some A-10's. That places the potential 'in air' completement of F-18's available from carriers in the low hundreds at any given time (allowing for refuelling before target and possibly refuelling again on egress. Since the S-300 and S-400 systems are known to be able to track up to 160 targets at any given time, and have a 'real' range of 600 KM not 400 KM as most literature suggests, they would probably be enough to do the job and maintaining an air defense perimeter of 80 km's around Damascus is well within their operational envelope. It is also important to note that the time to launch for the S-400 is 10 seconds, it is a combined autonomous/radio signal guided missile, and it can be on target (within the confines of Syria, Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq) within seconds. I believe they have a maximum terminal attack speed of well into the middle teens (i.e. Mach 15+).

In reply to by NiggaPleeze

msamour east of eden Thu, 03/22/2018 - 08:20 Permalink

I believe you are forgetting all the air defence assets from the Russian ships. Some of the bigger ones have systems that compare to the S300, and I believe they can reload replacement missiles fairly quickly. They can release a large number of defence assets and take out some of the enemy air assets around Damascus (yes they can reach there). 

I suspect the smaller Russian ships are equipped with torpedoes and Kalibr cruise missiles, and can unload on any American naval assets that try to attack Russian Naval assets. We can add to that the Russian fleet in the Black Sea. If anyone is able to track their location at the moment, I suspect there are quite a few Russian ships in the south portion of the Black Sea at the moment. If memory serve, they have the reach to the Med. They could be used to target either the American fleet in the Med, or they would hit the American bases that are operating in Syria. 

let us not forget that Russia also have access to Iskanders at Hmineim airbase. Nobody knows for sure what war heard they have inside. Syria also have the less effective version of the Iskanders as well that could be used.

 

I do not believe there is any expert analyst that can predict how much of their collective minds American would lose if ships, or the Gods forbid one of their precious air craft carries get sunk. Would the start Nuking everyone? would they recall all their assets, lick their wounds and go home? (Very unlikely based on past hubris). No one knows. One thing is for sure, they seem to pushing Russia past the breaking point now. 

 

We should try to be aware where all the assets are (for both sides of the belligerents) and try to avoid being there when the Mexican standoff goes live...

 

Edit: After looking at AIS traffic in the Caspian Sea, I realized I mistakenly referred to the Caspian as the Black Sea earlier. There would also be a Russian fleet in the Caspian Sea. They have shown in the past to be able to reach targets with their Kalibr missiles.

In reply to by east of eden

east of eden msamour Thu, 03/22/2018 - 08:39 Permalink

Thanks for confirming Iskander's at Latakia. Didn't know that.

Yes, I wasn't calculating the on ship systems, which include the new Zircon on one of the two 'frigates' that have been deployed. Plus there is the issue of Russian Kilo class subs which most certainly are already in theatre, and carry hunter-killer Kaliber's, very effective against US submarines.

If the Russians decide to take out the base in southern Syria first, I doubt that the US could claim any right to launch further attacks. However, as I said, the named air base in Jordan presents a much bigger problem.

And yes, let's not forget that even the Pantsir's that are currently deployed around Damascus are perfectly capable of taking out F-16's (even though the Israeli's will not admit that it lost two in their last foray).

As to what the US would do if one of their aircraft carriers were sunk or damaged, well, I guess only Trump knows that, but it would appear that this whole shit show is not being directed by the Pentagram, but by our 'friends' the CIA who have been 'at war' with the US military ever since it's inception. If they (the CIA/Deep State) miscalculate the Russian response and they are the determining factor in the US losing naval assets, then I would suggest that they have little to look forward to in the future. I think world opinion, and indeed opinion in the US towards such a venture would be a very strong 'negative'.

Whatever happens, for the first time this whole thing has given me a very uncomfortable feeling. 

In reply to by msamour

msamour east of eden Thu, 03/22/2018 - 09:54 Permalink

Hi I partially agree with you on any assets found in Jordan. Historically King Hussain of Jordan has never shown much appetite to be part of any wars with any of his neighbours (and for good reasons) If the US Attacks from there, they risk the chance to lose access to Jordan in the future (if the Russians decide to retaliate there in the first place.)

I suspect if there is a widespread attack by Americans, and Russians retaliate, they will take out all American assets in Syria first, as they have the moral high ground there. Russians rarely act without having the moral high ground. (as observed in the last 25 years)

If you look at AIS traffic in the Eastern Med, and in the southern Caspian Sea right now, there are holes in the map. Where you do not see civilian traffic transit through, it usually means there are many military assets there. It looks like the Eastern Med has been transformed into a parking lot right now. Also, look at the South West Caspian sea.

 

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:37.9/centery:54.4/zoo…

 

Caspian Fleet:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caspian_Flotilla (not the best reference, but I am currently in a time crunch)

In reply to by east of eden

JohninMK east of eden Thu, 03/22/2018 - 14:11 Permalink

Couple of comments re your posts.

As far as I am aware there is no proper US airbase in Syria capable of taking anything other than helos, C-130 and C-17 transport planes. US fighter aircraft need proper runways. Also I have not heard of much USAF 'stuff' in Jordan. It is in Iraq and especially the Gulf States where it is all based. Even the Turkish base at Incirlik is being run down by the USAF.

Also your supposition that any attack will be lead by F-15s or any other aircraft. It won't. They are too vulnerable to air defences and the US doesn't want dead aircrew. If it happens it is likely to be a barrage of cruise missiles, trying to take out the air defences. Much less chance of a dead body PR disaster with them, at least until the Russians hit back at their 'carriers' those aircraft/ships/subs etc that launched them. Then the aircraft pile in.

Russian ship borne cruise missiles can come from the north part of the Black Sea, well away from Turkey, the Caspian Sea as well as the Med and Red Sea and even Indian Ocean. That is excluding air launched versions.

 

Whichever way you look at it the Russians are no longer the military underdog that they were in the 1990s. The West sadly never clocked that and looked down their nose at them, until the Russian activities gave them a very rude shock.

The good news is that a direct phone call between US and Russian Chiefs of Staff seems to have quietened the situation and Syrian air defences are no longer on full alert. Also the Syrians and Russians are pushing fast to get Ghouta captured as fast as possible, doing well both militarily and politically with large numbers of terrorists being shipped out under peace agreements.

All this is just putting off the day of reckoning, when Syria politely asks the US to remove its troops from Syria as they are no longer needed to fight ISIS. Before it orders them out with the threat of force.

In reply to by east of eden