Two Ways Tesla Stock Could Swing 50% Higher - Or Lower - Before Summer

In this podcast, I try to be a bit more objective about Tesla - I look at what I honestly think is a way the stock could rise 50% before the end of this summer - and a way that the stock could be absolutely crushed 50% before the end of the summer. These are both events that I think could happen any day. I explain my reasoning.

I talk about the news Tesla would need to deliver today (other than turning a profit) that could put a serious charge into the stock and create a squeeze. I also touch on a brand new NHTSA investigation into a Tesla Autopilot accident today that was reported by Reuters and discuss what a catastrophe it would be if the NHTSA issued a major recall. Finally, I talk about what I believe to be an incredibly damning statement Elon Musk made at the first Model 3 handovers in Fremont, CA during Summer 2017, and how it could come back to bite him in the ass badly.

 

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Comments

quoth the raven armageddon addahere Wed, 05/16/2018 - 22:35 Permalink

You obviously didn't listen to the podcast where I say over the course of the long term it's likely going much lower - this discusses short term possibilities. Sorry for not having a crystal ball, but I do my best to analyze - if you know definitively where it's going I'd love to hear your thoughts though. Lemme know when your podcast goes live, I'll tune in for 100% accurate predictions of the future and will likely retire rich on a beach with an Eastern European mistress shortly thereafter. 

In reply to by armageddon addahere

mtl4 jcaz Thu, 05/17/2018 - 10:16 Permalink

Spot-on, buying bonds of a company that burns far more cash than they take in would be predatory at best when it comes time to sell off what's left.  Soros always looks to profit on a negative situation not a positive one (stock going up is positive for Tesla, however unlikely that may be).

In reply to by jcaz

Setarcos Wed, 05/16/2018 - 23:49 Permalink

Why is this guy obsessed with Tesla?  Is there any more to know about the con from "electric" cars to trips to Mars?

Well I suppose it would be worth investigating why masters of the Universe, from Rothschild down to political hacks, are so keen on conning the rest of us out of $$$$$$$$$$$ for patently(sic) absurd projects.

rtb61 Thu, 05/17/2018 - 01:49 Permalink

Actually my tip is the new Tesla Roadster will be a real shocker and that's the real reason for suckering in the shorts, a whole new class of vehicle to really stun the market and send the price rocketing up, hence the trap, push the price down, as low as it can go and then hit it hard with the new roadster announcement, really catch the hedge fund shorters out bad for maximum return.

Never trust anyone in the stock market, not one little bit.

Automatic Choke Thu, 05/17/2018 - 03:10 Permalink

Fundamental analysis of Tesla stock is useless.    What are concepts like cash flow and return on investment when your business is harvesting govt subsidies?   If Tesla looks like it will fail, look to Jerry Brown to throw a few billion extra at Elon with some green excuse.  

Without govt bailouts and subsidies, Tesla would have been in the dumpster long ago.

 

JailBanksters Thu, 05/17/2018 - 10:23 Permalink

They could sell it Volkswagen ! and BOOM

I just threw that in because that seems to be catchphrase these days. BOOM

Which has to be better than having the life sucked out of it.

 

 

their napper Sun, 05/20/2018 - 22:18 Permalink

Well, death-by-car seems to already be the norm in America (50k auto deaths per year). Not to mention the annual millions of life-changing injuries. Americans do not care! DO NOT CARE. So they die in explosions of twisted metal and glass, or they die engulfed in white hot flamed steel. Par for the course, good friend - just as long as the radio plays that fancy jig, dancy tune - walla-walla-bing-bang!

 

Much better solution: Implement mass transit via rail (practically 0 deaths and 0 injuries per year, guaranteed from day one). Plus, it doesn't have that gaudy smell of faux freedom.

In reply to by napper

napper Fri, 05/18/2018 - 01:53 Permalink

The China card is highly unlikely to be so great as to pump Tesla share 50 percent higher. First off, Tesla will still have to face a 25 percent tariff even when making cars in Shanghai's free trade zone, because without a Chinese partner, Tesla cars are not considered domestic. Tesla may ship the cars to America for sale, but that will incur hefty shipping costs, and plant doubts of quality control issues among buyers.

 

Second, Tesla cars are expensive without being a luxurious, and thus uncompetitive against cars from Porsche, BMW, Mercedes, Jaguar etc., and cannot be made cheaply enough to compete with those from GM, Nissan, BYD, Honda or Toyota. And the competition will be here well before Tesla can resolve its production line fiasco, its management incompetence, its product design flaws, and its deadly battery pack fire threats.

 

Third, to build a large factory Tesla will need to raise a lot of money, and heavily dilute current shareholders. So the price of Tesla stocks will drop, not jump.

 

Fourth, Tesla is very late in China, where foreign and domestic EV makers are already taking up most of the market share. To overcome the huge barrier requires big money, something Tesla doesn't have.

 

Fifth, if Chinese or American investors are interested in Tesla, the best way to go about it would be to wait till the grossly inflated Tesla shares tank once the hyped up Tesla fairy tale goes up in flames and cold reality sinks in, i.e. sales miss by miles, and bankruptcy talks start to fly. Why pay more than $250 a share when it's only worth $3 a share in a couple of years ??????