Here's Why The Cohen Raid Will Keep The Trumps Up At Night

The FBI raid on the offices of Trump lawyer Michael Cohen - one of the president's closest and longest-serving confidants - has rattled investors, political analysts and even the president himself as many have determined - correctly, it seems - that these raids represent nothing short of a major turning point in the long-running Mueller probe.

Since investigators must convince a judge that there's a high possibility they will discover evidence of criminality before receiving approval for a search warrant, the criminal stakes for Cohen - who has been accused by a watchdog group of lying under oath and of violating campaign finance laws in connection with his $130,000 Stormy Daniels payoff - have never been higher.

And in a 13-part twitter thread published this morning, Adam Davidson (the New Yorker staff writer and host of popular podcast Planet Money) explained exactly why the raid on Cohen's office is such a watershed moment in the probe.

The upshot, is that, other than Don Jr. or Ivanka turning states' witness against their father, Cohen is the former Trump Organization dealmaker who is most likely to provide investigators with evidence of criminality.

Cohen

As Davidson explains, Cohen's role within the Trump administration was never that of a typical attorney - the firm had other attorneys who handled the legal grunt work.

Cohen's role could best be described as "roving dealmaker" - perhaps the only resident dealmaker in the Trump Organization who wasn't a member of the Trump family.

Because of this, Cohen had a front-row seat when the Trump Organization turned to shady third-tier oligarchs - a group that includes corrupt politicians, sanctions violators and money launderers - for financing after the president rescued his business from the brink of bankruptcy in the 1990s.

If Cohen were to flip, he could provide damning testimony against Don Jr. and Ivanka.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trump did business with these shady oligarchs more or less openly. The only question - and this is the whole reason why Mueller bothered to subpoena the Trump Organization - is how much did the Trump's know about their partners' violations of sanctions and international law?

 

 

As anybody who remembers the email Cohen allegedly sent to a Kremlin spokesman regarding Trump Tower Moscow might have already guessed, Cohen is clearest link between the Trumps and Russia.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Many were stunned when Trump made Cohen his sole personal attorney post election. But the appointment makes sense: The goal was to get sensitive document's about Cohen's role out of the Trump Organization and into a private office. Cohen, of course, ran his practice with a single client: Trump.

Now, we can be sure that whatever documents they had tried to hide from Mueller are now in the hands of the FBI.

 

 

 

 

Therefore, Davidson concludes, the raid on Cohen's office is the outcome that Trump has been most worried about since the beginning of the probe - hence his unusually forceful condemnation of the raid when he was supposed to be discussing options for a military response in Syria.

 

 

What's worse for Trump, as Davidson points out, Cohen has some reason to feel abandoned - or at least neglected - by his longtime boss. Trump didn't bring Cohen to the White House with him - instead leaving him to run his practice in New York.

 

 

And while Cohen has been a stalwart defender of the president in the press, Davidson says acts of loyalty in Trump world are typically for show.

 

 

Of course, the president can always pardon Cohen - and such a pardon is extremely likely, Davidson believes.

 

 

Despite the nature of Cohen's relationship with Trump and his role in the Trump Organization, Harvard Law professor Alan Dershowitz warned Monday during an appearance on Fox News that the FBI raid was an assault on the privileged lawyer-client relationship. Dershowitz said the raid was an attempt to turn Cohen against Trump.

"This may be an attempt to squeeze Cohen," he said. "He's the lawyer, he's the guy who knows all the facts about Donald Trump, and to get him to turn against his client."

"This is a very dangerous day today for lawyer-client relations," he added.

But most importantly, Cohen said the raid was so dangerous because it gives the FBI the option of deciding which information seized from Cohen should be pursued.

The likelihood that Trump fires Mueller has never been higher, Davidson says. However, Mueller probably anticipated this - that's why he sought approval from the DOJ to transfer whatever incriminating evidence he had found to prosecutors in New York, who are presumably beyond Trump's grasp.

But regardless of what happens - if Cohen is swiftly indicted or if this is just the beginning of months of legal wrangling - one thing is for certain: The Cohen raid was a watershed moment.

After more than a year of plodding along, expect developments in the Mueller probe to start occurring at a much faster pace.

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Comments

gregga777 Tue, 04/10/2018 - 09:24 Permalink

It's a coup d'etat by the 17 three-letter Gestapo (Geheime Staatspolizei) agencies and the US DoJ (US Department of Corruption, Injustice & Persecution). If that fails they'll resort to assassination ala JFK. 

 

John Kerry-Heinz sabaj49 Tue, 04/10/2018 - 10:30 Permalink

If the supposed most "powerful" individual in the world can be insulted, pushed around, and possibly indicted by one his own lowly subordinates then what kind of pain does one think they can inflict on the average Joe? 

If the president of the United States can not quash this sort of insubordination, what allows ANYONE to believe he has much more than a  prayer to stop 40 year war plan of which one part is to completely eradicate all Middle East nations.

Interesting and disheartening times we all live in...

In reply to by sabaj49

TruthHammer sabaj49 Tue, 04/10/2018 - 11:07 Permalink

this article is based on a false premise.

 

People cant be "nervous", nor can they "turn states witness", when there is not crime.

The End.

 

Muller has definitely shown he has nothing, all he can try and do is come up with process crimes, like not properly reciting the contents of past conversations, etc.

In reply to by sabaj49

eatthebanksters sabaj49 Tue, 04/10/2018 - 11:52 Permalink

Adam Davidson is a hopeful presumptive progressive retard.  I do find it incredibly disturbing that they might be going after Cohen for mis-representing what he used his home equity loan for...they are going to have to arrest half the people in the country if this is really what its all about.

What is now clear, if no one has figured it out up until now (like me who gave Mueller the benefit of the doubt) is that Mueller wants to take down Trump any way he can. Because of this mindset, Trump will go down.  Remember, when a prosecutor says give me the man and I will find a crime, its not a matter of if but when.  If they take down Trump and let Hitlery and her cronies off, then everyone will know that there is no fair and impartial justice system in our country, but rather an apparatus to be used by those in power to keep folks under their finger.

When this happens you see a civil war break out with small skirmishes at first, until people are forced to pick sides.  I hope I'm around when it ends so I can see real justice applied to these traitorous bastards.  

In reply to by sabaj49

Chupacabra-322 any_mouse Tue, 04/10/2018 - 10:35 Permalink

@ any,

 

Here’s my take & Analysts for what it’s worth.  

 

The era of both Pure Evil War Criminal Treasonous Seditious Psychopath Crime Syndicate families of the Bush’s, Clinton’s, Obama’s their Criminal Agents, Operatives, NGO’s & Front Companies in the Highly Compartmentalized Levels of Intelligence from around the World GCHQ is mercifully coming to an end.  That’s speaking in terms of the last 29 years between the Criminal Bush’s, Clinton’s & Obama’s but more specifically the CIA to Infiltrate all “Intelligence” Agencies, NGO’s & Front Companies with Agent & Operatives assets.  The Information Super Highway Criminal Counter Intelligence Surveillance & targeting of a Political opponent.  The ramifications of where we find ourselves at this critical moment cannot be understated.

 

Their future can be summed up from this quote from “Poppy” Pure Evil War Criminal Treasonous Seditious Psychopath Bush Senior.

 

"If the people knew what we had done, they would chase us down the street and lynch us." George H.W. Bush to journalist Sarah McClendon

 

You need to go all the way back to the days when governor Clinton allowed the CIA to run guns into Central America and sell drugs on the streets of America.  He gave them top cover they game him & Hillary a lifetime pass.  

 

In return, The American People received Tyrannical Lawlessness.

 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-alL6_Oo51I

 

Bush Senior +Bill & Hillary Clinton + Bush Jr. (Cheany Handler) + Obama = CIA

 

The sooner we as a Republic purge / Eliminate the aforementioned.  The sooner the healing of the last 30 years can begin to take place.  Not sooner.

In reply to by any_mouse

Carl Spackler SRV Tue, 04/10/2018 - 13:18 Permalink

We’re up to 24,500 sealed federal indictments. 

More federal judges and US Marshals appointed by POTUS today... gonna need them for what is coming.

The unsealing comes right after the remaining spooks (or their security threats) are neutralized.

Things are not as they may appear.

In reply to by SRV

No Time for Fishing IridiumRebel Tue, 04/10/2018 - 09:48 Permalink

It is way way past time to put an attorney general inplace who will unleash a Mueller or steroids against the swamp inhabitants. Hillary and her minions need to be pursued with the same zeal has Mueller has gone after Trump. Same for Wasserman Schultz and the Pakistani spies she hired. Reid, Pelosi, Waters..... All of them. They will likely succeed in taking out Trump he needs to pull the plug on the swamp before that time. 

In reply to by IridiumRebel

divingengineer Itdoesntmatter Tue, 04/10/2018 - 10:36 Permalink

Most voters are cheering the loss of attorney-client privilege?

I hope not, its one of the basic rights of Americans that make this country different than, say, Myanmar. 

Let's make a quick list of Americans' rights that the far left would most like to see stripped away.

  1. 2nd Amendment - Right to keep and bear arms
  2. 1st Amendment - Let's criminalize anyone who disagrees with our viewpoint
  3.  4th Amendment - Secret FISA warrants anyone? 
  4.  6th Amendment (This is probably the issue here with Cohen)
  5.  10th Amendment - States Rights

And that's just the first 10 amendments, I could go on. 

If this is actually what the people want, they are morons. If they are willing to trade their liberty for politics or a false sense of security then I have no further regard for them. 

In reply to by Itdoesntmatter